Jan Choinski and Henri Squire will face off in the semifinal of the Valencia Challenger for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 12:00 pm on PISTA PABLO ANDUJAR. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jan Choinski who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jan Choinski is the pick to win this match.
Jan Choinski -> 1.87
Henri Squire -> 1.87

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Prediction and head to head Jan Choinski vs. Henri Squire

This will be the 3^rd time that Jan Choinski and Henri Squire clash against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Choinski and Squire (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on clay.

The last time that they competed against each other, Squire won 6-2 6-2 in the 1^st round in the Luedenscheid Challenger back in 2024.

Jan Choinski

Ranked no. 158, the Brit got to the semifinal after beating Miguel Damas 6-7(2) 6-3 6-3, Ivan Gakhov 4-6 6-3 6-4 and Albert Ramos-Vinolas 6-4 7-5.

In the quarter, The Brit had a good straight sets win against Ramos-Vinolas (6-4 7-5). During the match, Choinski scored 78 points vs Ramos-Vinolas’s 60. Jan was very aggressive to blast 40 winners.

Talking about the service games, Choinski managed to score 9 aces and he was quite solid in conceding no double faults. Overall, Jan Choinski was exceptionally effective on serve to win 78% (40/51) of his 1st serve and 58% (7/12) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Choinski broke Ramos-Vinolas 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Choinski has lost 2 set in this event to win 54% of the points he played.

Choinski has good record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (330-229). 27-14 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Choinski has an overall 197-112 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

His best result of the current year was winning the title the Troyes Challenger where he overcame Calvin Hemery in the final 6-4 6-7(4) 6-2 and the Bunschoten Challenger where he defeated Kimmer Coppejans in the final 6-4 3-6 6-3 and the Bad Waltersdorf Challenger where he overcame Vit Kopriva in the final 7-5 6-4.

Choinski has an aggregate 33-23 win-loss record in 2025, 27-14 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Valencia Challenger

Henri Squire

Ranked no. 329, Henri got to the semifinal after defeating Sergi Fita Juan 7-6(7) 6-0, Christoph Negritu 4-6 6-4 6-1, Daniel Rincon 6-0 6-1, Dusan Lajovic 3-6 6-0 6-4 and Sumit Nagal 7-6(5) 6-4.

In the quarter, Henri had a good straight sets win against Nagal (7-6⁵ 6-4).During the match Squire scored less points (1) than Nagal. In fact, the world no. 158 won 79 points vs Nagal’s. That means that Squire was more focused during the important points. Squire was pretty aggressive to blast 42 winners.

Talking about serving, Squire bagged 6 aces and he committed only 8 double faults. Henri Squire lost the serve 3 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Squire put 75% of his first serves in, winning 66% (42/64) of the points behind his 1st serve and 29% (6/21) on the 2nd serve. The German broke Nagal 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Henri started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

The German’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in M25 Kramsach,M25 Koksijde and the Augsburg Challenger.

Henri has a compiled 38-28 win-loss record in 2025, 31-20 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Valencia Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2023. See his history

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H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Choinski	Squire
Match played	3	5
Tot Set	8	12
Tot Games	82	107
Pts	280-243	388-305
Total Points	523	693
Winners	127	169
%Winners	45%	44%

Choinski played 3 matches while Squire competed in 5 matches. Squire started his run from the qualifications while Choinski had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Jan Choinski surrendered 2 sets, while Henri Squire conceded 2 sets. Choinski has played 4 set(s) less than Squire (8 vs 12). Therefore, Choinski played 25 games less than Squire. Jan scored 127 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Henri bagged 169 winners (44%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Choinski	Squire
Aces	22	31
Avg per match	7.3	6.2
1st in	182/266	229/318
%1st in	68%	72%
1st pts	127/182	169/229
%1st pts	70%	74%
2nd pts	39/84	41/89
%2nd pts	46%	46%

Choinski struck 22 aces (7.3 per match). Squire blasted 31 aces (6.2 per match). Choinski won 70% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Squire won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 46% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Choinski	Squire
Won	16	25
Converted	16/26	25/47
% Converted	62%	53%
Conceded	26	17
Saved	17	8
% Saved	65%	47%
Times Broken	9	9

Jan broke his opponents 16 times with a 62% conversion rate. Jan conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 65% of the break points that he conceded. Henri broke his opponents 25 times with a 53% conversion rate. Squire conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 47% of the break points that he conceded.

