Hugo Gaston and Otto Virtanen will fight against each other in the final of the Roanne Challenger for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 3:00 pm on CENTRAL A.VACHERESSE. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Otto Virtanen who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Otto Virtanen is the pick to win this match.
Otto Virtanen -> 1.86
Hugo Gaston -> 1.87

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Prediction and head to head Hugo Gaston vs. Otto Virtanen

This will be the 3^rd time that Hugo Gaston and Otto Virtanen clash against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Gaston (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they competed against each other, Gaston won 6-7(9) 7-6(4) 6-2 in the 1^st round in the Captif Challenger back in 2023.

Hugo Gaston

Ranked no. 101, Gaston got to the final after beating Viktor Durasovic 7-5 6-3, Borna Gojo 5-7 7-6(3) 7-5, Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 6-4 3-6 6-1 and Matej Dodig 3-6 6-3 6-3.

In the semifinal against Dodig, Hugo recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-3 6-3). During the match, Gaston scored 104 points vs Dodig’s 92. The French player was very aggressive to blast 33 winners.

Regarding the service games, Gaston made 7 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Overall, Hugo Gaston was exceptionally effective on serve to win 79% (33/42) of his 1st serve and 58% (22/38) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The French player broke Dodig 3 times after converting 16% of his break points (3/19).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Gaston has surrendered 3 set in this event to conquer 54% of the points he played.

Gaston has winning match record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (265-212). 9-2 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Gaston has a composed 72-58 win-loss record in the last years on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the year was winning the title the Rennes Challenger where he defeated Stan Wawrinka in the final 6-4 6-4.

The French player has an overall 24-29 win-loss record in 2025, 9-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Roanne Challenger

Otto Virtanen

Ranked no. 140, Virtanen reached the final after defeating Tom Paris 6-3 7-6(5), Alexander Blockx 2-6 6-3 7-6(3), Calvin Hemery 6-4 6-4 and Matteo Martineau 7-6(3) 6-4.

In the semifinal, The Finn had a good straight sets win against Martineau (7-6³ 6-4). During the match Virtanen scored 75 points vs Martineau’s 66. Otto was exceptionally aggressive to blast 35 winners.

About the serving games, Virtanen struck 18 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Otto Virtanen lost the serve once and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Virtanen put 62% of his first serves in, winning 88% (35/40) of the points behind his 1st serve and 40% (10/25) on the 2nd serve. The Finn broke Martineau twice after converting 25% of his break points (2/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Finn has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

His best result of the year was winning the title the Birmingham Challenger where he overcame Colton Smith in the final 6-4 6-4.

The Finn has an overall 20-20 win-loss record in 2025, 5-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Gaston	Virtanen
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	11	9
Tot Games	111	95
Pts	364-312	296-267
Total Points	676	563
Winners	135	138
%Winners	37%	47%

Both Gaston and Virtanen played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Hugo Gaston lost 3 sets, while Otto Virtanen conceded 1 set. Gaston has played 2 sets more than Virtanen (11 vs 9). Therefore, Gaston played 16 games more than Virtanen. The French player scored 135 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, The Finn blasted 138 winners (47%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Gaston	Virtanen
Aces	25	48
Avg per match	6.3	12
1st in	167/305	162/272
%1st in	55%	60%
1st pts	135/167	138/162
%1st pts	81%	85%
2nd pts	85/138	53/110
%2nd pts	62%	48%

Gaston recorded 25 aces (6.3 per match). Virtanen recorded 48 aces (12 per match). Gaston won 81% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points. On the other side, Virtanen won 85% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Gaston	Virtanen
Won	12	9
Converted	12/36	9/23
% Converted	33%	39%
Conceded	17	14
Saved	11	10
% Saved	65%	71%
Times Broken	6	4

Gaston broke his opponents 12 times with a 33% conversion rate. Gaston dropped his serve 6 times and he saved 65% of the break points that he conceded. Otto broke his opponents 9 times with a 39% conversion rate. The Finn conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.

Gaston
	R1 Durasovic	R2 Gojo	1/4 Budkov	1/2 Dodig	Total
Score	7-5 6-3	5-7 7-63 7-5	6-4 3-6 6-1	3-6 6-3 6-3
Tot Set	2	3	3	3	11
Tot Games	21	37	26	27	111
pts	59-42	120-107	81-71	104-92	364-312
Total points	101	227	152	196	676
Winners	22	50	30	33	135
%Winners	37%	42%	37%	32%	37%
SERVE
Aces	5	11	2	7	25
Double Faults	1	3	1	6	11
1st in	27/54	55/98	43/73	42/80	167/305
% 1st in	50%	56%	59%	53%	55%
1st pts	22/27	50/55	30/43	33/42	135/167
% 1st pts	81%	91%	70%	79%	81%
2nd pts	20/27	25/43	18/30	22/38	85/138
% 2nd pts	74%	58%	60%	58%	62%
Breaks
Won	3	2	4	3	12
Converted	3/3	2/8	4/6	3/19	12/36
Converted %	100%	25%	67%	16%	33%
Conceded	3	3	4	7	17
Saved	2/3	1/3	2/4	6/7	11
Saved %	67%	33%	50%	86%	59%
Times Broken	1	2	2	1	6

Virtanen
	R1 Paris	R2 Blockx	1/4 Hemery	1/2 Martineau	Total
Score	6-3 7-65	2-6 6-3 7-63	6-4 6-4	7-63 6-4
Tot Set	2	3	2	2	9
Tot Games	22	30	20	23	95
pts	70-62	91-89	60-50	75-66	296-267
Total points	132	180	110	141	563
Winners	32	40	31	35	138
%Winners	46%	44%	52%	47%	47%
SERVE
Aces	10	10	10	18	48
Double Faults	2	5	3	5	15
1st in	37/65	50/87	35/55	40/65	162/272
% 1st in	57%	57%	64%	62%	60%
1st pts	32/37	40/50	31/35	35/40	138/162
% 1st pts	86%	80%	89%	88%	85%
2nd pts	14/28	18/37	11/20	10/25	53/110
% 2nd pts	50%	49%	55%	40%	48%
Breaks
Won	2	3	2	2	9
Converted	2/4	3/7	2/4	2/8	9/23
Converted %	50%	43%	50%	25%	39%
Conceded	2	8	2	2	14
Saved	2/2	5/8	2/2	1/2	10
Saved %	100%	63%	100%	50%	78%
Times Broken	0	3	0	1	4

Tennis Scores in Roanne Challenger

• Vasil Kirkov/Bart StevensKirkov/Bart Stevens – Joran Vliegen/Jack WithrowVliegen/Jack Withrow (4-6 6-1 10-4) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Hugo GastonGaston – Otto VirtanenVirtanen (2-0) – H2H and prediction