Cori Gauff and Jasmine Paolini will play each other in the semifinal of the Wuhan Open for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 5:00 pm on CENTER. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Cori Gauff who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Cori Gauff is the pick to win this match.
Cori Gauff -> 1.54
Jasmine Paolini -> 2.47

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Prediction and head to head Cori Gauff vs. Jasmine Paolini

This will be the 6th time that Cori Gauff and Jasmine Paolini play each other. The head to head is 3-2 for Paolini (see full H2H stats), but Gauff leads 2-1 on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Paolini won 2-6 6-4 6-3 in the quarter in Cincinnati back in August 2025.

Highlights Jasmine Paolini vs Cori Gauff – Cincinnati 15-August-2025

Cori Gauff

Cori Gauff

45 - 14win/loss

Hard
27-9
I Hard
0-0
Clay
18-3
Grass
0-2
Rank
3
High
2
LWLWWWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 48-16 29-9 18-3 1-2 0-2 0-0
2024 54-18 31-10 14-5 4-1 5-2 0-0
2023 51-16 40-9 7-4 0-0 4-3 0-0
2022 38-23 23-16 10-4 0-1 5-2 0-0
2021 36-16 16-10 16-4 0-0 4-2 0-0

Ranked no. 3, Gauff got to the semifinal after defeating Moyuka Uchijima 6-1 6-0, Shuai Zhang 6-3 6-2 and Laura Siegemund 6-3 6-0.

In the quarter, The American had a good straight sets win against Siegemund (6-3 6-0). During the match, Gauff scored 63 points vs Siegemund’s 38. Cori was quite aggressive to blast 23 winners.

Regarding the service games, Gauff was unable to score even 1 ace and she committed only 6 double faults. Cori Gauff lost the serve once and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Gauff put 64% of her first serves in, winning 64% (23/36) of the points behind her 1st serve and 65% (13/20) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Siegemund 5 times after converting 63% of her break points (5/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Gauff hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to win 64% of the points she played.

Gauff has a fantastic record in the last 9 years having won 71% of her matches (274-114). 27-9 on hard in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Gauff has an overall157-67 match record in the last 9 years on hard.

Her best result of the year was winning the title in Australia where she overcame Iga Swiatek in the final 6-4 6-4 and at the French Open where she beat Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-7(5) 6-2 6-4.

Gauff has an overall 45-14 win-loss record in 2025, 27-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Wuhan

Wuhan
Gauff's Record

Jasmine Paolini

Jasmine Paolini

44 - 16win/loss

Hard
25-10
I Hard
3-0
Clay
13-3
Grass
3-3
Rank
8
High
4
LLLLWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 46-21 27-12 13-3 3-3 3-3 0-0
2024 42-21 19-10 12-5 3-4 8-2 0-0
2023 43-30 20-16 16-8 5-3 2-3 0-0
2022 30-25 14-11 10-10 6-3 0-1 0-0
2021 34-24 17-13 12-7 5-3 0-1 0-0

Ranked no. 8, Jasmine got to the semifinal after beating Yue Yuan 3-6 6-4 6-3, Clara Tauson 3-6 6-1 3-1 ret. and Iga Swiatek 6-1 6-2.

In the quarter, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Swiatek (6-1 6-2). During the match Paolini scored 52 points vs Swiatek’s 25. Jasmine was extremely aggressive to blast 19 winners.

Talking about serving, Paolini was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Jasmine Paolini was pretty efficient on serve to win 73% (19/26) of her 1st serve and 62% (8/13) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. The Italian was clinical in her return game without wasting any break point and break Swiatek 6 times.

Overall Performance in this tournament

Jasmine has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.

Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Rome where she overcame Cori Gauff in the final 6-4 6-2.

Paolini has a composed 44-16 win-loss record in 2025, 25-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Wuhan

Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2024. See her history.