Choinski
	R1 Damas	R2 Gakhov	1/4 Ramos-Vinolas	Total
Score	6-72 6-3 6-3	4-6 6-3 6-4	6-4 7-5
Tot Set	3	3	2	8
Tot Games	31	29	22	82
pts	99-88	103-95	78-60	280-243
Total points	187	198	138	523
Winners	44	43	40	127
%Winners	44%	42%	51%	45%
SERVE
Aces	6	7	9	22
Double Faults	1	3	0	4
1st in	69/102	62/101	51/63	182/266
% 1st in	68%	61%	81%	68%
1st pts	44/69	43/62	40/51	127/182
% 1st pts	64%	69%	78%	70%
2nd pts	20/33	12/39	7/12	39/84
% 2nd pts	61%	31%	58%	46%
Breaks
Won	6	7	3	16
Converted	6/8	7/11	3/7	16/26
Converted %	75%	64%	43%	62%
Conceded	8	15	3	26
Saved	5/8	10/15	2/3	17
Saved %	63%	67%	67%	66%
Times Broken	3	5	1	9

Squire
	Q1 Fita	Q3 Negritu	R1 Rincon	R2 Lajovic	1/4 Nagal	Total
Score	7-67 6-0	4-6 6-4 6-1	6-0 6-1	3-6 6-0 6-4	7-65 6-4
Tot Set	2	3	2	3	2	12
Tot Games	19	27	13	25	23	107
pts	83-63	79-62	58-29	89-71	79-80	388-305
Total points	146	141	87	160	159	693
Winners	29	41	19	38	42	169
%Winners	35%	52%	33%	43%	53%	44%
SERVE
Aces	5	11	1	8	6	31
Double Faults	4	1	2	2	8	17
1st in	39/58	50/68	26/36	50/71	64/85	229/318
% 1st in	67%	74%	72%	70%	75%	72%
1st pts	29/39	41/50	19/26	38/50	42/64	169/229
% 1st pts	74%	82%	73%	76%	66%	74%
2nd pts	10/19	10/18	5/10	10/21	6/21	41/89
% 2nd pts	53%	56%	50%	48%	29%	46%
Breaks
Won	5	4	7	5	4	25
Converted	5/15	4/4	7/11	5/8	4/9	25/47
Converted %	33%	100%	64%	63%	44%	53%
Conceded	2	1	3	4	7	17
Saved	0/2	0/1	2/3	2/4	4/7	8
Saved %	0%	0%	67%	50%	57%	58%
Times Broken	2	1	1	2	3	9

Tennis Scores in Valencia Challenger

• Luka MikrutMikrut – Christoph NegrituNegritu (4-6 7-6⁴ 6-4) – See score progression
• Carlos TabernerTaberner – Marco TrungellitiTrungelliti (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Jan ChoinskiChoinski – Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
• Marcelo Demoliner/Orlando LuzDemoliner/Orlando Luz – Filip Pieczonka/Michael VrbenskyPieczonka/Michael Vrbensky (7-6⁴ 6-4) – See score progression
• Henri SquireSquire – Sumit NagalNagal (7-6⁵ 6-4) – See score progression
• Trey Hilderbrand/Mac KigerHilderbrand/Mac Kiger – N.Sriram Balaji/N. Vijay Sundar PrashanthBalaji/N. Vijay Sundar Prashanth (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Inigo Cervantes/Daniel CukiermanCervantes/Daniel Cukierman – Alexander Merino/Christoph NegrituMerino/Christoph Negritu (6-4 7-6⁰) – See score progression
• Ariel Behar/Rafael MatosBehar/Rafael Matos – Sergio Martos Gornes/David Vega HernandezMartos Gornes/David Vega Hernandez (6-3 7-5) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Jan ChoinskiChoinski – Henri SquireSquire (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Carlos TabernerTaberner – (0-0) – H2H and prediction