Hugo Gaston and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer will clash against each other in the quarter of the Roanne Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 6:30 pm on CENTRAL A.VACHERESSE. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Nicolai Budkov Kjaer who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Nicolai Budkov Kjaer is the pick to win this match.
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer -> 1.74
Hugo Gaston -> 2.01

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Prediction and head to head Hugo Gaston vs. Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

This will be the 2^nd time that Hugo Gaston and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Budkov (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they played, Budkov won 6-3 6-4 in the 1^st round in the Orleans Challenger back in September 2025.

Hugo Gaston

Ranked no. 101, the French player reached the quarter after defeating Viktor Durasovic 7-5 6-3 and Borna Gojo 5-7 7-6(3) 7-5.

In the 2^nd round against Gojo, Hugo recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 7-6³ 7-5). During the match, Gaston scored 120 points vs Gojo’s 107. Hugo was very aggressive to blast 50 winners.

Talking about the service games, Gaston recorded 11 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Hugo Gaston was very efficient on serve to win 91% (50/55) of his 1st serve and 58% (25/43) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Gaston broke Gojo twice after converting 25% of his break points (2/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Hugo has conceded 1 set in this tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

Gaston has good win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 55% of his matches (263-212). 7-2 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Gaston has an overall 70-58 win-loss record in the last years on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the year was winning the title the Rennes Challenger where he defeated Stan Wawrinka in the final 6-4 6-4.

Hugo has an overall 22-29 win-loss record in 2025, 7-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Roanne Challenger

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Ranked no. 149 (career-high), Budkov reached the quarter after beating Vitaliy Sachko 6-7(4) 6-2 6-4 and Henry Bernet 6-3 3-6 6-1.

In the 2^nd round, The Norwegian defeated Bernet (6-3 3-6 6-1). During the match Budkov scored 91 points vs Bernet’s 79. Budkov was pretty aggressive to blast 44 winners.

Talking about serving, Budkov managed to score 10 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Nicolai Budkov Kjaer lost the serve once and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Budkov put 65% of his first serves in, winning 83% (44/53) of the points behind his 1st serve and 38% (11/29) on the 2nd serve. The Norwegian broke Bernet 3 times after converting 25% of his break points (3/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Norwegian has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

His best result of the current season was winning the title the Glasgow Challenger where he defeated Viktor Durasovic in the final 6-4 6-3 and the Tampere Challenger where he beat Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg in the final 7-6(5) 6-7(2) 6-2 and the Astana Challenger where he defeated Alexandr Binda in the final 6-4 6-3 and the Captif Challenger where he defeated Patrick Kypson in the final 6-0 6-3.

Budkov has an aggregate 50-23 win-loss record in 2025, 22-6 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Gaston	Budkov
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	5	6
Tot Games	58	56
Pts	179-149	195-170
Total Points	328	365
Winners	72	96
%Winners	40%	49%

Both Gaston and Budkov played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Hugo Gaston conceded 1 set, while Nicolai Budkov Kjaer conceded 2 sets. Gaston has played 1 set(s) less than Budkov (5 vs 6). However, it’s interesting to notice that Gaston played 2 games more than Budkov. Hugo scored 72 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Nicolai fired 96 winners (49%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Gaston	Budkov
Aces	16	20
Avg per match	8	10
1st in	82/152	116/177
%1st in	54%	66%
1st pts	72/82	96/116
%1st pts	88%	83%
2nd pts	45/70	23/61
%2nd pts	64%	38%

Gaston struck 16 aces (8 per match). Budkov scored 20 aces (10 per match). Gaston won 88% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Budkov won 83% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 38% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Gaston	Budkov
Won	5	7
Converted	5/11	7/22
% Converted	45%	32%
Conceded	6	11
Saved	3	9
% Saved	50%	82%
Times Broken	3	2

Gaston broke his opponents 5 times with a 45% conversion rate. Hugo dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Nicolai broke his opponents 7 times with a 32% conversion rate. The Norwegian conceded his serve twice and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded.

Gaston
	R1 Durasovic	R2 Gojo	Total
Score	7-5 6-3	5-7 7-63 7-5
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	21	37	58
pts	59-42	120-107	179-149
Total points	101	227	328
Winners	22	50	72
%Winners	37%	42%	40%
SERVE
Aces	5	11	16
Double Faults	1	3	4
1st in	27/54	55/98	82/152
% 1st in	50%	56%	54%
1st pts	22/27	50/55	72/82
% 1st pts	81%	91%	88%
2nd pts	20/27	25/43	45/70
% 2nd pts	74%	58%	64%
Breaks
Won	3	2	5
Converted	3/3	2/8	5/11
Converted %	100%	25%	45%
Conceded	3	3	6
Saved	2/3	1/3	3
Saved %	67%	33%	50%
Times Broken	1	2	3

Budkov
	R1 Sachko	R2 Bernet	Total
Score	6-74 6-2 6-4	6-3 3-6 6-1
Tot Set	3	3	6
Tot Games	31	25	56
pts	104-91	91-79	195-170
Total points	195	170	365
Winners	52	44	96
%Winners	50%	48%	49%
SERVE
Aces	10	10	20
Double Faults	4	3	7
1st in	63/95	53/82	116/177
% 1st in	66%	65%	66%
1st pts	52/63	44/53	96/116
% 1st pts	83%	83%	83%
2nd pts	12/32	11/29	23/61
% 2nd pts	38%	38%	38%
Breaks
Won	4	3	7
Converted	4/10	3/12	7/22
Converted %	40%	25%	32%
Conceded	5	6	11
Saved	4/5	5/6	9
Saved %	80%	83%	82%
Times Broken	1	1	2

Upcoming matches in the draw

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• Otto VirtanenVirtanen – Calvin HemeryHemery (0-0) – H2H and prediction