Nicolas Arseneault and Strong Kirchheimer will face off in the qualifications of the Lincoln Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 3:00 pm on STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Strong Kirchheimer who should win in 3 sets.
Strong Kirchheimer -> 1.49
Nicolas Arseneault -> 2.49
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Prediction and head to head Nicolas Arseneault vs. Strong Kirchheimer
This will be the 2nd time that Nicolas Arseneault and Strong Kirchheimer clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Kirchheimer (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they fought against each other, Kirchheimer won 6-3 4-6 6-0 in the 2nd round in M25 Ithaca back in January 2025.
Nicolas Arseneault
34 - 18win/loss
506
491
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 35-22 | 24-11 | 2-3 | 9-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 6-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 509, Arseneault got to the qualifications after beating Ozan Baris 7-5 7-6(6).
In the qualifications, Arseneault had a good straight sets win against Baris (7-5 7-66). During the match, Arseneault scored 86 points vs Baris’s 76. Nicolas was extremely aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Talking about the service games, Arseneault fired 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Nicolas Arseneault was pretty efficient on serve to win 85% (33/39) of his 1st serve and 63% (22/35) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Canadian broke Baris once after converting 14% of his break points (1/7).
Arseneault has a winning match record in the last 3 years having won 59% of his matches (40-28). 7-4 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Arseneault has an aggregate12-11 match record in the last 3 years on indoor hard courts.
The Canadian’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in M25 Santo Domingo.
Arseneault has a compiled 33-18 win-loss record in 2025, 7-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Lincoln Challenger
Arseneault has never competed in this tournament before.
Strong Kirchheimer
20 - 31win/loss
675
375
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 21-35 | 14-21 | 1-4 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 25-32 | 15-19 | 2-4 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-29 | 19-16 | 2-4 | 17-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-30 | 17-12 | 7-11 | 9-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-21 | 12-15 | 6-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 617, Kirchheimer got to the qualifications after defeating Kenta Miyoshi 6-1 6-4.
In the qualifications, The American had a good straight sets win against Miyoshi (6-1 6-4). During the match Kirchheimer scored 61 points vs Miyoshi’s 47. Kirchheimer was very aggressive to blast 33 winners.
About the serving games, Kirchheimer scored 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Strong Kirchheimer conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 5 break points. Furthermore, Kirchheimer put 62% of his first serves in, winning 87% (33/38) of the points behind his 1st serve and 39% (9/23) on the 2nd serve. Kirchheimer broke Miyoshi 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).
The American’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in M25 Southaven.
The American has a composed 20-30 win-loss record in 2025, 5-5 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Arseneault | Kirchheimer |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 25 | 17 |
| Pts | 86-76 | 61-47 |
| Total Points | 162 | 108 |
| Winners | 33 | 33 |
| %Winners | 38% | 54% |
Both Arseneault and Kirchheimer played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Arseneault and Kirchheimer have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Arseneault played 8 games more than Kirchheimer. The Canadian scored 33 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, The American fired 33 winners (54%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Arseneault | Kirchheimer |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 2 |
| 1st in | 39/74 | 38/61 |
| %1st in | 53% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 33/39 | 33/38 |
| %1st pts | 85% | 87% |
| 2nd pts | 22/35 | 9/23 |
| %2nd pts | 63% | 39% |
Arseneault managed to score 4 aces . Kirchheimer recorded 2 aces . Arseneault won 85% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Kirchheimer won 87% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 39% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Arseneault | Kirchheimer |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 1 | 3 |
| Converted | 1/7 | 3/8 |
| % Converted | 14% | 38% |
| Conceded | 1 | 5 |
| Saved | 1 | 5 |
| % Saved | 100% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 |
Arseneault broke his opponent once with a 14% conversion rate. Nicolas quite strong on his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 1 break points. The American broke his opponent 3 times with a 38% conversion rate. Strong was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 5 break points.
| Arseneault | |||
| Q1 Baris | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 7-66 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 25 | |
| pts | 86-76 | 86-76 | |
| Total points | 162 | 162 | |
| Winners | 33 | 33 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 39/74 | 39/74 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 33/39 | 33/39 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 85% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/35 | 22/35 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 63% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 1 | 1 | |
| Converted | 1/7 | 1/7 | |
| Converted % | 14% | 14% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Kirchheimer | |||
| Q1 Miyoshi | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 61-47 | 61-47 | |
| Total points | 108 | 108 | |
| Winners | 33 | 33 | |
| %Winners | 54% | 54% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 38/61 | 38/61 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 33/38 | 33/38 | |
| % 1st pts | 87% | 87% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/23 | 9/23 | |
| % 2nd pts | 39% | 39% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 3/8 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 5/5 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
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