Arthur Rinderknech and Valentin Vacherot will play each other in the final of the Shanghai Rolex Masters for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 4:30 pm on STADIUM COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Arthur Rinderknech who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Arthur Rinderknech is the pick to win this match.
Arthur Rinderknech -> 1.58
Valentin Vacherot -> 2.46

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Prediction and head to head Arthur Rinderknech vs. Valentin Vacherot

This will be the 2^nd time that Arthur Rinderknech and Valentin Vacherot square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Rinderknech (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Rinderknech won 6-2 6-4 in the quarter in France F13 (Ajaccio) back in 2018.

Arthur Rinderknech

Ranked no. 54, Arthur reached the final after beating Hamad Medjedovic 6-7(3) 1-0 ret., Alex Michelsen 6-3 6-4, Alexander Zverev 4-6 6-3 6-2, Jiri Lehecka 6-3 7-6(5), Felix Auger-Aliassime 6-3 6-4 and Daniil Medvedev 4-6 6-2 6-4.

In the semifinal against Medvedev, Rinderknech recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-2 6-4). During the match, Rinderknech scored 96 points vs Medvedev’s 93. Rinderknech was pretty aggressive to blast 51 winners.

Talking about the service games, Rinderknech scored 12 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Arthur Rinderknech lost the serve once and he saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Rinderknech put 68% of his first serves in, winning 68% (51/75) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (18/36) on the 2nd serve. Arthur broke Medvedev 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Arthur has dropped 2 set in this tournament to conquer 54% of the points he played.

Rinderknech has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 60% of his matches (322-215). 14-14 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Rinderknech has a composed 114-75 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

The French player best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Kitzbuhel and Shanghai.

The French player has an aggregate 31-31 win-loss record in 2025, 14-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Shanghai

Valentin Vacherot

Ranked no. 204, Valentin reached the final after defeating Nishesh Basavareddy 6-7(7) 6-4 6-2, Liam Draxl 4-6 7-6(5) 6-4, Laslo Djere 6-3 6-4, Alexander Bublik 3-6 6-3 6-4, Tomas Machac 6-0 3-1 ret., Tallon Griekspoor 4-6 7-6(1) 6-4, Holger Rune 2-6 7-6(4) 6-4 and Novak Djokovic 6-3 6-4.

In the semifinal, Vacherot had a good straight sets win against Djokovic (6-3 6-4). During the match Vacherot scored 67 points vs Djokovic’s 51. Vacherot was exceptionally aggressive to blast 28 winners.

About the serving games, Vacherot blasted 6 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Valentin Vacherot was extremely effective on serve to win 78% (28/36) of his 1st serve and 57% (12/21) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Vacherot broke Djokovic 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Valentin started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 5 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.

Valentin’s best result of the season was getting to the final in the Francavilla Challenger.

Valentin has a compiled 41-22 win-loss record in 2025, 17-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Shanghai

Vacherot has never competed in this tournament before.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Rinderknech	Vacherot
Match played	6	8
Tot Set	15	22
Tot Games	129	204
Pts	435-373	674-603
Total Points	808	1277
Winners	218	329
%Winners	50%	49%

Rinderknech played 6 matches while Vacherot competed in 8 matches. Vacherot started his run from the qualifications while Rinderknech had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Arthur Rinderknech lost 3 sets, while Valentin Vacherot surrendered 5 sets. Rinderknech has played 7 set(s) less than Vacherot (15 vs 22). Therefore, Rinderknech played 75 games less than Vacherot. The French player scored 218 winners (50% of the total points). On the other side, Valentin struck 329 winners (49%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Rinderknech	Vacherot
Aces	50	72
Avg per match	8.3	9
1st in	283/409	438/641
%1st in	69%	68%
1st pts	218/283	329/438
%1st pts	77%	75%
2nd pts	71/126	114/203
%2nd pts	56%	56%

Rinderknech bagged 50 aces (8.3 per match). Vacherot managed to score 72 aces (9 per match). Rinderknech won 77% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Vacherot won 75% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Rinderknech	Vacherot
Won	14	20
Converted	14/30	20/51
% Converted	47%	39%
Conceded	33	30
Saved	29	21
% Saved	88%	70%
Times Broken	4	9

The French player broke his opponents 14 times with a 47% conversion rate. Rinderknech surrendered his serve 4 times and he saved 88% of the break points that he conceded. The Monegasque broke his opponents 20 times with a 39% conversion rate. Valentin conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded.

