Luciano Darderi and Shintaro Mochizuki will face off in the 2nd round of the Almaty Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 1:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Luciano Darderi who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Luciano Darderi is the pick to win this match.
Luciano Darderi -> 1.68
Shintaro Mochizuki -> 2.18

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Luciano Darderi vs. Shintaro Mochizuki

There is no head to head record between Luciano Darderi and Shintaro Mochizuki since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Luciano Darderi

Luciano Darderi

38 - 26win/loss

Hard
6-11
I Hard
0-0
Clay
30-11
Grass
2-4
Rank
26
High
26
LLLLLWLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 38-30 6-11 30-11 0-4 2-4 0-0
2024 38-31 1-9 34-15 1-4 2-3 0-0
2023 48-31 3-3 45-27 0-0 0-1 0-0
2022 37-25 0-1 37-24 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 48-19 20-6 27-12 0-0 1-1 0-0

Ranked no. 26 (career-high), the Italian will start his run in Almaty after he played his last match in Shanghai where he lost 7-5 7-6(1) to Musetti in the 3rd round on the 6th of October.

The Italian has a composed 38-26 win-loss record in 2025, 0-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

This will be the first match of the season on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the current year was winning the title in Marrakech where he beat Tallon Griekspoor in the final 7-6(3) 7-6(4) and in Bastad where he overcame Jesper De Jong in the final 6-4 3-6 6-3 and in Umag where he defeated Carlos Taberner in the final 6-3 6-3 and the Genova Challenger where he defeated Andrea Pellegrino in the final 6-1 6-3.

Talking about his overall career, The Italian has an overall 218-142 record. He has a negative 1-5 record on indoor hard courts.

Previously in Almaty

Darderi has never competed in this tournament before.

Almaty
Darderi's Record

Shintaro Mochizuki

Shintaro Mochizuki

41 - 26win/loss

Hard
27-16
I Hard
1-1
Clay
2-6
Grass
11-3
Rank
94
High
92
LLWLLWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 43-30 27-16 2-6 3-5 11-3 0-0
2024 28-33 19-22 7-5 0-1 2-5 0-0
2023 41-33 22-16 13-8 2-5 4-4 0-0
2022 37-34 18-17 13-12 6-5 0-0 0-0
2021 35-30 11-10 18-11 5-7 1-1 0-1

Ranked no. 102 (career-high), Shintaro got to the 2nd

round after beating Arthur Cazaux 6-4 6-4.

In the 1st round, Shintaro had a good straight sets win against Cazaux (6-4 6-4). During the match Mochizuki scored 65 points vs Cazaux’s 55. Shintaro was extremely aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Talking about serving, Mochizuki managed to score 3 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Shintaro Mochizuki was quite effective on serve to win 79% (26/33) of his 1st serve and 61% (19/31) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Shintaro broke Cazaux twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).

His best result of the year was winning the title the Noumea Challenger where he overcame Moerani Bouzige in the final 6-1 6-3.

Mochizuki has an overall 41-26 win-loss record in 2025, 1-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Almaty
Mochizuki's Record

Tennis Scores in Almaty

Upcoming matches in the draw