Ann Li and Rebecca Sramkova will play each other in the 2nd round of the Japan Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 11:30 am on COURT 1. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ann Li who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Ann Li is the pick to win this match.
Ann Li -> 1.71
Rebecca Sramkova -> 2.13

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Prediction and head to head Ann Li vs. Rebecca Sramkova

This will be the 3rd time that Ann Li and Rebecca Sramkova square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Li (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Li won 4-6 6-2 6-4 in the 1st round in at the U.S. Open back in August 2025.

Highlights Ann Li vs Rebecca Sramkova – U.S. Open 25-August-2025

Ann Li

Ann Li

28 - 23win/loss

Hard
15-13
I Hard
4-1
Clay
7-6
Grass
2-3
Rank
38
High
33
LWWWWWLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 33-25 20-15 7-6 4-1 2-3 0-0
2024 42-27 16-14 22-9 4-3 0-1 0-0
2023 36-28 16-13 15-9 4-4 1-2 0-0
2022 16-20 7-10 2-3 4-3 3-4 0-0
2021 25-14 19-8 1-1 4-2 1-3 0-0

Ranked no. 42 (career-high), Li reached the 2nd round after defeating Varvara Gracheva 6-4 6-0.

In the 1st round, The American had a good straight sets win against Gracheva (6-4 6-0). During the match, Li scored 61 points vs Gracheva’s 35. The American was extremely aggressive to blast 20 winners.

Talking about the service games, Li scored 2 aces and she was very solid in conceding no double faults. Ann Li lost the serve twice and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Li put 68% of her first serves in, winning 80% (20/25) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (6/12) on the 2nd serve. Ann broke Gracheva 6 times after converting 50% of her break points (6/12).

Li has favorable record in the last 10 years having won 59% of her matches (259-177). 15-13 on hard in 2025. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Li has a composed 145-99 match record in the last years on hard.

Li’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in Singapore and Cleveland.

The American has an aggregate 28-23 win-loss record in 2025, 15-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Osaka

Ann has never competed in this tournament before.

Osaka
Li's Record

Rebecca Sramkova

Rebecca Sramkova

21 - 26win/loss

Hard
12-16
I Hard
2-2
Clay
2-4
Grass
5-4
Rank
74
High
33
LLLWLWWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 23-30 14-18 2-6 2-2 5-4 0-0
2024 46-23 23-11 14-9 9-2 0-1 0-0
2023 44-25 10-7 22-9 11-8 1-1 0-0
2022 25-23 3-5 13-11 8-6 1-1 0-0
2021 29-22 7-7 13-9 8-5 1-1 0-0

Ranked no. 65, the Slovakian reached the 2nd round after beating Joanna Garland 6-3 6-1.

In the 1st round, Sramkova had a good straight sets win against Garland (6-3 6-1). During the match Sramkova scored 60 points vs Garland’s 34. The Slovakian was quite aggressive to blast 29 winners.

About the serving games, Sramkova recorded 4 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Rebecca Sramkova conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 1 break points. Furthermore, Sramkova put 67% of her first serves in, winning 91% (29/32) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (8/16) on the 2nd serve. Rebecca was clinical in her return game without wasting any break point and break Garland 4 times.

The Slovakian’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Nottingham.

The Slovakian has a compiled 21-26 win-loss record in 2025, 12-16 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Osaka
Sramkova's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

A.Li
R.Sramkova
1h:02
1h:02
Time on court​
1h:09
1h:09
1h:02
1h:02
Last match​
1h:09
1h:09
1
1
Match played
1
1
16
16
Games Played​
16
16
2
2
Set played​​
2
2
61
61
Total points​
60
60
61
61
Avg point​
60
60
20
20
Winners
29
29
20
20
Avg Winners​
29
29
33%
33%
Ratio winners
48%
48%
-- Serve --
2
2
Aces
4
4
2
2
Avg Aces
4
4
0
0
Double Faults
2
2
0
0
Avg Double Faults
2
2
20/25
20/25
1st won total​
29/32
29/32
!
80%
80%
1st won %
!
91%
91%
6/12
6/12
2nd won total​
8/16
8/16
50%
50%
2nd won %
50%
50%
-- Break Points --
6/12
6/12
BP won
4/4
4/4
6/12
6/12
Avg BP won
4/4
4/4
50%
50%
Won
!
100%
100%
3
3
Conceded
1
1
3
3
Avg Conceded
1
1
2
2
Broken
0
0
2
2
Avg Broken
!
0
0
1
1
Saved
1
1

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Li Sramkova
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 16 16
Pts 61-35 60-34
Total Points 96 94
Winners 20 29
%Winners 33% 48%

Both Li and Sramkova played 1 match. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Li and Sramkova have played the same amount of sets 2. They also played the same amount of games (16). The American scored 20 winners (33% of the total points). On the other side, Sramkova scored 29 winners (48%).

Serve Performance

Serve Li Sramkova
Aces 2 4
Avg per match 2 4
1st in 25/37 32/48
%1st in 68% 67%
1st pts 20/25 29/32
%1st pts 80% 91%
2nd pts 6/12 8/16
%2nd pts 50% 50%

Li fired 2 aces . Sramkova struck 4 aces . Li won 80% points on her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Sramkova won 91% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 50% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Li Sramkova
Won 6 4
Converted 6/12 4/4
% Converted 50% 100%
Conceded 3 1
Saved 1 1
% Saved 33% 100%
Times Broken 2 0

Ann broke her opponent 6 times with a 50% conversion rate. Li dropped her serve twice and she saved 33% of the break points that she conceded. Sramkova broke her opponent 4 times with a 100% conversion rate. The Slovakian was rock solid on her serve as she has never conceded a single service game after saving 1 break points.

Li
R1
Gracheva
Total
Score 6-4 6-0
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 16 16
pts 61-35 61-35
Total points 96 96
Winners 20 20
%Winners 33% 33%
SERVE
Aces 2 2
Double Faults 0 0
1st in 25/37 25/37
% 1st in 68% 68%
1st pts 20/25 20/25
% 1st pts 80% 80%
2nd pts 6/12 6/12
% 2nd pts 50% 50%
Breaks
Won 6 6
Converted 6/12 6/12
Converted % 50% 50%
Conceded 3 3
Saved 1/3 1
Saved % 33% 33%
Times Broken 2 2
Sramkova
R1
Garland
Total
Score 6-3 6-1
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 16 16
pts 60-34 60-34
Total points 94 94
Winners 29 29
%Winners 48% 48%
SERVE
Aces 4 4
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 32/48 32/48
% 1st in 67% 67%
1st pts 29/32 29/32
% 1st pts 91% 91%
2nd pts 8/16 8/16
% 2nd pts 50% 50%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/4 4/4
Converted % 100% 100%
Conceded 1 1
Saved 1/1 1
Saved % 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0

Tennis Scores in Osaka

Upcoming matches in the draw