Ann Li and Varvara Gracheva will fight against each other in the 1st round of the Japan Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 11:30 am on COURT 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ann Li who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Ann Li is the pick to win this match.
Ann Li -> 1.51
Varvara Gracheva -> 2.55

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Prediction and head to head Ann Li vs. Varvara Gracheva

This will be the 3rd time that Ann Li and Varvara Gracheva clash against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Li (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Li won 4-6 7-6(5) 6-3 in the 1st round in the Midland back in 2022.

Ann Li

Ann Li

27 - 23win/loss

Hard
14-13
I Hard
4-1
Clay
7-6
Grass
2-3
Rank
38
High
33
LWWWWWLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 33-25 20-15 7-6 4-1 2-3 0-0
2024 42-27 16-14 22-9 4-3 0-1 0-0
2023 36-28 16-13 15-9 4-4 1-2 0-0
2022 16-20 7-10 2-3 4-3 3-4 0-0
2021 25-14 19-8 1-1 4-2 1-3 0-0

Ranked no. 42 (career-high), the American will start her run in Osaka after she played her last match in Wuhan where she lost 7-6(5) 6-2 to Alexandrova in the 2nd round on the 8th of October.

Ann has a composed 27-23 win-loss record in 2025, 14-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Ann’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Singapore and Cleveland.

Talking about her overall career, The American has an overall 258-177 record. She has a positive 144-99 record on hard.

Previously in Osaka

Ann has never competed in this tournament before.

Osaka
Li's Record

Varvara Gracheva

Varvara Gracheva

31 - 26win/loss

Hard
17-12
I Hard
1-3
Clay
9-8
Grass
4-3
Rank
80
High
39
LWWWLWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 34-28 20-14 9-8 1-3 4-3 0-0
2024 29-28 13-15 15-10 0-1 1-2 0-0
2023 36-30 23-18 7-6 3-3 3-3 0-0
2022 29-32 7-11 12-14 10-7 0-0 0-0
2021 27-31 11-10 7-10 9-9 0-2 0-0

Ranked no. 83, Varvara reached the 1st round after defeating Himeno Sakatsume 6-3 7-5 and Elena Gabriela Ruse 7-6(2) 6-2.

In the qualifications, The French player had a good straight sets win against Gabriela Ruse (7-62 6-2). During the match Gracheva scored 70 points vs Gabriela Ruse’s 52. Gracheva was pretty aggressive to blast 18 winners.

Talking about serving, Gracheva struck 2 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Varvara Gracheva lost the serve 3 times and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Gracheva put 57% of her first serves in, winning 56% (18/32) of the points behind her 1st serve and 75% (18/24) on the 2nd serve. The French player broke Gabriela Ruse 5 times after converting 83% of her break points (5/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The French player started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she hasn’t lost yet a set in this event to win 55% of the points she played.

Gracheva’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in the Paris and Eastbourne.

Varvara has an aggregate 31-26 win-loss record in 2025, 17-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Osaka
Gracheva's Record

Tennis Scores in Osaka

Upcoming matches in the draw