Varvara Gracheva and Elena Gabriela Ruse will clash against each other in the qualifications of the Japan Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 11:30 am on COURT 6. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Varvara Gracheva who should win in 3 sets.
Varvara Gracheva -> 1.8
Elena Gabriela Ruse -> 1.94
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Prediction and head to head Varvara Gracheva vs. Elena Gabriela Ruse
There is no head to head record between Varvara Gracheva and Elena Gabriela Ruse since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Varvara Gracheva
31 - 26win/loss
80
39
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 34-28 | 20-14 | 9-8 | 1-3 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 29-28 | 13-15 | 15-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-30 | 23-18 | 7-6 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-32 | 7-11 | 12-14 | 10-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 27-31 | 11-10 | 7-10 | 9-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 82, Varvara got to the qualifications after defeating Himeno Sakatsume 6-3 7-5.
In the qualifications, The French player had a good straight sets win against Sakatsume (6-3 7-5). During the match, Gracheva scored 86 points vs Sakatsume’s 75. Gracheva was pretty aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Talking about the service games, Gracheva scored just 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 3 double faults. Varvara Gracheva lost the serve twice and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Gracheva put 64% of her first serves in, winning 64% (38/59) of the points behind her 1st serve and 48% (16/33) on the 2nd serve. Varvara broke Sakatsume 4 times after converting 44% of her break points (4/9).
Gracheva has winning match record in the last 10 years having won 58% of her matches (294-217). 16-12 on hard in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Gracheva has a composed 92-88 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
The French player best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in the Paris and Eastbourne.
Varvara has a composed 30-26 win-loss record in 2025, 16-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Osaka
The French player has never competed in this tournament before.
Elena Gabriela Ruse
25 - 18win/loss
99
51
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25-18 | 12-11 | 7-4 | 0-1 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 36-20 | 12-5 | 17-8 | 4-5 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 31-20 | 18-10 | 6-6 | 5-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 17-23 | 13-10 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 31-16 | 9-5 | 20-8 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 100, Elena got to the qualifications after defeating Dominika Salkova 6-7(3) 6-0 6-1.
In the qualifications against Salkova, The Romanian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-73 6-0 6-1). During the match Gabriela Ruse scored 99 points vs Salkova’s 73. Gabriela Ruse was extremely aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Talking about serving, Gabriela Ruse bagged 9 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Overall, Elena Gabriela Ruse was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 79% (37/47) of her 1st serve and 55% (22/40) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Gabriela Ruse broke Salkova 6 times after converting 46% of her break points (6/13).
Elena’s best result of the year was getting to the final in Hertogenbosch.
Gabriela Ruse has an overall 25-17 win-loss record in 2025, 12-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Gracheva | Gabriela Ruse |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 21 | 26 |
| Pts | 86-75 | 99-73 |
| Total Points | 161 | 172 |
| Winners | 38 | 37 |
| %Winners | 44% | 37% |
Both Gracheva and Gabriela Ruse played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Elena Gabriela Ruse dropped 1 set while Varvara Gracheva hasn’t conceded a set so far. Gracheva has played 1 set(s) less than Gabriela Ruse (2 vs 3). Therefore, Gracheva played 5 games less than Gabriela Ruse. The French player scored 38 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The Romanian bagged 37 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Gracheva | Gabriela Ruse |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 9 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 9 |
| 1st in | 59/92 | 47/87 |
| %1st in | 64% | 54% |
| 1st pts | 38/59 | 37/47 |
| %1st pts | 64% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 16/33 | 22/40 |
| %2nd pts | 48% | 55% |
Gracheva made 1 ace . Gabriela Ruse also blasted 9 aces . Gracheva won 64% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Gabriela Ruse won 79% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Gracheva | Gabriela Ruse |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 6 |
| Converted | 4/9 | 6/13 |
| % Converted | 44% | 46% |
| Conceded | 8 | 5 |
| Saved | 6 | 4 |
| % Saved | 75% | 80% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 |
Varvara broke her opponent 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. Varvara dropped her serve twice and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded. The Romanian broke her opponent 6 times with a 46% conversion rate. Elena conceded her serve once and she saved 80% of the break points that she conceded.
| Gracheva | |||
| Q1 Sakatsume | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 21 | |
| pts | 86-75 | 86-75 | |
| Total points | 161 | 161 | |
| Winners | 38 | 38 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 59/92 | 59/92 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 38/59 | 38/59 | |
| % 1st pts | 64% | 64% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/33 | 16/33 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 4/9 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | 6/8 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Gabriela Ruse | |||
| Q1 Salkova | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-73 6-0 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 26 | |
| pts | 99-73 | 99-73 | |
| Total points | 172 | 172 | |
| Winners | 37 | 37 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 9 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 47/87 | 47/87 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 37/47 | 37/47 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/40 | 22/40 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/13 | 6/13 | |
| Converted % | 46% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Tennis Scores in Osaka
- Geoffrey BlancaneauxBlancaneaux – Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori (6-2 4-6 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
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