Andrew Fenty and Karl Poling will face off in the qualifications of the Lincoln Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 12:30 pm on STADIUM. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Andrew Fenty who should win in 2 sets.
Andrew Fenty -> 1.4
Karl Poling -> 2.79
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Prediction and head to head Andrew Fenty vs. Karl Poling
There is no head to head record between Andrew Fenty and Karl Poling since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Andrew Fenty
41 - 26win/loss
445
438
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 44-29 | 33-18 | 6-6 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 27-25 | 27-25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 14-13 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 8-6 | 0-1 | 7-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 496 (career-high), the American reached the qualifications after defeating Noah Schachter 6-4 6-4.
In the qualifications, Andrew had a good straight sets win against Schachter (6-4 6-4). During the match, Fenty scored 60 points vs Schachter’s 48. The American was extremely aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Talking about the service games, Fenty recorded 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Andrew Fenty was extremely effective on serve to win 77% (27/35) of his 1st serve and 53% (9/17) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Andrew was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Schachter 4 times.
Fenty has a winning match record in the last 7 years having won 55% of his matches (102-84). 1-2 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Fenty has a compiled10-7 match record in the last 7 years on indoor hard courts.
Andrew’s best result of the year was reaching the final in M15 Rancho Santa Fe and Nova.
The American has a composed 40-26 win-loss record in 2025, 1-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Lincoln Challenger
Andrew has never competed in this tournament before.
Karl Poling
26 - 29win/loss
613
542
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 30-33 | 13-17 | 9-8 | 8-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 22-15 | 17-10 | 0-1 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 10-6 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 651, Karl got to the qualifications after beating Joshua Sheehy 6-3 3-6 6-3.
In the qualifications, The American defeated Sheehy (6-3 3-6 6-3). During the match Poling scored 82 points vs Sheehy’s 77. Karl was quite aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Talking about serving, Poling struck 3 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Karl Poling was exceptionally effective on serve to win 82% (36/44) of his 1st serve and 58% (18/31) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Poling broke Sheehy twice after converting 22% of his break points (2/9).
The American’s best result of the season was reaching the final in M15 Bastad.
Karl has an overall 26-28 win-loss record in 2025, 6-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Lincoln Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Fenty | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 20 | 27 |
| Pts | 60-48 | 82-77 |
| Total Points | 108 | 159 |
| Winners | 27 | 36 |
| %Winners | 45% | 44% |
Both Fenty and Poling played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Karl Poling dropped 1 set while Andrew Fenty hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Fenty has played 1 set(s) less than Poling (2 vs 3). Therefore, Fenty played 7 games less than Poling. Fenty scored 27 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Poling made 36 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Fenty | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 3 |
| 1st in | 35/52 | 44/75 |
| %1st in | 67% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 27/35 | 36/44 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 82% |
| 2nd pts | 9/17 | 18/31 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 58% |
Fenty blasted 4 aces . Poling made 3 aces . Fenty won 77% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Poling won 82% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Fenty | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 2 |
| Converted | 4/4 | 2/9 |
| % Converted | 100% | 22% |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 |
| Saved | 0 | 1 |
| % Saved | 0% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 |
Andrew broke his opponent 4 times with a 100% conversion rate. Andrew conceded his serve twice and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded. Poling broke his opponent twice with a 22% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Fenty | |||
| Q1 Schachter | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 60-48 | 60-48 | |
| Total points | 108 | 108 | |
| Winners | 27 | 27 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 35/52 | 35/52 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 27/35 | 27/35 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/17 | 9/17 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/4 | 4/4 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 100% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 0/2 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Poling | |||
| Q1 Sheehy | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 3-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 27 | |
| pts | 82-77 | 82-77 | |
| Total points | 159 | 159 | |
| Winners | 36 | 36 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 44/75 | 44/75 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 36/44 | 36/44 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/31 | 18/31 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/9 | 2/9 | |
| Converted % | 22% | 22% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
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