Ugo Humbert and Matteo Berrettini will square off in the 2^nd round of the BNP Paribas Nordic Open for the 5^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 4:30 pm on CENTRE COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Berrettini who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Matteo Berrettini is the pick to win this match.
Matteo Berrettini -> 1.8
Ugo Humbert -> 2.01

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Ugo Humbert vs. Matteo Berrettini

This will be the 5^th time that Ugo Humbert and Matteo Berrettini play each other. The head to head is 3-1 for Berrettini (see full H2H stats), but Humbert leads 1-0 on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they fought against each other, Berrettini won 6-4 6-2 6-2 in the 1^st round in at the U.S. Open back in 2023.

Highlights Matteo Berrettini vs Ugo Humbert – U.S. Open 29-August-2023

Ugo Humbert

Ranked no. 25, Humbert will start his run in Stockholm after he played his last match in Shanghai where he lost 6-4 6-4 to Rune in the 3^rd round on the 5^th of October.

Ugo has a composed 19-18 win-loss record in 2025, 5-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

His best result of the season was conquering the title in Marseille where he overcame Hamad Medjedovic in the final 7-6(4) 6-4.

Talking about his overall career, The French player has an overall 360-235 record. He has a positive 107-63 record on indoor hard courts.

Previously in Stockholm

Humbert has never competed in this tournament before.

Matteo Berrettini

Ranked no. 61, the Italian got to the 2^nd round after defeating Giulio Zeppieri 6-4 6-2.

In the 1^st round, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Zeppieri (6-4 6-2). During the match Berrettini scored 61 points vs Zeppieri’s 50. The Italian was quite aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Talking about serving, Berrettini scored 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Matteo Berrettini lost the serve once and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Berrettini put 54% of his first serves in, winning 79% (26/33) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (13/28) on the 2nd serve. Matteo broke Zeppieri 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).

Berrettini has a compiled 15-14 win-loss record in 2025, 1-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Stockholm

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2024. See his history.

Tennis Scores in Stockholm

• Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Arthur FeryFery (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic – Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli (4-6 7-5 4-0 ret. (Carabelli ret.)) – See score progression
• Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Mark LajalLajal (7-6⁵ 6-7⁵ 6-3) – See score progression
• Marin CilicCilic – Nicolai Budkov KjaerBudkov Kjaer (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
• Francisco Cabral/Lucas MiedlerCabral/Lucas Miedler – Leo Borg/Nikola SlavicBorg/Nikola Slavic (6-1 6-0) – See score progression
• Elias YmerYmer – Mikael YmerYmer (6-2 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak – Filip MisolicMisolic (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Leo BorgBorg – Sebastian OfnerOfner (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Sebastian KordaKorda – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (6-7⁴ 6-1 6-3) – See score progression
• Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Alexandre MullerMuller (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
• Jacob FearnleyFearnley – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (6-3 6-7⁶ 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic – Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli (4-6 7-5 4-0 ret. (Carabelli ret.)) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Marin CilicCilic – Casper RuudRuud (0-3) – H2H and prediction
• Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Ugo HumbertHumbert – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (1-3) – H2H and prediction
• Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic – Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Sebastian KordaKorda – Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jesper De JongDe Jong – Marton FucsovicsFucsovics (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jacob FearnleyFearnley – Elias YmerYmer (0-0) – H2H and prediction