Jacob Fearnley and Elias Ymer will play each other in the 2^nd round of the BNP Paribas Nordic Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 8:30 pm on CENTRE COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jacob Fearnley who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jacob Fearnley is the pick to win this match.
Jacob Fearnley -> 1.26
Elias Ymer -> 3.84

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Prediction and head to head Jacob Fearnley vs. Elias Ymer

There is no head to head record between Jacob Fearnley and Elias Ymer since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Jacob Fearnley

Ranked no. 81, the Brit got to the 2^nd round after beating Tallon Griekspoor 6-3 6-7(6) 7-6(5).

In the 1^st round, The Brit defeated Griekspoor (6-3 6-7⁶ 7-6⁵). During the match, Fearnley scored 113 points vs Griekspoor’s 101. Jacob was quite aggressive to blast 45 winners.

Regarding the service games, Fearnley made 6 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Jacob Fearnley was pretty effective on serve to win 78% (45/58) of his 1st serve and 60% (26/43) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Fearnley broke Griekspoor 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).

Fearnley has a fantastic record in the last 5 years having won 71% of his matches (102-42). 5-3 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Fearnley has an overall48-11 record in the last 5 years on indoor hard courts.

Jacob’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in the Canberra Challenger.

The Brit has a composed 29-23 win-loss record in 2025, 5-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Stockholm

Elias Ymer

Ranked no. 243, Ymer got to the 2^nd round after defeating Mikael Ymer 6-2 7-6(4).

In the 1^st round, The Swede had a good straight sets win against Ymer (6-2 7-6⁴). During the match Ymer scored 71 points vs Ymer’s 61. The Swede was exceptionally aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Talking about serving, Ymer managed to score 12 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Elias Ymer was pretty effective on serve to win 81% (30/37) of his 1st serve and 58% (15/26) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Swede broke Ymer twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).

Elias’s best result of the season was reaching the final in the Chennai Challenger.

Ymer has a composed 26-26 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Stockholm

Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2023. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Fearnley	Ymer
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	3	2
Tot Games	35	21
Pts	113-101	71-61
Total Points	214	132
Winners	45	30
%Winners	40%	42%

Both Fearnley and Ymer played 1 match. At the moment, Jacob Fearnley dropped 1 set while Elias Ymer hasn’t lost a set so far. Fearnley has played 1 set more than Ymer (3 vs 2). Therefore, Fearnley played 14 games more than Ymer. Fearnley scored 45 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Elias recorded 30 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Fearnley	Ymer
Aces	6	12
Avg per match	6	12
1st in	58/101	37/63
%1st in	57%	59%
1st pts	45/58	30/37
%1st pts	78%	81%
2nd pts	26/43	15/26
%2nd pts	60%	58%

Fearnley recorded 6 aces . Ymer made 12 aces . Fearnley won 78% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Ymer won 81% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Fearnley	Ymer
Won	3	2
Converted	3/7	2/4
% Converted	43%	50%
Conceded	3	1
Saved	2	1
% Saved	67%	100%
Times Broken	1	0

The Brit broke his opponent 3 times with a 43% conversion rate. Fearnley surrendered his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Elias broke his opponent twice with a 50% conversion rate. Ymer was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 1 break points.

Fearnley
	R1 Griekspoor	Total
Score	6-3 6-76 7-65
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	35	35
pts	113-101	113-101
Total points	214	214
Winners	45	45
%Winners	40%	40%
SERVE
Aces	6	6
Double Faults	5	5
1st in	58/101	58/101
% 1st in	57%	57%
1st pts	45/58	45/58
% 1st pts	78%	78%
2nd pts	26/43	26/43
% 2nd pts	60%	60%
Breaks
Won	3	3
Converted	3/7	3/7
Converted %	43%	43%
Conceded	3	3
Saved	2/3	2
Saved %	67%	67%
Times Broken	1	1

Ymer
	R1 Ymer	Total
Score	6-2 7-64
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	21	21
pts	71-61	71-61
Total points	132	132
Winners	30	30
%Winners	42%	42%
SERVE
Aces	12	12
Double Faults	3	3
1st in	37/63	37/63
% 1st in	59%	59%
1st pts	30/37	30/37
% 1st pts	81%	81%
2nd pts	15/26	15/26
% 2nd pts	58%	58%
Breaks
Won	2	2
Converted	2/4	2/4
Converted %	50%	50%
Conceded	1	1
Saved	1/1	1
Saved %	100%	100%
Times Broken	0	0

Tennis Scores in Stockholm

• Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic – Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli (4-6 7-5 4-0 ret. (Carabelli ret.)) – See score progression
• Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Arthur FeryFery (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Elias YmerYmer – Mikael YmerYmer (6-2 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak – Filip MisolicMisolic (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Mark LajalLajal (7-6⁵ 6-7⁵ 6-3) – See score progression
• Marin CilicCilic – Nicolai Budkov KjaerBudkov Kjaer (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
• Francisco Cabral/Lucas MiedlerCabral/Lucas Miedler – Leo Borg/Nikola SlavicBorg/Nikola Slavic (6-1 6-0) – See score progression
• Jacob FearnleyFearnley – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (6-3 6-7⁶ 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Leo BorgBorg – Sebastian OfnerOfner (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Sebastian KordaKorda – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (6-7⁴ 6-1 6-3) – See score progression
• Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Alexandre MullerMuller (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
• Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic – Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli (4-6 7-5 4-0 ret. (Carabelli ret.)) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Marin CilicCilic – Casper RuudRuud (0-3) – H2H and prediction
• Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Ugo HumbertHumbert – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (1-3) – H2H and prediction
• Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic – Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Sebastian KordaKorda – Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jesper De JongDe Jong – Marton FucsovicsFucsovics (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jacob FearnleyFearnley – Elias YmerYmer (0-0) – H2H and prediction