Mackenzie Mcdonald and Petr Bar Biryukov will fight against each other in the semifinal of the Jinan Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 5:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mackenzie Mcdonald who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Mackenzie Mcdonald is the pick to win this match.
Mackenzie Mcdonald -> 1.35
Petr Bar Biryukov -> 3.02

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Mackenzie Mcdonald vs. Petr Bar Biryukov

There is no head to head record between Mackenzie Mcdonald and Petr Bar Biryukov since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Mackenzie Mcdonald

Ranked no. 99, Mcdonald got to the semifinal after beating Harold Mayot 6-3 7-6(2), Pavel Kotov 7-5 6-2 and Brandon Holt 6-3 4-6 7-6(7).

In the quarter, The American defeated Holt (6-3 4-6 7-6⁷).During the match, Mcdonald scored less points (5) than Holt. In fact, the world no. 99 won 100 points vs Holt’s. That means that Mcdonald was more focused during the important points. The American was extremely aggressive to blast 47 winners.

Regarding the service games, Mcdonald struck 9 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Mackenzie Mcdonald lost the serve twice and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Mcdonald put 58% of his first serves in, winning 67% (47/70) of the points behind his 1st serve and 56% (28/50) on the 2nd serve. Mackenzie broke Holt twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Mcdonald has surrendered 1 set in this competition to win 54% of the points he played.

Mcdonald has winning win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (303-241). 23-15 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Mcdonald has an overall 189-130 record in the last years on hard.

The American’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in the San Diego Challenger.

Mackenzie has a composed 35-26 win-loss record in 2025, 23-15 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Jinan Challenger

The American has never competed in this tournament before.

Petr Bar Biryukov

Ranked no. 304 (career-high), the Russian reached the semifinal after beating Evan Zhu 6-2 6-4, Linang Xiao 6-2 6-4, Taro Daniel 7-6(5) 4-6 6-3, Chak Lam Coleman Wong 6-4 6-7(5) 7-6(5) and Colton Smith 6-4 7-6(4).

In the quarter, Petr had a good straight sets win against Smith (6-4 7-6⁴).During the match Bar scored less points (3) than Smith. In fact, the world no. 99 won 74 points vs Smith’s. That means that Bar was more focused during the important points. The Russian was very aggressive to blast 40 winners.

Talking about serving, Bar managed to score 13 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Petr Bar Biryukov lost the serve once and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Bar put 62% of his first serves in, winning 75% (40/53) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (15/33) on the 2nd serve. Petr broke Smith twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Petr started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.

The Russian’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M15 Nonthaburi,M15 Astana and M25 Guiyang.

The Russian has an aggregate 45-24 win-loss record in 2025, 45-23 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Jinan Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2024. See his history

.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Mcdonald	Bar
Match played	3	5
Tot Set	7	12
Tot Games	74	127
Pts	250-214	413-379
Total Points	464	792
Winners	106	202
%Winners	42%	49%

Mcdonald played 3 matches while Bar competed in 5 matches. Bar started his run from the qualifications while Mcdonald had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Mackenzie Mcdonald conceded 1 set, while Petr Bar Biryukov lost 2 sets. Mcdonald has played 5 set(s) less than Bar (7 vs 12). Therefore, Mcdonald played 53 games less than Bar. Mackenzie scored 106 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Bar managed to score 202 winners (49%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Mcdonald	Bar
Aces	20	57
Avg per match	6.7	11.4
1st in	145/235	263/438
%1st in	62%	60%
1st pts	106/145	202/263
%1st pts	73%	77%
2nd pts	52/90	94/175
%2nd pts	58%	54%

Mcdonald bagged 20 aces (6.7 per match). Bar managed to score 57 aces (11.4 per match). Mcdonald won 73% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Bar won 77% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Mcdonald	Bar
Won	9	13
Converted	9/19	13/20
% Converted	47%	65%
Conceded	12	31
Saved	8	26
% Saved	67%	84%
Times Broken	4	5

Mcdonald broke his opponents 9 times with a 47% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Bar broke his opponents 13 times with a 65% conversion rate. The Russian conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 84% of the break points that he conceded.

Mcdonald
	R1 Mayot	R2 Kotov	1/4 Holt	Total
Score	6-3 7-62	7-5 6-2	6-3 4-6 7-67
Tot Set	2	2	3	7
Tot Games	22	20	32	74
pts	78-64	72-45	100-105	250-214
Total points	142	117	205	464
Winners	28	31	47	106
%Winners	36%	43%	47%	42%
SERVE
Aces	8	3	9	20
Double Faults	3	0	4	7
1st in	38/64	37/51	70/120	145/235
% 1st in	59%	73%	58%	62%
1st pts	28/38	31/37	47/70	106/145
% 1st pts	74%	84%	67%	73%
2nd pts	13/26	11/14	28/50	52/90
% 2nd pts	50%	79%	56%	58%
Breaks
Won	4	3	2	9
Converted	4/9	3/7	2/3	9/19
Converted %	44%	43%	67%	47%
Conceded	4	0	8	12
Saved	2/4	0/0	6/8	8
Saved %	50%	–	75%	42%
Times Broken	2	0	2	4

Bar
	Q1 Zhu	Q3 Xiao	R1 Daniel	R2 Lam Coleman Wong	1/4 Smith	Total
Score	6-2 6-4	6-2 6-4	7-65 4-6 6-3	6-4 6-75 7-65	6-4 7-64
Tot Set	2	2	3	3	2	12
Tot Games	18	18	32	36	23	127
pts	63-40	62-48	104-102	110-112	74-77	413-379
Total points	103	110	206	222	151	792
Winners	23	29	53	57	40	202
%Winners	37%	47%	51%	52%	54%	49%
SERVE
Aces	3	6	14	21	13	57
Double Faults	3	4	10	4	7	28
1st in	29/52	34/57	72/119	75/124	53/86	263/438
% 1st in	56%	60%	61%	60%	62%	60%
1st pts	23/29	29/34	53/72	57/75	40/53	202/263
% 1st pts	79%	85%	74%	76%	75%	77%
2nd pts	14/23	12/23	25/47	28/49	15/33	94/175
% 2nd pts	61%	52%	53%	57%	45%	54%
Breaks
Won	4	3	2	2	2	13
Converted	4/6	3/5	2/3	2/2	2/4	13/20
Converted %	67%	60%	67%	100%	50%	65%
Conceded	2	3	10	8	8	31
Saved	1/2	3/3	8/10	7/8	7/8	26
Saved %	50%	100%	80%	88%	88%	135%
Times Broken	1	0	2	1	1	5

Tennis Scores in Jinan Challenger

• Petr Bar BiryukovBar Biryukov – Colton SmithSmith (6-4 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Arthur CazauxCazaux – Yi ZhouZhou (6-4 3-6 6-0) – See score progression
• Shintaro MochizukiMochizuki – Bernard TomicTomic (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
• Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Brandon HoltHolt (6-3 4-6 7-6⁷) – See score progression
• Blake Bayldon/Nathaniel LammonsBayldon/Nathaniel Lammons – Cheng-Peng Hsieh/Akira SantillanHsieh/Akira Santillan (6-4 7-6³) – See score progression
• Arthur CazauxCazaux – Yi ZhouZhou (6-4 3-6 6-0) – See score progression
• Shintaro MochizukiMochizuki – Bernard TomicTomic (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
• Petr Bar BiryukovBar Biryukov – Colton SmithSmith (6-4 7-6(4)) – See score progression
• Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Brandon HoltHolt (6-3 4-6 7-6(7)) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw