Casper Ruud and Sebastian Korda will fight against each other in the quarter of the BNP Paribas Nordic Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 6:30 pm on CENTRE COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Casper Ruud who should win in 3 sets.
Casper Ruud -> 1.5
Sebastian Korda -> 2.58
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Casper Ruud vs. Sebastian Korda
This will be the 2nd time that Casper Ruud and Sebastian Korda face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Ruud (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they fought against each other, Ruud won 6-3 6-3 in the 3rd round in Madrid back in April 2025.
Highlights Casper Ruud vs Sebastian Korda – Madrid 27-April-2025
Casper Ruud
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 39-16 | 12-8 | 14-5 | 13-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 51-25 | 21-9 | 24-7 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-23 | 12-12 | 22-8 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-22 | 18-8 | 25-7 | 7-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 57-17 | 16-6 | 28-5 | 11-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 12, Casper got to the quarter after defeating Marin Cilic 7-6(2) 6-4.
In the 2nd round, The Norwegian had a good straight sets win against Cilic (7-62 6-4). During the match, Ruud scored 84 points vs Cilic’s 63. The Norwegian was extremely aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Regarding the service games, Ruud managed to score 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Casper Ruud was quite effective on serve to win 91% (32/35) of his 1st serve and 69% (11/16) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Casper broke Cilic twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).
Ruud has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 65% of his matches (425-225). 8-1 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Ruud has an aggregate 58-35 win-loss record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the current season was winning the title in Madrid where he defeated Jack Draper in the final 7-5 3-6 6-4.
The Norwegian has an overall 34-14 win-loss record in 2025, 8-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Stockholm
Sebastian Korda
19 - 14win/loss
48
15
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 24-18 | 12-8 | 5-5 | 7-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 31-19 | 17-9 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 26-16 | 18-8 | 1-3 | 4-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-22 | 13-9 | 8-6 | 12-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-20 | 12-8 | 6-5 | 13-5 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 60, Sebastian reached the quarter after beating Alexei Popyrin 6-7(4) 6-1 6-3 and Kamil Majchrzak 6-4 4-6 7-5.
In the 2nd round, Korda defeated Majchrzak (6-4 4-6 7-5). During the match Korda scored 116 points vs Majchrzak’s 109. The American was very aggressive to blast 46 winners.
Talking about serving, Korda made 10 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Sebastian Korda lost the serve once and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Korda put 55% of his first serves in, winning 82% (46/56) of the points behind his 1st serve and 49% (22/45) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Majchrzak twice after converting 17% of his break points (2/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Korda has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Korda’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Adelaide.
Sebastian has a compiled 19-14 win-loss record in 2025, 2-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS)
.Previously in Stockholm
Korda has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ruud | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 23 | 61 |
| Pts | 84-63 | 228-201 |
| Total Points | 147 | 429 |
| Winners | 32 | 80 |
| %Winners | 38% | 35% |
Ruud played 1 match while Korda competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Sebastian Korda lost 2 sets while Casper Ruud hasn’t dropped a set so far. Ruud has played 4 set(s) less than Korda (2 vs 6). Therefore, Ruud played 38 games less than Korda. The Norwegian scored 32 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Korda blasted 80 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ruud | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 23 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 11.5 |
| 1st in | 35/51 | 107/193 |
| %1st in | 69% | 55% |
| 1st pts | 32/35 | 80/107 |
| %1st pts | 91% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 11/16 | 46/86 |
| %2nd pts | 69% | 53% |
Ruud blasted 7 aces . Korda blasted 23 aces (11.5 per match). Ruud won 91% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 69% of the points. On the other side, Korda won 75% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ruud | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 9 |
| Converted | 2/5 | 9/32 |
| % Converted | 40% | 28% |
| Conceded | 1 | 16 |
| Saved | 0 | 12 |
| % Saved | 0% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 |
Casper broke his opponent twice with a 40% conversion rate. Ruud dropped his serve once and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded. Sebastian broke his opponents 9 times with a 28% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ruud | |||
| R2 Cilic | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-62 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 23 | |
| pts | 84-63 | 84-63 | |
| Total points | 147 | 147 | |
| Winners | 32 | 32 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 35/51 | 35/51 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 32/35 | 32/35 | |
| % 1st pts | 91% | 91% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/16 | 11/16 | |
| % 2nd pts | 69% | 69% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/5 | 2/5 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Korda | ||||
| R1 Popyrin | R2 Majchrzak | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-74 6-1 6-3 | 6-4 4-6 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 32 | 61 | |
| pts | 112-92 | 116-109 | 228-201 | |
| Total points | 204 | 225 | 429 | |
| Winners | 34 | 46 | 80 | |
| %Winners | 30% | 40% | 35% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 13 | 10 | 23 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 51/92 | 56/101 | 107/193 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 55% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 34/51 | 46/56 | 80/107 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 82% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 24/41 | 22/45 | 46/86 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 49% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 7 | 2 | 9 | |
| Converted | 7/20 | 2/12 | 9/32 | |
| Converted % | 35% | 17% | 28% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 10 | 16 | |
| Saved | 3/6 | 9/10 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 90% | 140% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Casper RuudRuud (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jacob FearnleyFearnley – Elias YmerYmer (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Marton FucsovicsFucsovics (1-0) – H2H and prediction