Lorenzo Sonego and Aleksandar Kovacevic will face off in the 2^nd round of the BNP Paribas Nordic Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 2:00 pm on COURT 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lorenzo Sonego who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Lorenzo Sonego is the pick to win this match.
Lorenzo Sonego -> 1.615
Aleksandar Kovacevic -> 2.3

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Prediction and head to head Lorenzo Sonego vs. Aleksandar Kovacevic

There is no head to head record between Lorenzo Sonego and Aleksandar Kovacevic since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

Lorenzo Sonego

Ranked no. 47, the Italian reached the 2^nd round after beating Arthur Fery 6-4 6-2

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In the 1^st round, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Fery (6-4 6-2). During the match, Sonego scored 68 points vs Fery’s 52. Lorenzo was exceptionally aggressive to blast 33 winners.

Regarding the service games, Sonego recorded 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Lorenzo Sonego lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Sonego put 73% of his first serves in, winning 75% (33/44) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (7/16) on the 2nd serve. Sonego broke Fery 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).

Sonego has winning match record in the last 10 years having won 53% of his matches (307-267). 2-2 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Sonego has an aggregate 55-44 record in the last years on indoor hard courts.

Lorenzo has a compiled 19-25 win-loss record in 2025, 2-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Stockholm

Aleksandar Kovacevic

Ranked no. 69, Aleksandar reached the 2^nd round after defeating Camilo Ugo Carabelli 4-6 7-5 4-0 ret..

In the 1^st round against Ugo Carabelli, Aleksandar had a free pass after Ugo Carabelli retired on a 4-6 7-5 4-0 . scoreline.

His best result of the year was winning the title the Oeiras 2 Challenger where he overcame Zsombor Piros in the final 6-4 7-6(4) and the Cap Cana Challenger where he overcame Damir Dzumhur in the final 6-2 6-3.

Aleksandar has a compiled 31-28 win-loss record in 2025, 13-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Stockholm

Previously, his best result was reaching the 1^st round in 2024. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Sonego	Kovacevic
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	2	4
Tot Games	18	26
Pts	68-52	87-79
Total Points	120	166
Winners	33	39
%Winners	49%	45%

Both Sonego and Kovacevic played 1 match. At the moment, Aleksandar Kovacevic dropped 1 set while Lorenzo Sonego hasn’t dropped a set so far. Sonego has played 2 set(s) less than Kovacevic (2 vs 4). Therefore, Sonego played 8 games less than Kovacevic. Sonego scored 33 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, Kovacevic blasted 39 winners (45%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Sonego	Kovacevic
Aces	3	13
Avg per match	3	13
1st in	44/60	59/89
%1st in	73%	66%
1st pts	33/44	39/59
%1st pts	75%	66%
2nd pts	7/16	15/30
%2nd pts	44%	50%

Sonego bagged 3 aces . Kovacevic fired 13 aces . Sonego won 75% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 44% of the points. On the other side, Kovacevic won 66% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Sonego	Kovacevic
Won	4	5
Converted	4/12	5/9
% Converted	33%	56%
Conceded	4	10
Saved	3	7
% Saved	75%	70%
Times Broken	1	3

The Italian broke his opponent 4 times with a 33% conversion rate. The Italian lost his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Aleksandar broke his opponent 5 times with a 56% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded.

Sonego
	R1 Fery	Total
Score	6-4 6-2
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	18	18
pts	68-52	68-52
Total points	120	120
Winners	33	33
%Winners	49%	49%
SERVE
Aces	3	3
Double Faults	1	1
1st in	44/60	44/60
% 1st in	73%	73%
1st pts	33/44	33/44
% 1st pts	75%	75%
2nd pts	7/16	7/16
% 2nd pts	44%	44%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/12	4/12
Converted %	33%	33%
Conceded	4	4
Saved	3/4	3
Saved %	75%	75%
Times Broken	1	1

Kovacevic
	R1 Ugo	Total
Score	4-6 7-5 4-0 ret.
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	26	26
pts	87-79	87-79
Total points	166	166
Winners	39	39
%Winners	45%	45%
SERVE
Aces	13	13
Double Faults	3	3
1st in	59/89	59/89
% 1st in	66%	66%
1st pts	39/59	39/59
% 1st pts	66%	66%
2nd pts	15/30	15/30
% 2nd pts	50%	50%
Breaks
Won	5	5
Converted	5/9	5/9
Converted %	56%	56%
Conceded	10	10
Saved	7/10	7
Saved %	70%	70%
Times Broken	3	3

Tennis Scores in Stockholm

• Casper RuudRuud – Marin CilicCilic (7-6(2) 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Sebastian KordaKorda – Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak (6-4 4-6 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Marin CilicCilic – Casper RuudRuud (0-3) – H2H and prediction
• Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Ugo HumbertHumbert – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (1-3) – H2H and prediction
• Jacob FearnleyFearnley – Elias YmerYmer (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Marton FucsovicsFucsovics (1-0) – H2H and prediction