Brandon Holt and Keegan Smith will face off in the 2^nd round of the Lincoln Challenger for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 6:00 pm on STADIUM. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Brandon Holt who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Brandon Holt is the pick to win this match.
Brandon Holt -> 1.23
Keegan Smith -> 3.84

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Prediction and head to head Brandon Holt vs. Keegan Smith

This will be the 3^rd time that Brandon Holt and Keegan Smith fight against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Holt and Smith (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they competed against each other, Smith won 6-4 6-3 in the 1^st round in the Aptos Challenger back in 2019.

Brandon Holt

Ranked no. 112, Brandon reached the 2^nd round after beating Aryan Shah 4-6 6-4 4-1 ret..

In the 1^st round against Shah, Brandon had a free pass after Shah retired on a 4-6 6-4 4-1 . scoreline.

Holt has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 60% of his matches (218-143). 4-1 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Holt has an aggregate 19-15 match record in the last years on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the current season was winning the title the Nonthaburi 3 Challenger where he beat Vit Kopriva in the final 6-3 6-2 and the Bengaluru Challenger where he beat Shintaro Mochizuki in the final 6-3 6-3.

The American has a compiled 43-27 win-loss record in 2025, 4-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Lincoln Challenger

Holt has never competed in this tournament before.

Keegan Smith

Ranked no. 558, the American got to the 2^nd round after beating Joan Torres Espinosa 6-0 6-3, Aidan Mchugh 7-6(1) 7-6(2) and Jeri Lassila 6-3 6-2.

In the 1^st round, Smith had a good straight sets win against Lassila (6-3 6-2). During the match Smith scored 61 points vs Lassila’s 37. Smith was pretty aggressive to blast 25 winners.

Talking about serving, Smith blasted 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Keegan Smith was exceptionally effective on serve to win 86% (25/29) of his 1st serve and 69% (11/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The American broke Lassila 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).

Keegan’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in M15 San Diego and M15 Fayetteville.

Smith has a compiled 32-16 win-loss record in 2025, 6-5 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Holt	Smith
Match played	1	3
Tot Set	4	6
Tot Games	25	58
Pts	77-66	208-149
Total Points	143	357
Winners	36	103
%Winners	47%	50%

Holt played 1 match while Smith competed in 3 matches. Smith started his run from the qualifications while Holt had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Brandon Holt dropped 1 set while Keegan Smith hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Holt has played 2 set(s) less than Smith (4 vs 6). Therefore, Holt played 33 games less than Smith. The American scored 36 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, Keegan recorded 103 winners (50%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Holt	Smith
Aces	9	20
Avg per match	9	6.7
1st in	47/70	120/172
%1st in	67%	70%
1st pts	36/47	103/120
%1st pts	77%	86%
2nd pts	13/23	24/52
%2nd pts	57%	46%

Holt recorded 9 aces . Smith made 20 aces (6.7 per match). Holt won 77% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Smith won 86% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 46% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Holt	Smith
Won	3	9
Converted	3/10	9/20
% Converted	30%	45%
Conceded	4	12
Saved	2	10
% Saved	50%	83%
Times Broken	2	2

Brandon broke his opponent 3 times with a 30% conversion rate. Holt conceded his serve twice and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Smith broke his opponents 9 times with a 45% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve twice and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded.

Holt
	R1 Shah	Total
Score	4-6 6-4 4-1 ret.
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	25	25
pts	77-66	77-66
Total points	143	143
Winners	36	36
%Winners	47%	47%
SERVE
Aces	9	9
Double Faults	1	1
1st in	47/70	47/70
% 1st in	67%	67%
1st pts	36/47	36/47
% 1st pts	77%	77%
2nd pts	13/23	13/23
% 2nd pts	57%	57%
Breaks
Won	3	3
Converted	3/10	3/10
Converted %	30%	30%
Conceded	4	4
Saved	2/4	2
Saved %	50%	50%
Times Broken	2	2

Smith
	Q1 Torres	Q3 Mchugh	R1 Lassila	Total
Score	6-0 6-3	7-61 7-62	6-3 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	15	26	17	58
pts	55-31	92-81	61-37	208-149
Total points	86	173	98	357
Winners	29	49	25	103
%Winners	53%	53%	41%	50%
SERVE
Aces	4	9	7	20
Double Faults	0	3	1	4
1st in	33/44	58/83	29/45	120/172
% 1st in	75%	70%	64%	70%
1st pts	29/33	49/58	25/29	103/120
% 1st pts	88%	84%	86%	86%
2nd pts	5/11	8/25	11/16	24/52
% 2nd pts	45%	32%	69%	46%
Breaks
Won	4	2	3	9
Converted	4/4	2/8	3/8	9/20
Converted %	100%	25%	38%	45%
Conceded	1	11	0	12
Saved	1/1	9/11	0/0	10
Saved %	100%	82%	–	182%
Times Broken	0	2	0	2

Tennis Scores in Lincoln Challenger

• Dhakshineswar SureshSuresh – Alfredo PerezPerez (6-4 7-6⁵) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Johannus MondayMonday – Antoine GhibaudoGhibaudo (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Michael MmohMmoh – Jack Pinnington JonesPinnington Jones (6-3 7-6⁴) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Patrick KypsonKypson – Samir BanerjeeBanerjee (6-4 7-6⁵) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Patrick KypsonKypson – Dhakshineswar SureshSuresh (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Brandon HoltHolt – Keegan SmithSmith (1-1) – H2H and prediction