Alex Michelsen and Shintaro Mochizuki will clash against each other in the quarter of the Almaty Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 4:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex Michelsen who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alex Michelsen is the pick to win this match.
Alex Michelsen -> 1.47
Shintaro Mochizuki -> 2.67

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Prediction and head to head Alex Michelsen vs. Shintaro Mochizuki

There is no head to head record between Alex Michelsen and Shintaro Mochizuki since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Alex Michelsen

Ranked no. 36, Alex got to the quarter after defeating Beibit Zhukayev 6-2 6-3 and Aleksandar Vukic 6-3 6-2.

In the 2^nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Vukic (6-3 6-2). During the match, Michelsen scored 58 points vs Vukic’s 40. The American was exceptionally aggressive to blast 28 winners.

Regarding the service games, Michelsen blasted 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Alex Michelsen was extremely effective on serve to win 82% (28/34) of his 1st serve and 62% (8/13) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Michelsen broke Vukic 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Alex hasn’t dropped yet a set in this competition to win 59% of the points he played.

Michelsen has a solid match record in the last 4 years having won 62% of his matches (157-95). 3-2 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Michelsen has an aggregate39-15 match record in the last 4 years on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the current year was winning the title the Estoril Challenger where he overcame Andrea Pellegrino in the final 6-4 6-4.

Michelsen has an overall 28-24 win-loss record in 2025, 3-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Almaty

Alex has never competed in this tournament before.

Shintaro Mochizuki

Ranked no. 102 (career-high), the Japanese reached the quarter after defeating Arthur Cazaux 6-4 6-4 and Luciano Darderi 6-3 6-3.

In the 2^nd round, Mochizuki had a good straight sets win against Darderi (6-3 6-3). During the match Mochizuki scored 60 points vs Darderi’s 46. The Japanese was exceptionally aggressive to blast 19 winners.

Talking about serving, Mochizuki made 9 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Shintaro Mochizuki was very effective on serve to win 83% (19/23) of his 1st serve and 64% (14/22) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Japanese broke Darderi 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Mochizuki hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

His best result of the current season was winning the title the Noumea Challenger where he beat Moerani Bouzige in the final 6-1 6-3.

Mochizuki has a composed 42-26 win-loss record in 2025, 2-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Michelsen	Mochizuki
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	4	4
Tot Games	34	38
Pts	122-86	125-101
Total Points	208	226
Winners	57	45
%Winners	47%	36%

Both Michelsen and Mochizuki played 2 matches. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Michelsen and Mochizuki have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Michelsen played 4 games less than Mochizuki. Alex scored 57 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, Shintaro bagged 45 winners (36%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Michelsen	Mochizuki
Aces	6	12
Avg per match	3	6
1st in	80/110	56/109
%1st in	73%	51%
1st pts	57/80	45/56
%1st pts	71%	80%
2nd pts	19/30	33/53
%2nd pts	63%	62%

Michelsen scored 6 aces (3 per match). Mochizuki made 12 aces (6 per match). Michelsen won 71% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Mochizuki won 80% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Michelsen	Mochizuki
Won	7	6
Converted	7/13	6/8
% Converted	54%	75%
Conceded	3	3
Saved	2	2
% Saved	67%	67%
Times Broken	1	1

Michelsen broke his opponents 7 times with a 54% conversion rate. Michelsen lost his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The Japanese broke his opponents 6 times with a 75% conversion rate. Mochizuki conceded his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.

Michelsen
	R1 Zhukayev	R2 Vukic	Total
Score	6-2 6-3	6-3 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	17	17	34
pts	64-46	58-40	122-86
Total points	110	98	208
Winners	29	28	57
%Winners	45%	48%	47%
SERVE
Aces	3	3	6
Double Faults	2	2	4
1st in	46/63	34/47	80/110
% 1st in	73%	72%	73%
1st pts	29/46	28/34	57/80
% 1st pts	63%	82%	71%
2nd pts	11/17	8/13	19/30
% 2nd pts	65%	62%	63%
Breaks
Won	4	3	7
Converted	4/7	3/6	7/13
Converted %	57%	50%	54%
Conceded	3	0	3
Saved	2/3	0/0	2
Saved %	67%	–	34%
Times Broken	1	0	1

Mochizuki
	R1 Cazaux	R2 Darderi	Total
Score	6-4 6-4	6-3 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	20	18	38
pts	65-55	60-46	125-101
Total points	120	106	226
Winners	26	19	45
%Winners	40%	32%	36%
SERVE
Aces	3	9	12
Double Faults	4	1	5
1st in	33/64	23/45	56/109
% 1st in	52%	51%	51%
1st pts	26/33	19/23	45/56
% 1st pts	79%	83%	80%
2nd pts	19/31	14/22	33/53
% 2nd pts	61%	64%	62%
Breaks
Won	2	4	6
Converted	2/3	4/5	6/8
Converted %	67%	80%	75%
Conceded	2	1	3
Saved	2/2	0/1	2
Saved %	100%	0%	50%
Times Broken	0	1	1

Tennis Scores in Almaty

• Theo Arribage/Albano OlivettiArribage/Albano Olivetti – Diego Hidalgo/Patrik TrhacHidalgo/Patrik Trhac (7-6⁴ 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Jakob Schnaitter/Mark WallnerSchnaitter/Mark Wallner – James Duckworth/Adam WaltonDuckworth/Adam Walton (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• James DuckworthDuckworth – Flavio CobolliCobolli (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (4-2) – H2H and prediction
• Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-1) – H2H and prediction