Jasmine Paolini and Belinda Bencic will fight against each other in the quarter of the Ningbo Open for the 4^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 1:00 pm on GRANDSTAND. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jasmine Paolini who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jasmine Paolini is the pick to win this match.
Jasmine Paolini -> 1.63
Belinda Bencic -> 2.27

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Prediction and head to head Jasmine Paolini vs. Belinda Bencic

This will be the 4^th time that Jasmine Paolini and Belinda Bencic face off. The head to head is 2-1 for Bencic (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Paolini won 6-1 6-1 in the R in Australia back in 2024.

Highlights Jasmine Paolini vs Belinda Bencic – Australia 29-December-2024

Jasmine Paolini

Ranked no. 8, the Italian reached the quarter after defeating Veronika Kudermetova 6-2 7-5.

In the 2^nd round, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Kudermetova (6-2 7-5). During the match, Paolini scored 63 points vs Kudermetova’s 48. Paolini was exceptionally aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Talking about the service games, Paolini scored just 1 ace and she was very solid in conceding no double faults. Jasmine Paolini lost the serve twice and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Paolini put 75% of her first serves in, winning 63% (26/41) of the points behind her 1st serve and 64% (9/14) on the 2nd serve. Jasmine broke Kudermetova 5 times after converting 83% of her break points (5/6).

Paolini has positive match record in the last 10 years having won 59% of her matches (355-248). 26-11 on hard in 2025. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Paolini has an overall 130-97 record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the current season was conquering the title in Rome where she defeated Cori Gauff in the final 6-4 6-2.

Paolini has an aggregate 45-17 win-loss record in 2025, 26-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Ningbo

The Italian has never competed in this tournament before.

Belinda Bencic

Ranked no. 14, Bencic got to the quarter after beating Magda Linette 6-3 6-2 and Yuliia Starodubtseva 5-7 6-4 7-5.

In the 2^nd round against Starodubtseva, The Swiss recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-4 7-5). During the match Bencic scored 116 points vs Starodubtseva’s 107. The Swiss was very aggressive to blast 42 winners.

About the serving games, Bencic fired 4 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Belinda Bencic lost the serve 5 times and she saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Bencic put 58% of her first serves in, winning 66% (42/64) of the points behind her 1st serve and 53% (25/47) on the 2nd serve. Belinda broke Starodubtseva 6 times after converting 38% of her break points (6/16).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Swiss has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.

Her best result of the year was conquering the title in Abu Dhabi where she overcame Ashlyn Krueger in the final 4-6 6-1 6-1.

The Swiss has a composed 33-16 win-loss record in 2025, 25-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Paolini	Bencic
Match played	1	2
Tot Set	2	5
Tot Games	20	51
Pts	63-48	192-158
Total Points	111	350
Winners	26	80
%Winners	41%	42%

Paolini played 1 match while Bencic competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Belinda Bencic conceded 1 set while Jasmine Paolini hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Paolini has played 3 set(s) less than Bencic (2 vs 5). Therefore, Paolini played 31 games less than Bencic. The Italian scored 26 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Belinda recorded 80 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Paolini	Bencic
Aces	1	6
Avg per match	1	3
1st in	41/55	110/182
%1st in	75%	60%
1st pts	26/41	80/110
%1st pts	63%	73%
2nd pts	9/14	35/72
%2nd pts	64%	49%

Paolini scored 1 ace . Bencic also made 6 aces (3 per match). Paolini won 63% points on her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Bencic won 73% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 49% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Paolini	Bencic
Won	5	9
Converted	5/6	9/21
% Converted	83%	43%
Conceded	5	20
Saved	3	15
% Saved	60%	75%
Times Broken	2	5

The Italian broke her opponent 5 times with a 83% conversion rate. The Italian dropped her serve twice and she saved 60% of the break points that she conceded. The Swiss broke her opponents 9 times with a 43% conversion rate. The Swiss conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded.

Paolini
	R2 Kudermetova	Total
Score	6-2 7-5
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	20	20
pts	63-48	63-48
Total points	111	111
Winners	26	26
%Winners	41%	41%
SERVE
Aces	1	1
Double Faults	0	0
1st in	41/55	41/55
% 1st in	75%	75%
1st pts	26/41	26/41
% 1st pts	63%	63%
2nd pts	9/14	9/14
% 2nd pts	64%	64%
Breaks
Won	5	5
Converted	5/6	5/6
Converted %	83%	83%
Conceded	5	5
Saved	3/5	3
Saved %	60%	60%
Times Broken	2	2

Bencic
	R1 Linette	R2 Starodubtseva	Total
Score	6-3 6-2	5-7 6-4 7-5
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	17	34	51
pts	76-51	116-107	192-158
Total points	127	223	350
Winners	38	42	80
%Winners	50%	36%	42%
SERVE
Aces	2	4	6
Double Faults	6	4	10
1st in	46/71	64/111	110/182
% 1st in	65%	58%	60%
1st pts	38/46	42/64	80/110
% 1st pts	83%	66%	73%
2nd pts	10/25	25/47	35/72
% 2nd pts	40%	53%	49%
Breaks
Won	3	6	9
Converted	3/5	6/16	9/21
Converted %	60%	38%	43%
Conceded	8	12	20
Saved	8/8	7/12	15
Saved %	100%	58%	158%
Times Broken	0	5	5

Tennis Scores in Ningbo

• Ulrikke Eikeri/Qianhui TangEikeri/Qianhui Tang – Lyudmyla Kichenok/Ellen PerezKichenok/Ellen Perez (3-6 6-3 11-9) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Mats MoraingMoraing – Ramkumar RamanathanRamanathan (6-4 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Lukas LackoLacko – Viktor GalovicGalovic (7-5 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Roberto MarcoraMarcora – Jurij RodionovRodionov (7-5 6-7⁵ 7-6⁶) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Egor GerasimovGerasimov – Kenny de Schepperde Schepper (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Dayana YastremskaYastremska – Elena RybakinaRybakina (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Lin ZhuZhu – (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Mccartney KesslerKessler (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Belinda BencicBencic – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (2-1) – H2H and prediction