Daniil Medvedev and Arthur Rinderknech will square off in the semifinal of the Shanghai Rolex Masters for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 7:00 pm on STADIUM COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.28
Arthur Rinderknech -> 3.65

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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Arthur Rinderknech

This will be the 2^nd time that Daniil Medvedev and Arthur Rinderknech face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, Medvedev won 6-2 7-5 6-3 in the 2^nd round in at the U.S. Open back in 2022.

Highlights Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech – U.S. Open 31-August-2022

Daniil Medvedev

Ranked no. 18, Daniil reached the semifinal after defeating Dalibor Svrcina 6-1 6-1, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 6-3 7-6(5), Learner Tien 7-6(6) 6-7(1) 6-4 and Alex De Minaur 6-4 6-4.

In the quarter, Daniil had a good straight sets win against De Minaur (6-4 6-4). During the match, Medvedev scored 76 points vs De Minaur’s 64. Daniil was extremely aggressive to blast 33 winners.

Regarding the service games, Medvedev bagged 5 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Daniil Medvedev was pretty efficient on serve to win 79% (33/42) of his 1st serve and 52% (14/27) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Daniil broke De Minaur twice after converting 33% of his break points (2/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Medvedev has dropped 1 set in this tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

Medvedev has an impressive record in the last 10 years having won 71% of his matches (491-202). 20-11 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Medvedev has a compiled 243-79 match record in the last years on hard.

Daniil’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Halle.

Daniil has an aggregate 34-20 win-loss record in 2025, 20-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Shanghai

Arthur Rinderknech

Ranked no. 54, Rinderknech got to the semifinal after beating Hamad Medjedovic 6-7(3) 1-0 ret., Alex Michelsen 6-3 6-4, Alexander Zverev 4-6 6-3 6-2, Jiri Lehecka 6-3 7-6(5) and Felix Auger-Aliassime 6-3 6-4.

In the quarter, Arthur had a good straight sets win against Auger-Aliassime (6-3 6-4). During the match Rinderknech scored 63 points vs Auger-Aliassime’s 48. Rinderknech was quite aggressive to blast 29 winners.

About the serving games, Rinderknech made 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Arthur Rinderknech was very efficient on serve to win 85% (29/34) of his 1st serve and 65% (13/20) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Arthur was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Auger-Aliassime twice.

Overall Performance in this tournament

Arthur has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

Arthur’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Kitzbuhel.

Rinderknech has an overall 30-31 win-loss record in 2025, 13-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Shanghai

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2024. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Medvedev	Rinderknech
Match played	4	5
Tot Set	9	12
Tot Games	92	101
Pts	322-262	339-280
Total Points	584	619
Winners	149	167
%Winners	46%	49%

Medvedev played 4 matches while Rinderknech competed in 5 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Daniil Medvedev surrendered 1 set, while Arthur Rinderknech conceded 2 sets. Medvedev has played 3 set(s) less than Rinderknech (9 vs 12). Therefore, Medvedev played 9 games less than Rinderknech. Medvedev scored 149 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, The French player bagged 167 winners (49%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Medvedev	Rinderknech
Aces	26	38
Avg per match	6.5	7.6
1st in	181/276	208/298
%1st in	66%	70%
1st pts	149/181	167/208
%1st pts	82%	80%
2nd pts	43/95	53/90
%2nd pts	45%	59%

Medvedev managed to score 26 aces (6.5 per match). Rinderknech scored 38 aces (7.6 per match). Medvedev won 82% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, Rinderknech won 80% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Medvedev	Rinderknech
Won	12	11
Converted	12/36	11/24
% Converted	33%	46%
Conceded	12	22
Saved	9	19
% Saved	75%	86%
Times Broken	3	3

Daniil broke his opponents 12 times with a 33% conversion rate. The Russian lost his serve 3 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Rinderknech broke his opponents 11 times with a 46% conversion rate. The French player conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded.

Medvedev
	R2 Svrcina	R3 Davidovich Fokina	R4 Tien	1/4 De Minaur	Total
Score	6-1 6-1	6-3 7-65	7-66 6-71 6-4	6-4 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	3	2	9
Tot Games	14	22	36	20	92
pts	55-23	79-62	112-113	76-64	322-262
Total points	78	141	225	140	584
Winners	24	33	59	33	149
%Winners	44%	42%	53%	43%	46%
SERVE
Aces	2	9	10	5	26
Double Faults	2	1	11	6	20
1st in	29/35	35/61	75/111	42/69	181/276
% 1st in	83%	57%	68%	61%	66%
1st pts	24/29	33/35	59/75	33/42	149/181
% 1st pts	83%	94%	79%	79%	82%
2nd pts	4/6	15/26	10/36	14/27	43/95
% 2nd pts	67%	58%	28%	52%	45%
Breaks
Won	5	1	4	2	12
Converted	5/9	1/9	4/12	2/6	12/36
Converted %	56%	11%	33%	33%	33%
Conceded	0	1	5	6	12
Saved	0/0	1/1	2/5	6/6	9
Saved %	–	100%	40%	100%	60%
Times Broken	0	0	3	0	3

Rinderknech
	R1 Medjedovic	R2 Michelsen	R3 Zverev	R4 Lehecka	1/4 Auger-Aliassime	Total
Score	6-73 1-0 ret.	6-3 6-4	4-6 6-3 6-2	6-3 7-65	6-3 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	3	2	2	11
Tot Games	14	19	27	22	19	101
pts	58-56	66-58	83-66	69-52	63-48	339-280
Total points	114	124	149	121	111	619
Winners	27	30	40	41	29	167
%Winners	47%	45%	48%	59%	46%	49%
SERVE
Aces	14	3	7	9	5	38
Double Faults	0	2	1	0	1	4
1st in	35/46	41/64	54/78	44/56	34/54	208/298
% 1st in	76%	64%	69%	79%	63%	70%
1st pts	27/35	30/41	40/54	41/44	29/34	167/208
% 1st pts	77%	73%	74%	93%	85%	80%
2nd pts	3/11	11/23	18/24	8/12	13/20	53/90
% 2nd pts	27%	48%	75%	67%	65%	59%
Breaks
Won	1	4	3	1	2	11
Converted	1/7	4/6	3/6	1/3	2/2	11/24
Converted %	14%	67%	50%	33%	100%	46%
Conceded	4	8	7	0	3	22
Saved	3/4	7/8	6/7	0/0	3/3	19
Saved %	75%	88%	86%	–	100%	87%
Times Broken	1	1	1	0	0	3

Tennis Scores in Shanghai

• Andre Goransson/Alex MichelsenGoransson/Alex Michelsen – Marcelo Arevalo/Mate PavicArevalo/Mate Pavic (7-6² 2-6 10-7) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Valentin VacherotVacherot (0-0) – H2H and prediction