Koki Matsuda and Aoran Wang will play each other in the qualifications of the Shenzhen Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 12:30 pm on COVERED COURT 4. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Koki Matsuda who should win in 3 sets.
Koki Matsuda -> 1.59
Aoran Wang -> 2.25
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Prediction and head to head Koki Matsuda vs. Aoran Wang
There is no head to head record between Koki Matsuda and Aoran Wang since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Koki Matsuda
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 43-18 | 21-13 | 0-0 | 22-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 23-21 | 16-10 | 7-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 18-21 | 18-19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 6-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 668, Matsuda got to the qualifications after defeating Mikalai Haliak 6-2 7-6(6).
In the qualifications, The Japanese had a good straight sets win against Haliak (6-2 7-66). During the match, Matsuda scored 77 points vs Haliak’s 66. The Japanese was extremely aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Regarding the service games, Matsuda bagged 10 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Koki Matsuda lost the serve once and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Matsuda put 56% of his first serves in, winning 70% (26/37) of the points behind his 1st serve and 62% (18/29) on the 2nd serve. Koki broke Haliak 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).
Matsuda has a solid match record in the last 4 years having won 60% of his matches (86-58). 17-9 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Matsuda has an aggregate57-41 match record in the last 4 years on hard.
Matsuda’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in M15 Maanshan and M15 Singapore.
The Japanese has a compiled 39-13 win-loss record in 2025, 17-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Shenzhen Challenger
Matsuda has never competed in this tournament before.
Aoran Wang
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12-14 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 9-13 | 8-12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 23-21 | 23-20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 6-5 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 792, Wang reached the qualifications after beating Dominik Palan 3-6 6-4 7-6(7).
In the qualifications against Palan, Aoran recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-4 7-67).During the match Wang scored less points (2) than Palan. In fact, the world no. 668 won 92 points vs Palan’s. That means that Wang was more focused during the important points. Wang was quite aggressive to blast 48 winners.
About the serving games, Wang scored 16 aces and he was not very steady on his 2nd serve to score 11 double faults. Aoran Wang lost the serve twice and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Wang put 55% of his first serves in, winning 89% (48/54) of the points behind his 1st serve and 49% (22/45) on the 2nd serve. Aoran broke Palan once after converting 25% of his break points (1/4).
Wang’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in M15 Luan.
Aoran has a composed 9-13 win-loss record in 2025, 6-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Shenzhen Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2023 and 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Matsuda | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 21 | 32 |
| Pts | 77-66 | 92-94 |
| Total Points | 143 | 186 |
| Winners | 26 | 48 |
| %Winners | 34% | 52% |
Both Matsuda and Wang played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Aoran Wang conceded 1 set while Koki Matsuda hasn’t conceded a set so far. Matsuda has played 1 set(s) less than Wang (2 vs 3). Therefore, Matsuda played 11 games less than Wang. Matsuda scored 26 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Aoran managed to score 48 winners (52%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Matsuda | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 16 |
| Avg per match | 10 | 16 |
| 1st in | 37/66 | 54/99 |
| %1st in | 56% | 55% |
| 1st pts | 26/37 | 48/54 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 89% |
| 2nd pts | 18/29 | 22/45 |
| %2nd pts | 62% | 49% |
Matsuda struck 10 aces . Wang recorded 16 aces . Matsuda won 70% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 62% of the points. On the other side, Wang won 89% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Matsuda | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 1 |
| Converted | 3/8 | 1/4 |
| % Converted | 38% | 25% |
| Conceded | 2 | 6 |
| Saved | 1 | 4 |
| % Saved | 50% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 |
Matsuda broke his opponent 3 times with a 38% conversion rate. Matsuda surrendered his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Aoran broke his opponent once with a 25% conversion rate. Aoran conceded his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Matsuda | |||
| Q1 Haliak | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 7-66 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 21 | |
| pts | 77-66 | 77-66 | |
| Total points | 143 | 143 | |
| Winners | 26 | 26 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 10 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 37/66 | 37/66 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 26/37 | 26/37 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/29 | 18/29 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 62% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 3/8 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Wang | |||
| Q1 Palan | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-4 7-67 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 32 | |
| pts | 92-94 | 92-94 | |
| Total points | 186 | 186 | |
| Winners | 48 | 48 | |
| %Winners | 52% | 52% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 16 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 11 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 54/99 | 54/99 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 48/54 | 48/54 | |
| % 1st pts | 89% | 89% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/45 | 22/45 | |
| % 2nd pts | 49% | 49% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 1 | 1 | |
| Converted | 1/4 | 1/4 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 25% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Upcoming matches in the draw
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- Hyeon ChungChung – Rigele TeTe (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Omar JasikaJasika – Yasutaka UchiyamaUchiyama (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Aoran WangWang – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Luca CastelnuovoCastelnuovo – Sidharth RawatRawat (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lloyd HarrisHarris – Harold MayotMayot (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Sho ShimabukuroShimabukuro – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Sergey FominFomin – Evan ZhuZhu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jie CuiCui – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Pavel KotovKotov – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tsung-Hao HuangHuang – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Rio NoguchiNoguchi – Kaichi UchidaUchida (3-2) – H2H and prediction
- Kasidit SamrejSamrej – Jason JungJung (0-0) – H2H and prediction