Wuhan
Paolini's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

C.Gauff
J.Paolini
3h:16
3h:16
Time on court​
4h:50
4h:50
1h:25
1h:25
Last match​
1h:05
1h:05
3
3
Match played
3
3
45
45
Games Played​
63
63
6
6
Set played​​
9
9
178
178
Total points​
206
206
59.3
59.3
Avg point​
68.7
68.7
69
69
Winners
91
91
23
23
Avg Winners​
30.3
30.3
39%
39%
Ratio winners
44%
44%
-- Serve --
8
8
Aces
1
1
2.7
2.7
Avg Aces
0.3
0.3
12
12
Double Faults
1
1
4
4
Avg Double Faults
0.3
0.3
69/96
69/96
1st won total​
91/138
91/138
!
72%
72%
1st won %
66%
66%
26/43
26/43
2nd won total​
33/56
33/56
60%
60%
2nd won %
59%
59%
-- Break Points --
15/25
15/25
BP won
14/24
14/24
5/8.3
5/8.3
Avg BP won
4.7/8
4.7/8
!
60%
60%
Won
!
58%
58%
8
8
Conceded
17
17
2.7
2.7
Avg Conceded
5.7
5.7
3
3
Broken
6
6
1
1
Avg Broken
2
2
5
5
Saved
11
11

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Gauff Paolini
Match played 3 3
Tot Set 6 9
Tot Games 45 63
Pts 178-100 206-166
Total Points 278 372
Winners 69 91
%Winners 39% 44%

Both Gauff and Paolini played 3 matches. At the moment, Jasmine Paolini surrendered 2 sets while Cori Gauff hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Gauff has played 3 set(s) less than Paolini (6 vs 9). Therefore, Gauff played 18 games less than Paolini. The American scored 69 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian bagged 91 winners (44%).

Serve Performance

Serve Gauff Paolini
Aces 8 1
Avg per match 2.7 0.3
1st in 96/139 138/194
%1st in 69% 71%
1st pts 69/96 91/138
%1st pts 72% 66%
2nd pts 26/43 33/56
%2nd pts 60% 59%

Gauff managed to score 8 aces (2.7 per match). Paolini scored 1 ace (0.3 per match). Gauff won 72% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Paolini won 66% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 59% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Gauff Paolini
Won 15 14
Converted 15/25 14/24
% Converted 60% 58%
Conceded 8 17
Saved 5 11
% Saved 63% 65%
Times Broken 3 6

Cori broke her opponents 15 times with a 60% conversion rate. Cori lost her serve 3 times and she saved 63% of the break points that she conceded. Jasmine broke her opponents 14 times with a 58% conversion rate. The Italian conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 65% of the break points that she conceded.

Gauff
R2
Uchijima
R3
Zhang
1/4
Siegemund
Total
Score 6-1 6-0 6-3 6-2 6-3 6-0
Tot Set 2 2 2 6
Tot Games 13 17 15 45
pts 55-22 60-40 63-38 178-100
Total points 77 100 101 278
Winners 25 21 23 69
%Winners 45% 35% 37% 39%
SERVE
Aces 5 3 0 8
Double Faults 0 6 6 12
1st in 28/33 32/50 36/56 96/139
% 1st in 85% 64% 64% 69%
1st pts 25/28 21/32 23/36 69/96
% 1st pts 89% 66% 64% 72%
2nd pts 3/5 10/18 13/20 26/43
% 2nd pts 60% 56% 65% 60%
Breaks
Won 5 5 5 15
Converted 5/8 5/9 5/8 15/25
Converted % 63% 56% 63% 60%
Conceded 0 4 4 8
Saved 0/0 2/4 3/4 5
Saved % 50% 75% 42%
Times Broken 0 2 1 3
Paolini
R2
Yuan
R3
Tauson
1/4
Swiatek
Total
Score 3-6 6-4 6-3 3-6 6-1 3-1 ret. 6-1 6-2
Tot Set 3 3 2 8
Tot Games 28 20 15 63
pts 89-84 65-57 52-25 206-166
Total points 173 122 77 372
Winners 46 26 19 91
%Winners 52% 40% 37% 44%
SERVE
Aces 1 0 0 1
Double Faults 0 0 1 1
1st in 69/90 43/65 26/39 138/194
% 1st in 77% 66% 67% 71%
1st pts 46/69 26/43 19/26 91/138
% 1st pts 67% 60% 73% 66%
2nd pts 13/21 12/22 8/13 33/56
% 2nd pts 62% 55% 62% 59%
Breaks
Won 3 5 6 14
Converted 3/8 5/10 6/6 14/24
Converted % 38% 50% 100% 58%
Conceded 8 6 3 17
Saved 6/8 3/6 2/3 11
Saved % 75% 50% 67% 64%
Times Broken 2 3 1 6

Tennis Scores in Wuhan

Upcoming matches in the draw