Sho Shimabukuro and Sergey Fomin will fight against each other in the 2^nd round of the Shenzhen Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 1:30 pm on COVERED COURT 2. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sho Shimabukuro who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Sho Shimabukuro is the pick to win this match.
Sho Shimabukuro -> 1.3
Sergey Fomin -> 3.3

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Prediction and head to head Sho Shimabukuro vs. Sergey Fomin

This will be the 2^nd time that Sho Shimabukuro and Sergey Fomin play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Fomin (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, Fomin won 7-6(1) 7-5 in the Rubber 4 in 1 back in 2022.

Sho Shimabukuro

Ranked no. 212, Sho reached the 2^nd round after defeating Petr Bar Biryukov 6-4 7-5.

In the 1^st round, Shimabukuro had a good straight sets win against Bar Biryukov (6-4 7-5). During the match, Shimabukuro scored 72 points vs Bar Biryukov’s 55. The Japanese was very aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Talking about the service games, Shimabukuro recorded 12 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Sho Shimabukuro was extremely effective on serve to win 86% (32/37) of his 1st serve and 62% (16/26) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Japanese broke Bar Biryukov twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).

Shimabukuro has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (262-165). 18-16 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Shimabukuro has an overall 196-119 record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the year was winning the title the Zhangjiagang Challenger where he defeated Oliver Crawford in the final 6-3 3-6 7-5.

Sho has an aggregate 21-19 win-loss record in 2025, 18-16 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Shenzhen Challenger

Sho has never competed in this tournament before.

Sergey Fomin

Ranked no. 490, Sergey got to the 2^nd round after defeating Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul 6-3 6-3, Evan Zhu 6-3 1-6 6-3 and Arthur Weber 6-4 6-4.

In the 1^st round, Fomin had a good straight sets win against Weber (6-4 6-4). During the match Fomin scored 69 points vs Weber’s 56. The Uzbek was exceptionally aggressive to blast 32 winners.

About the serving games, Fomin made 5 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Sergey Fomin lost the serve once and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Fomin put 59% of his first serves in, winning 86% (32/37) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (12/26) on the 2nd serve. The Uzbek broke Weber 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).

The Uzbek’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in M15 Antalya,M25 Antalya and M15 Shymkent.

The Uzbek has an overall 47-25 win-loss record in 2025, 16-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Shimabukuro	Fomin
Match played	1	3
Tot Set	2	7
Tot Games	22	63
Pts	72-55	217-178
Total Points	127	395
Winners	32	92
%Winners	44%	42%

Shimabukuro played 1 match while Fomin competed in 3 matches. Fomin started his run from the qualifications while Shimabukuro had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Sergey Fomin lost 1 set while Sho Shimabukuro hasn’t conceded a set so far. Shimabukuro has played 5 set(s) less than Fomin (2 vs 7). Therefore, Shimabukuro played 41 games less than Fomin. Sho scored 32 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Sergey blasted 92 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Shimabukuro	Fomin
Aces	12	17
Avg per match	12	5.7
1st in	37/63	116/198
%1st in	59%	59%
1st pts	32/37	92/116
%1st pts	86%	79%
2nd pts	16/26	46/82
%2nd pts	62%	56%

Shimabukuro bagged 12 aces . Fomin scored 17 aces (5.7 per match). Shimabukuro won 86% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 62% of the points. On the other side, Fomin won 79% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Shimabukuro	Fomin
Won	2	8
Converted	2/3	8/17
% Converted	67%	47%
Conceded	6	16
Saved	6	13
% Saved	100%	81%
Times Broken	0	3

The Japanese broke his opponent twice with a 67% conversion rate. The Japanese very solid his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 6 break points. The Uzbek broke his opponents 8 times with a 47% conversion rate. Fomin conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 81% of the break points that he conceded.

Shimabukuro
	R1 Bar	Total
Score	6-4 7-5
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	22	22
pts	72-55	72-55
Total points	127	127
Winners	32	32
%Winners	44%	44%
SERVE
Aces	12	12
Double Faults	4	4
1st in	37/63	37/63
% 1st in	59%	59%
1st pts	32/37	32/37
% 1st pts	86%	86%
2nd pts	16/26	16/26
% 2nd pts	62%	62%
Breaks
Won	2	2
Converted	2/3	2/3
Converted %	67%	67%
Conceded	6	6
Saved	6/6	6
Saved %	100%	100%
Times Broken	0	0

Fomin
	Q1 Trongcharoenchaikul	Q3 Zhu	R1 Weber	Total
Score	6-3 6-3	6-3 1-6 6-3	6-4 6-4
Tot Set	2	3	2	7
Tot Games	18	25	20	63
pts	66-48	82-74	69-56	217-178
Total points	114	156	125	395
Winners	23	37	32	92
%Winners	35%	45%	46%	42%
SERVE
Aces	4	8	5	17
Double Faults	0	2	5	7
1st in	30/52	49/83	37/63	116/198
% 1st in	58%	59%	59%	59%
1st pts	23/30	37/49	32/37	92/116
% 1st pts	77%	76%	86%	79%
2nd pts	16/22	18/34	12/26	46/82
% 2nd pts	73%	53%	46%	56%
Breaks
Won	3	2	3	8
Converted	3/8	2/4	3/5	8/17
Converted %	38%	50%	60%	47%
Conceded	4	4	8	16
Saved	4/4	2/4	7/8	13
Saved %	100%	50%	88%	238%
Times Broken	0	2	1	3

Tennis Scores in Shenzhen Challenger

• Fajing SunSun – Hyeon ChungChung (6-3 7-6⁵) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Jie CuiCui – Pavel KotovKotov (6-2 3-6 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Ye Cong MoCong Mo – Henrique RochaRocha (7-5 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Yi ZhouZhou – Aoran WangWang (w/o) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Frederico Ferreira SilvaFerreira Silva – Harold MayotMayot (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Kaichi UchidaUchida – Jason JungJung (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Omar JasikaJasika – Kyrian JacquetJacquet (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Fajing SunSun – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Sho ShimabukuroShimabukuro – Sergey FominFomin (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Ye Cong MoCong Mo – Jie CuiCui (1-2) – H2H and prediction