Daniil Medvedev and Fabian Marozsan will face off in the quarter of the Almaty Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 1:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 2 sets.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.35
Fabian Marozsan -> 3.18
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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Fabian Marozsan
This will be the 2nd time that Daniil Medvedev and Fabian Marozsan fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they locked horns, Medvedev won 6-3 6-2 7-6(5) in the 2nd round in at the U.S. Open back in 2024.
Highlights Daniil Medvedev vs Fabian Marozsan – U.S. Open 29-August-2024
Daniil Medvedev
35 - 21win/loss
13
1
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 41-23 | 20-12 | 6-4 | 10-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-21 | 28-9 | 11-5 | 1-5 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 66-18 | 38-8 | 10-3 | 11-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-19 | 26-8 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 63-13 | 33-5 | 5-3 | 18-3 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 14, the Russian got to the quarter after defeating Adam Walton 7-5 7-6(0).
In the 2nd round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Walton (7-5 7-60). During the match, Medvedev scored 85 points vs Walton’s 74. The Russian was very aggressive to blast 46 winners.
Talking about the service games, Medvedev made 13 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Daniil Medvedev lost the serve once and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Medvedev put 66% of his first serves in, winning 78% (46/59) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (15/31) on the 2nd serve. Medvedev broke Walton twice after converting 33% of his break points (2/6).
Medvedev has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 71% of his matches (492-203). 4-2 on indoor hard courts in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Medvedev has an overall 122-53 win-loss record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
The Russian’s best result of the year was reaching the final in Halle.
The Russian has an overall 35-21 win-loss record in 2025, 4-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Almaty
Fabian Marozsan
28 - 24win/loss
51
36
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 28-26 | 13-12 | 9-6 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 23-29 | 15-11 | 5-8 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-27 | 7-5 | 32-13 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-19 | 10-3 | 29-12 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 47-21 | 4-2 | 33-16 | 10-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 52, Fabian reached the quarter after beating Luca Nardi 7-6(3) 6-3 and Brandon Nakashima 7-6(5) 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Marozsan had a good straight sets win against Nakashima (7-65
6-1). During the match Marozsan scored 67 points vs Nakashima’s 53. The Hungarian was pretty aggressive to blast 32 winners.Talking about serving, Marozsan fired 5 aces and he was quite consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Fabian Marozsan was very effective on serve to win 74% (32/43) of his 1st serve and 75% (12/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Fabian broke Nakashima twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Hungarian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
Marozsan’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in Munich.
Fabian has a composed 28-24 win-loss record in 2025, 4-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS)
.Previously in Almaty
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Medvedev | Marozsan |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 25 | 42 |
| Pts | 85-74 | 138-111 |
| Total Points | 159 | 249 |
| Winners | 46 | 67 |
| %Winners | 54% | 49% |
Medvedev played 1 match while Marozsan competed in 2 matches. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Medvedev has played 2 set(s) less than Marozsan (2 vs 4). Therefore, Medvedev played 17 games less than Marozsan. Daniil scored 46 winners (54% of the total points). On the other side, Fabian scored 67 winners (49%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Medvedev | Marozsan |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 13 | 13 |
| Avg per match | 13 | 6.5 |
| 1st in | 59/90 | 90/119 |
| %1st in | 66% | 76% |
| 1st pts | 46/59 | 67/90 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 15/31 | 20/29 |
| %2nd pts | 48% | 69% |
Medvedev struck 13 aces . Marozsan made 13 aces (6.5 per match). Medvedev won 78% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Marozsan won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 69% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Medvedev | Marozsan |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 5 |
| Converted | 2/6 | 5/11 |
| % Converted | 33% | 45% |
| Conceded | 6 | 2 |
| Saved | 5 | 1 |
| % Saved | 83% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
Daniil broke his opponent twice with a 33% conversion rate. Medvedev dropped his serve once and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded. The Hungarian broke his opponents 5 times with a 45% conversion rate. Marozsan conceded his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Medvedev | |||
| R2 Walton | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 7-60 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 25 | |
| pts | 85-74 | 85-74 | |
| Total points | 159 | 159 | |
| Winners | 46 | 46 | |
| %Winners | 54% | 54% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 13 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 59/90 | 59/90 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 46/59 | 46/59 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/31 | 15/31 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/6 | 2/6 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 83% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Marozsan | ||||
| R1 Nardi | R2 Nakashima | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 6-3 | 7-65 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 20 | 42 | |
| pts | 71-58 | 67-53 | 138-111 | |
| Total points | 129 | 120 | 249 | |
| Winners | 35 | 32 | 67 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 48% | 49% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 8 | 5 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 47/60 | 43/59 | 90/119 | |
| % 1st in | 78% | 73% | 76% | |
| 1st pts | 35/47 | 32/43 | 67/90 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 74% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/13 | 12/16 | 20/29 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 75% | 69% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 2/5 | 5/11 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 40% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 0/0 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 50% | – | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
Tennis Scores in Almaty
- Jakob Schnaitter/Mark WallnerSchnaitter/Mark Wallner – James Duckworth/Adam WaltonDuckworth/Adam Walton (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Theo Arribage/Albano OlivettiArribage/Albano Olivetti – Diego Hidalgo/Patrik TrhacHidalgo/Patrik Trhac (7-64 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- James DuckworthDuckworth – Flavio CobolliCobolli (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (4-2) – H2H and prediction
- Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-1) – H2H and prediction