Cori Gauff and Jessica Pegula will play each other in the final of the Wuhan Open for the 7th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 6:30 pm on CENTER. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Cori Gauff who should win in 3 sets.
Cori Gauff -> 1.61
Jessica Pegula -> 2.39
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Prediction and head to head Cori Gauff vs. Jessica Pegula
This will be the 7th time that Cori Gauff and Jessica Pegula play each other. The head to head is 4-2 for Pegula (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Gauff won 6-3 6-2 in the R in Riyadh back in 2024.
Highlights Cori Gauff vs Jessica Pegula – Riyadh 03-November-2024
Cori Gauff
46 - 14win/loss
3
2
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 48-16 | 29-9 | 18-3 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 54-18 | 31-10 | 14-5 | 4-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-16 | 40-9 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-23 | 23-16 | 10-4 | 0-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-16 | 16-10 | 16-4 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3, Cori reached the final after beating Moyuka Uchijima 6-1 6-0, Shuai Zhang 6-3 6-2, Laura Siegemund 6-3 6-0 and Jasmine Paolini 6-4 6-3.
In the semifinal, Gauff had a good straight sets win against Paolini (6-4 6-3). During the match, Gauff scored 59 points vs Paolini’s 52. The American was very aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Regarding the service games, Gauff scored just 1 ace in the match and she committed only 7 double faults. Cori Gauff lost the serve 5 times and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Gauff put 67% of her first serves in, winning 59% (22/37) of the points behind her 1st serve and 28% (5/18) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Paolini 7 times after converting 78% of her break points (7/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to win 61% of the points she played.
Gauff has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 71% of her matches (275-114). 28-9 on hard in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Gauff has a composed158-67 record in the last 9 years on hard.
Her best result of the season was conquering the title in Australia where she beat Iga Swiatek in the final 6-4 6-4 and at the French Open where she overcame Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-7(5) 6-2 6-4.
Cori has a composed 46-14 win-loss record in 2025, 28-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wuhan
Jessica Pegula
51 - 20win/loss
6
3
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 53-23 | 35-12 | 11-5 | 3-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-16 | 29-9 | 4-2 | 0-2 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 59-18 | 45-12 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-21 | 28-15 | 11-4 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-19 | 29-12 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 6, the American reached the final after defeating Hailey Baptiste 6-4 4-6 7-6(6), Ekaterina Alexandrova 7-5 3-6 6-3, Katerina Siniakova 2-6 6-0 6-3 and Aryna Sabalenka 2-6 6-4 7-6(2).
In the semifinal against Sabalenka, Jessica recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-4 7-62). During the match Pegula scored 106 points vs Sabalenka’s 98. The American was exceptionally aggressive to blast 37 winners.
About the serving games, Pegula scored 5 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Jessica Pegula lost the serve 8 times and she saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Pegula put 68% of her first serves in, winning 53% (37/70) of the points behind her 1st serve and 48% (16/33) on the 2nd serve. Jessica broke Sabalenka 7 times after converting 58% of her break points (7/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Pegula has conceded 4 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.
Her best result of the year was winning the title in Austin where she defeated Mccartney Kessler in the final 7-5 6-2 and in Charleston where she defeated Sofia Kenin in the final 6-3 7-5 and in Bad Homburg where she overcame Iga Swiatek in the final 6-4 7-5.
The American has an aggregate 51-20 win-loss record in 2025, 35-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wuhan
Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2024. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Gauff | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 12 |
| Tot Games | 64 | 117 |
| Pts | 237-152 | 404-364 |
| Total Points | 389 | 768 |
| Winners | 91 | 158 |
| %Winners | 38% | 39% |
Both Gauff and Pegula played 4 matches. At the moment, Jessica Pegula lost 4 sets while Cori Gauff hasn’t conceded a set so far. Gauff has played 4 set(s) less than Pegula (8 vs 12). Therefore, Gauff played 53 games less than Pegula. Cori scored 91 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, The American made 158 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Gauff | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 14 |
| Avg per match | 2.3 | 3.5 |
| 1st in | 133/194 | 247/390 |
| %1st in | 69% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 91/133 | 158/247 |
| %1st pts | 68% | 64% |
| 2nd pts | 31/61 | 70/143 |
| %2nd pts | 51% | 49% |
Gauff managed to score 9 aces (2.3 per match). Pegula blasted 14 aces (3.5 per match). Gauff won 68% points behind her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Pegula won 64% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 49% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Gauff | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 22 | 22 |
| Converted | 22/34 | 22/44 |
| % Converted | 65% | 50% |
| Conceded | 14 | 45 |
| Saved | 6 | 26 |
| % Saved | 43% | 58% |
| Times Broken | 8 | 19 |
Gauff broke her opponents 22 times with a 65% conversion rate. The American lost her serve 8 times and she saved 43% of the break points that she conceded. Pegula broke her opponents 22 times with a 50% conversion rate. Pegula conceded her serve 19 times and she saved 58% of the break points that she conceded.
| Gauff | ||||||
| R2 Uchijima | R3 Zhang | 1/4 Siegemund | 1/2 Paolini | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-0 | 6-3 6-2 | 6-3 6-0 | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 13 | 17 | 15 | 19 | 64 | |
| pts | 55-22 | 60-40 | 63-38 | 59-52 | 237-152 | |
| Total points | 77 | 100 | 101 | 111 | 389 | |
| Winners | 25 | 21 | 23 | 22 | 91 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 35% | 37% | 37% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 19 | |
| 1st in | 28/33 | 32/50 | 36/56 | 37/55 | 133/194 | |
| % 1st in | 85% | 64% | 64% | 67% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 25/28 | 21/32 | 23/36 | 22/37 | 91/133 | |
| % 1st pts | 89% | 66% | 64% | 59% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 3/5 | 10/18 | 13/20 | 5/18 | 31/61 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 56% | 65% | 28% | 51% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 5/9 | 5/8 | 7/9 | 22/34 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 56% | 63% | 78% | 65% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 2/4 | 3/4 | 1/6 | 6 | |
| Saved % | – | 50% | 75% | 17% | 36% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | |
| Pegula | ||||||
| R2 Baptiste | R3 Alexandrova | 1/4 Siniakova | 1/2 Sabalenka | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 4-6 7-66 | 7-5 3-6 6-3 | 2-6 6-0 6-3 | 2-6 6-4 7-62 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | |
| Tot Games | 33 | 30 | 23 | 31 | 117 | |
| pts | 127-121 | 95-88 | 76-57 | 106-98 | 404-364 | |
| Total points | 248 | 183 | 133 | 204 | 768 | |
| Winners | 45 | 41 | 35 | 37 | 158 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 43% | 46% | 35% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 5 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 74/126 | 58/94 | 45/67 | 70/103 | 247/390 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 62% | 67% | 68% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 45/74 | 41/58 | 35/45 | 37/70 | 158/247 | |
| % 1st pts | 61% | 71% | 78% | 53% | 64% | |
| 2nd pts | 26/52 | 18/36 | 10/22 | 16/33 | 70/143 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | 45% | 48% | 49% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 6 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | |
| Converted | 6/18 | 4/8 | 5/6 | 7/12 | 22/44 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 50% | 83% | 58% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 45 | |
| Saved | 7/13 | 5/8 | 5/7 | 9/17 | 26 | |
| Saved % | 54% | 63% | 71% | 53% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 6 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 19 | |
Tennis Scores in Wuhan
- Yannick HanfmannHanfmann – Filip HoranskyHoransky (6-3 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Cori GauffGauff (4-2) – H2H and prediction