Hugo Gaston and Matej Dodig will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Roanne Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 4:30 pm on CENTRAL A.VACHERESSE. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Hugo Gaston who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Hugo Gaston is the pick to win this match.
Hugo Gaston -> 1.32
Matej Dodig -> 3.18

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Prediction and head to head Hugo Gaston vs. Matej Dodig

There is no head to head record between Hugo Gaston and Matej Dodig since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Hugo Gaston

Ranked no. 101, Gaston reached the semifinal after beating Viktor Durasovic 7-5 6-3, Borna Gojo 5-7 7-6(3) 7-5 and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 6-4 3-6 6-1.

In the quarter, Hugo defeated Budkov Kjaer (6-4 3-6 6-1). During the match, Gaston scored 81 points vs Budkov Kjaer’s 71. Hugo was pretty aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Regarding the service games, Gaston bagged 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Hugo Gaston lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Gaston put 59% of his first serves in, winning 70% (30/43) of the points behind his 1st serve and 60% (18/30) on the 2nd serve. The French player broke Budkov Kjaer 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Gaston has surrendered 2 set in this tournament to conquer 54% of the points he played.

Gaston has good win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 55% of his matches (264-212). 8-2 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Gaston has a compiled 71-58 win-loss record in the last years on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the season was winning the title the Rennes Challenger where he overcame Stan Wawrinka in the final 6-4 6-4.

Gaston has a composed 23-29 win-loss record in 2025, 8-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Roanne Challenger

Matej Dodig

Ranked no. 278, Dodig got to the semifinal after beating Christopher Eubanks 6-4 6-4, Francesco Passaro 6-3 6-4 and Dominic Stricker 3-2 ret..

In the quarter against Stricker, Dodig had a free pass after Stricker retired on a 3-2 . scoreline.

His best result of the year was winning the title the Trieste Challenger where he beat Thiago Agustin Tirante in the final 6-3 6-4.

Matej has an aggregate 27-26 win-loss record in 2025, 3-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Gaston	Dodig
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	8	6
Tot Games	84	44
Pts	260-220	153-122
Total Points	480	275
Winners	102	72
%Winners	39%	47%

Both Gaston and Dodig played 3 matches. At the moment, Hugo Gaston surrendered 2 sets while Matej Dodig hasn’t lost a set so far. Gaston has played 2 sets more than Dodig (8 vs 6). Therefore, Gaston played 40 games more than Dodig. Hugo scored 102 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The Croatian blasted 72 winners (47%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Gaston	Dodig
Aces	18	15
Avg per match	6	5
1st in	125/225	94/133
%1st in	56%	71%
1st pts	102/125	72/94
%1st pts	82%	77%
2nd pts	63/100	23/39
%2nd pts	63%	59%

Gaston fired 18 aces (6 per match). Dodig blasted 15 aces (5 per match). Gaston won 82% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Dodig won 77% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Gaston	Dodig
Won	9	6
Converted	9/17	6/13
% Converted	53%	46%
Conceded	10	5
Saved	5	4
% Saved	50%	80%
Times Broken	5	1

Hugo broke his opponents 9 times with a 53% conversion rate. Hugo conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Dodig broke his opponents 6 times with a 46% conversion rate. Dodig conceded his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.

Gaston
	R1 Durasovic	R2 Gojo	1/4 Budkov	Total
Score	7-5 6-3	5-7 7-63 7-5	6-4 3-6 6-1
Tot Set	2	3	3	8
Tot Games	21	37	26	84
pts	59-42	120-107	81-71	260-220
Total points	101	227	152	480
Winners	22	50	30	102
%Winners	37%	42%	37%	39%
SERVE
Aces	5	11	2	18
Double Faults	1	3	1	5
1st in	27/54	55/98	43/73	125/225
% 1st in	50%	56%	59%	56%
1st pts	22/27	50/55	30/43	102/125
% 1st pts	81%	91%	70%	82%
2nd pts	20/27	25/43	18/30	63/100
% 2nd pts	74%	58%	60%	63%
Breaks
Won	3	2	4	9
Converted	3/3	2/8	4/6	9/17
Converted %	100%	25%	67%	53%
Conceded	3	3	4	10
Saved	2/3	1/3	2/4	5
Saved %	67%	33%	50%	50%
Times Broken	1	2	2	5

Dodig
	R1 Eubanks	R2 Passaro	1/4 Stricker	Total
Score	6-4 6-4	6-3 6-4	3-2 ret.
Tot Set	2	2	1	5
Tot Games	20	19	5	44
pts	69-56	66-49	18-17	153-122
Total points	125	115	35	275
Winners	32	33	7	72
%Winners	46%	50%	39%	47%
SERVE
Aces	6	7	2	15
Double Faults	1	1	0	2
1st in	43/61	39/55	12/17	94/133
% 1st in	70%	71%	71%	71%
1st pts	32/43	33/39	7/12	72/94
% 1st pts	74%	85%	58%	77%
2nd pts	10/18	9/16	4/5	23/39
% 2nd pts	56%	56%	80%	59%
Breaks
Won	3	2	1	6
Converted	3/4	2/5	1/4	6/13
Converted %	75%	40%	25%	46%
Conceded	3	1	1	5
Saved	2/3	1/1	1/1	4
Saved %	67%	100%	100%	89%
Times Broken	1	0	0	1

Tennis Scores in Roanne Challenger

• Vasil Kirkov/Bart StevensKirkov/Bart Stevens – Hendrik Jebens/Joshua ParisJebens/Joshua Paris (6-7⁸ 6-4 14-12) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Matteo MartineauMartineau – Otto VirtanenVirtanen (0-1) – H2H and prediction