Alex Michelsen and Aleksandar Vukic will face off in the 2nd round of the Almaty Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 11:00 am on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex Michelsen who should win in 3 sets.
Alex Michelsen -> 1.67
Aleksandar Vukic -> 2.2
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Prediction and head to head Alex Michelsen vs. Aleksandar Vukic
This will be the 3rd time that Alex Michelsen and Aleksandar Vukic fight against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Michelsen (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they squared off, Michelsen won 2-6 7-6(7) 6-4 in the 1st round in the Nottingham Challenger back in 2023.
Alex Michelsen
27 - 24win/loss
38
30
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 29-27 | 14-13 | 6-5 | 4-5 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-34 | 26-14 | 4-9 | 8-5 | 7-6 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 61-27 | 30-13 | 4-3 | 19-7 | 8-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-10 | 14-8 | 0-1 | 9-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 36, Alex reached the 2nd round after defeating Beibit Zhukayev 6-2 6-3.
In the 1st round, The American had a good straight sets win against Zhukayev (6-2 6-3). During the match, Michelsen scored 64 points vs Zhukayev’s 46. Michelsen was quite aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Regarding the service games, Michelsen recorded 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Alex Michelsen lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Michelsen put 73% of his first serves in, winning 63% (29/46) of the points behind his 1st serve and 65% (11/17) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Zhukayev 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Michelsen has a solid match record in the last 4 years having won 62% of his matches (156-95). 2-2 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Michelsen has an overall38-15 win-loss record in the last 4 years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the current season was winning the title the Estoril Challenger where he beat Andrea Pellegrino in the final 6-4 6-4.
Michelsen has a composed 27-24 win-loss record in 2025, 2-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Almaty
Alex has never competed in this tournament before.
Aleksandar Vukic
26 - 34win/loss
82
48
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 29-38 | 15-20 | 4-8 | 5-5 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 34-36 | 13-18 | 5-9 | 6-2 | 10-7 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 48-33 | 34-20 | 9-4 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-25 | 14-15 | 4-5 | 12-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-26 | 8-5 | 10-11 | 11-7 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 84, Aleksandar reached the 2nd round after beating Marko Topo 6-4 3-6 6-1.
In the 1st round, The Australian defeated Topo (6-4 3-6 6-1). During the match Vukic scored 95 points vs Topo’s 84. Vukic was exceptionally aggressive to blast 34 winners.
About the serving games, Vukic managed to score 8 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Aleksandar Vukic lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Vukic put 56% of his first serves in, winning 77% (34/44) of the points behind his 1st serve and 49% (17/35) on the 2nd serve. Aleksandar broke Topo 4 times after converting 24% of his break points (4/17).
Aleksandar’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in the Estoril Challenger.
The Australian has an aggregate 26-34 win-loss record in 2025, 2-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Almaty
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2024. See his history
.H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Michelsen | Vukic |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 17 | 26 |
| Pts | 64-46 | 95-84 |
| Total Points | 110 | 179 |
| Winners | 29 | 34 |
| %Winners | 45% | 36% |
Both Michelsen and Vukic played 1 match. At the moment, Aleksandar Vukic surrendered 1 set while Alex Michelsen hasn’t dropped a set so far. Michelsen has played 1 set(s) less than Vukic (2 vs 3). Therefore, Michelsen played 9 games less than Vukic. Michelsen scored 29 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Aleksandar made 34 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Michelsen | Vukic |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 8 |
| 1st in | 46/63 | 44/79 |
| %1st in | 73% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 29/46 | 34/44 |
| %1st pts | 63% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 11/17 | 17/35 |
| %2nd pts | 65% | 49% |
Michelsen fired 3 aces . Vukic blasted 8 aces . Michelsen won 63% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 65% of the points. On the other side, Vukic won 77% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Michelsen | Vukic |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 4 |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/17 |
| % Converted | 57% | 24% |
| Conceded | 3 | 4 |
| Saved | 2 | 2 |
| % Saved | 67% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 |
Michelsen broke his opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. Alex surrendered his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The Australian broke his opponent 4 times with a 24% conversion rate. Aleksandar conceded his serve twice and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Michelsen | |||
| R1 Zhukayev | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 64-46 | 64-46 | |
| Total points | 110 | 110 | |
| Winners | 29 | 29 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 46/63 | 46/63 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 73% | |
| 1st pts | 29/46 | 29/46 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 63% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/17 | 11/17 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 65% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/7 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Vukic | |||
| R1 Topo | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 3-6 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 26 | |
| pts | 95-84 | 95-84 | |
| Total points | 179 | 179 | |
| Winners | 34 | 34 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 8 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 44/79 | 44/79 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 34/44 | 34/44 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/35 | 17/35 | |
| % 2nd pts | 49% | 49% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/17 | 4/17 | |
| Converted % | 24% | 24% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Tennis Scores in Almaty
- James DuckworthDuckworth – Gabriel DialloDiallo (7-63 6-73 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Flavio CobolliCobolli – Rinky HijikataHijikata (6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko (7-5 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- James DuckworthDuckworth – Flavio CobolliCobolli (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (4-2) – H2H and prediction
- Aleksandar VukicVukic – (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Adam WaltonWalton – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (0-0) – H2H and prediction