Rinderknech
	R1 Medjedovic	R2 Michelsen	R3 Zverev	R4 Lehecka	1/4 Auger-Aliassime	1/2 Medvedev	Total
Score	6-73 1-0 ret.	6-3 6-4	4-6 6-3 6-2	6-3 7-65	6-3 6-4	4-6 6-2 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	3	2	2	3	14
Tot Games	14	19	27	22	19	28	129
pts	58-56	66-58	83-66	69-52	63-48	96-93	435-373
Total points	114	124	149	121	111	189	808
Winners	27	30	40	41	29	51	218
%Winners	47%	45%	48%	59%	46%	53%	50%
SERVE
Aces	14	3	7	9	5	12	50
Double Faults	0	2	1	0	1	6	10
1st in	35/46	41/64	54/78	44/56	34/54	75/111	283/409
% 1st in	76%	64%	69%	79%	63%	68%	69%
1st pts	27/35	30/41	40/54	41/44	29/34	51/75	218/283
% 1st pts	77%	73%	74%	93%	85%	68%	77%
2nd pts	3/11	11/23	18/24	8/12	13/20	18/36	71/126
% 2nd pts	27%	48%	75%	67%	65%	50%	56%
Breaks
Won	1	4	3	1	2	3	14
Converted	1/7	4/6	3/6	1/3	2/2	3/6	14/30
Converted %	14%	67%	50%	33%	100%	50%	47%
Conceded	4	8	7	0	3	11	33
Saved	3/4	7/8	6/7	0/0	3/3	10/11	29
Saved %	75%	88%	86%	–	100%	91%	73%
Times Broken	1	1	1	0	0	1	4

Vacherot
	Q1 Basavareddy	Q3 Draxl	R1 Djere	R2 Bublik	R3 Machac	R4 Griekspoor	1/4 Rune	1/2 Djokovic	Total
Score	6-77 6-4 6-2	4-6 7-65 6-4	6-3 6-4	3-6 6-3 6-4	6-0 3-1 ret.	4-6 7-61 6-4	2-6 7-64 6-4	6-3 6-4
Tot Set	3	3	2	3	2	3	3	2	21
Tot Games	31	33	19	28	10	33	31	19	204
pts	108-94	101-96	64-52	83-80	51-27	91-93	109-110	67-51	674-603
Total points	202	197	116	163	78	184	219	118	1277
Winners	57	49	26	49	13	53	54	28	329
%Winners	53%	49%	41%	59%	25%	58%	50%	42%	49%
SERVE
Aces	20	8	4	11	3	13	7	6	72
Double Faults	4	0	2	4	0	1	1	4	16
1st in	74/100	66/96	31/55	61/83	16/26	71/103	83/121	36/57	438/641
% 1st in	74%	69%	56%	73%	62%	69%	69%	63%	68%
1st pts	57/74	49/66	26/31	49/61	13/16	53/71	54/83	28/36	329/438
% 1st pts	77%	74%	84%	80%	81%	75%	65%	78%	75%
2nd pts	13/26	18/30	14/24	10/22	9/10	19/32	19/38	12/21	114/203
% 2nd pts	50%	60%	58%	45%	90%	59%	50%	57%	56%
Breaks
Won	4	2	2	2	4	1	2	3	20
Converted	4/9	2/5	2/4	2/6	4/13	1/4	2/4	3/6	20/51
Converted %	44%	40%	50%	33%	31%	25%	50%	50%	39%
Conceded	3	4	0	4	0	7	10	2	30
Saved	2/3	2/4	0/0	3/4	0/0	6/7	7/10	1/2	21
Saved %	67%	50%	–	75%	–	86%	70%	50%	66%
Times Broken	1	2	0	1	0	1	3	1	9

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Valentin VacherotVacherot (1-0) – H2H and prediction