Henrique Rocha and Luca Castelnuovo will fight against each other in the 1^st round of the Shenzhen Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 11:00 am on COVERED COURT 2. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Henrique Rocha who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Henrique Rocha is the pick to win this match.
Henrique Rocha -> 1.42
Luca Castelnuovo -> 2.71

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Prediction and head to head Henrique Rocha vs. Luca Castelnuovo

There is no head to head record between Henrique Rocha and Luca Castelnuovo since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Henrique Rocha

27 - 25win/loss

Hard

10-6

I Hard

1-2

Clay

15-16

Grass

1-1

Rank
153

High
149

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Year	Total	Hard	Clay	I.hard	Grass	Carpet
2025	33-28	16-9	15-16	1-2	1-1	0-0
2024	40-33	10-7	27-22	2-2	1-2	0-0
2023	64-27	47-11	17-14	0-2	0-0	0-0
2022	18-18	8-9	10-9	0-0	0-0	0-0
2021	3-11	2-6	1-5	0-0	0-0	0-0

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Ranked no. 161, Henrique will start his run in the Shenzhen Challenger after he played his last match in the Braga Challenger where he lost 6-7(2) 6-3 6-1 to Moller in the 2^nd round on the 1^st of October.

The Portuguese has an aggregate 27-25 win-loss record in 2025, 10-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Henrique’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in the Lisbon Challenger.

Talking about his overall career, The Portuguese has an overall 153-115 record. He has a positive 78-40 record on hard.

Previously in the Shenzhen Challenger

The Portuguese has never competed in this tournament before.

Shenzhen Challenger

Rocha's Record

Luca Castelnuovo

42 - 20win/loss

Hard

31-16

I Hard

8-2

Clay

3-2

Rank
410

High
400

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Year	Total	Hard	Clay	I.hard	Grass	Carpet
2025	43-23	32-18	3-2	8-3	0-0	0-0
2024	25-21	25-20	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-0
2023	36-23	22-15	4-3	8-4	0-0	2-1
2022	9-16	8-7	0-2	0-3	1-2	0-2
2021	21-30	9-10	11-18	0-1	1-1	0-0

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Ranked no. 407 (career-high), Castelnuovo got to the 1^st round after defeating Duckhee Lee 6-2 6-4 and Sidharth Rawat 6-4 7-6(3).

In the qualifications, Castelnuovo had a good straight sets win against Rawat (6-4 7-6³). During the match Castelnuovo scored 79 points vs Rawat’s 78. Castelnuovo was exceptionally aggressive to blast 37 winners.

Talking about serving, Castelnuovo struck 12 aces and he committed only 9 double faults. Luca Castelnuovo conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 5 break points. Furthermore, Castelnuovo put 54% of his first serves in, winning 82% (37/45) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (18/38) on the 2nd serve. Luca broke Rawat once after converting 20% of his break points (1/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Luca started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t lost yet a set in this tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

Castelnuovo’s best result of the season was reaching the final in M15 Kayseri,M25 Luzhou,M15 Maanshan and M25 Guiyang.

The Swiss has a compiled 42-20 win-loss record in 2025, 31-16 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Shenzhen Challenger

Castelnuovo's Record