Naomi Osaka and Jaqueline Cristian will play each other in the quarter of the Japan Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 2:00 pm on CENTER. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Naomi Osaka who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Naomi Osaka is the pick to win this match.
Naomi Osaka -> 1.3
Jaqueline Cristian -> 3.5

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Prediction and head to head Naomi Osaka vs. Jaqueline Cristian

There is no head to head record between Naomi Osaka and Jaqueline Cristian since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Naomi Osaka

Ranked no. 16, Osaka reached the quarter after beating Wakana Sonobe 6-0 6-4 and Suzan Lamens 7-6(6) 3-6 6-2.

In the 2^nd round, Osaka defeated Lamens (7-6⁶ 3-6 6-2). During the match, Osaka scored 94 points vs Lamens’s 88. Naomi was extremely aggressive to blast 38 winners.

Talking about the service games, Osaka bagged 9 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Naomi Osaka lost the serve 4 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Osaka put 58% of her first serves in, winning 78% (38/49) of the points behind her 1st serve and 44% (16/36) on the 2nd serve. The Japanese broke Lamens 5 times after converting 50% of her break points (5/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Naomi has conceded 1 set in this tournament to win 55% of the points she played.

Osaka has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 66% of her matches (249-127). 24-9 on hard in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Osaka has an overall 181-78 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the season was winning the title the Malo where she beat Kaja Juvan in the final 6-1 7-5.

Osaka has an overall 35-15 win-loss record in 2025, 24-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Osaka

Jaqueline Cristian

Ranked no. 47, the Romanian reached the quarter after beating Elisabetta Cocciaretto 6-2 7-6(4) and Jessica Bouzas Maneiro 0-6 6-4 6-2.

In the 2^nd round against Bouzas Maneiro, Cristian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (0-6 6-4 6-2). During the match Cristian scored 81 points vs Bouzas Maneiro’s 77. The Romanian was quite aggressive to blast 32 winners.

About the serving games, Cristian scored 3 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Jaqueline Cristian lost the serve 4 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Cristian put 69% of her first serves in, winning 62% (32/52) of the points behind her 1st serve and 52% (12/23) on the 2nd serve. Jaqueline broke Bouzas Maneiro 4 times after converting 44% of her break points (4/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Cristian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.

Her best result of the current season was winning the title the Puerto Vallarta where she overcame Linda Fruhvirtova in the final 7-5 6-4.

Cristian has a compiled 31-23 win-loss record in 2025, 19-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Osaka	Cristian
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	5	5
Tot Games	46	45
Pts	158-128	167-150
Total Points	286	317
Winners	53	67
%Winners	34%	40%

Both Osaka and Cristian played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Naomi Osaka lost 1 set, while Jaqueline Cristian dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, Osaka and Cristian have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Osaka played 1 game more than Cristian. Naomi scored 53 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Cristian blasted 67 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Osaka	Cristian
Aces	17	6
Avg per match	8.5	3
1st in	67/124	105/151
%1st in	54%	70%
1st pts	53/67	67/105
%1st pts	79%	64%
2nd pts	31/57	26/46
%2nd pts	54%	57%

Osaka managed to score 17 aces (8.5 per match). Cristian scored 6 aces (3 per match). Osaka won 79% points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Cristian won 64% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 57% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Osaka	Cristian
Won	10	7
Converted	10/23	7/20
% Converted	43%	35%
Conceded	12	12
Saved	7	7
% Saved	58%	58%
Times Broken	5	5

Osaka broke her opponents 10 times with a 43% conversion rate. The Japanese lost her serve 5 times and she saved 58% of the break points that she conceded. Jaqueline broke her opponents 7 times with a 35% conversion rate. Jaqueline conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 58% of the break points that she conceded.

Osaka
	R1 Sonobe	R2 Lamens	Total
Score	6-0 6-4	7-66 3-6 6-2
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	16	30	46
pts	64-40	94-88	158-128
Total points	104	182	286
Winners	15	38	53
%Winners	23%	40%	34%
SERVE
Aces	8	9	17
Double Faults	1	4	5
1st in	18/39	49/85	67/124
% 1st in	46%	58%	54%
1st pts	15/18	38/49	53/67
% 1st pts	83%	78%	79%
2nd pts	15/21	16/36	31/57
% 2nd pts	71%	44%	54%
Breaks
Won	5	5	10
Converted	5/13	5/10	10/23
Converted %	38%	50%	43%
Conceded	3	9	12
Saved	2/3	5/9	7
Saved %	67%	56%	62%
Times Broken	1	4	5

Cristian
	R1 Cocciaretto	R2 Bouzas	Total
Score	6-2 7-64	0-6 6-4 6-2
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	21	24	45
pts	86-73	81-77	167-150
Total points	159	158	317
Winners	35	32	67
%Winners	41%	40%	40%
SERVE
Aces	3	3	6
Double Faults	2	3	5
1st in	53/76	52/75	105/151
% 1st in	70%	69%	70%
1st pts	35/53	32/52	67/105
% 1st pts	66%	62%	64%
2nd pts	14/23	12/23	26/46
% 2nd pts	61%	52%	57%
Breaks
Won	3	4	7
Converted	3/11	4/9	7/20
Converted %	27%	44%	35%
Conceded	5	7	12
Saved	4/5	3/7	7
Saved %	80%	43%	62%
Times Broken	1	4	5

Tennis Scores in Osaka

• Nadiya Kichenok/Makoto NinomiyaKichenok/Makoto Ninomiya – Jaqueline Cristian/Olga DanilovicCristian/Olga Danilovic (7-5 5-7 10-6) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro – Casper RuudRuud (6-4 6-7⁷ 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Tobias KamkeKamke – Attila BalazsBalazs (1-6 6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Javier Barranco CosanoBarranco Cosano – Jozef KovalikKovalik (7-6⁵ 7-6⁵) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Henri LaaksonenLaaksonen – Lukas RosolRosol (7-6⁴ 6-7⁴ 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Naomi OsakaOsaka – Jaqueline CristianCristian (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Rebecca SramkovaSramkova – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Viktorija GolubicGolubic – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (0-1) – H2H and prediction