Iga Swiatek and Jasmine Paolini will face off in the quarter of the Wuhan Open for the 7th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 7:00 pm on CENTER. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Iga Swiatek who should win in 2 sets.
Iga Swiatek -> 1.22
Jasmine Paolini -> 4.25
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Prediction and head to head Iga Swiatek vs. Jasmine Paolini
This will be the 7th time that Iga Swiatek and Jasmine Paolini play each other. The head to head is 6-0 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Swiatek won 7-5 6-4 in the final in Cincinnati back in August 2025.
Highlights Iga Swiatek vs Jasmine Paolini – Cincinnati 18-August-2025
Iga Swiatek
61 - 14win/loss
2
1
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 64-17 | 40-10 | 11-4 | 3-2 | 10-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 64-9 | 29-5 | 26-2 | 7-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 68-11 | 42-8 | 19-2 | 0-0 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 67-9 | 42-6 | 18-1 | 5-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-15 | 18-10 | 12-2 | 2-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2, Iga got to the quarter after defeating Marie Bouzkova 6-1 6-1 and Belinda Bencic 7-6(2) 6-4.
In the 3rd round, Iga had a good straight sets win against Bencic (7-62 6-4). During the match, Swiatek scored 83 points vs Bencic’s 66. The Pole was exceptionally aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Regarding the service games, Swiatek struck 8 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Iga Swiatek lost the serve 3 times and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Swiatek put 63% of her first serves in, winning 80% (32/40) of the points behind her 1st serve and 43% (10/23) on the 2nd serve. Iga broke Bencic 4 times after converting 67% of her break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Iga hasn’t dropped yet a set in this competition to conquer 58% of the points she played.
Swiatek has a tremendous match record in the last 10 years having won 82% of her matches (410-90). 40-9 on hard in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Swiatek has an aggregate 202-51 record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the current season was conquering the title at the Wimbledon where she beat Amanda Anisimova in the final 6-0 6-0 and in Cincinnati where she overcame Jasmine Paolini in the final 7-5 6-4 and in Seoul where she defeated Ekaterina Alexandrova in the final 1-6 7-6(3) 7-5.
Swiatek has an aggregate 61-14 win-loss record in 2025, 40-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wuhan
The Pole has never competed in this tournament before.
Jasmine Paolini
43 - 16win/loss
8
4
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 46-21 | 27-12 | 13-3 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 42-21 | 19-10 | 12-5 | 3-4 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-30 | 20-16 | 16-8 | 5-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-25 | 14-11 | 10-10 | 6-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-24 | 17-13 | 12-7 | 5-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 8, Paolini got to the quarter after beating Yue Yuan 3-6 6-4 6-3 and Clara Tauson 3-6 6-1 3-1 ret.
.In the 3rd round against Tauson, Paolini had a free pass after Tauson retired on a 3-6 6-1 3-1 . scoreline.
Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Rome where she overcame Cori Gauff in the final 6-4 6-2.
Paolini has a compiled 43-16 win-loss record in 2025, 24-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wuhan
Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2024. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Swiatek | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 37 | 48 |
| Pts | 143-103 | 154-141 |
| Total Points | 246 | 295 |
| Winners | 57 | 72 |
| %Winners | 40% | 47% |
Both Swiatek and Paolini played 2 matches. At the moment, Jasmine Paolini conceded 2 sets while Iga Swiatek hasn’t conceded a set so far. Swiatek has played 3 set(s) less than Paolini (4 vs 7). Therefore, Swiatek played 11 games less than Paolini. The Pole scored 57 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian managed to score 72 winners (47%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Swiatek | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 11 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 5.5 | 0.5 |
| 1st in | 74/109 | 112/155 |
| %1st in | 68% | 72% |
| 1st pts | 57/74 | 72/112 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 64% |
| 2nd pts | 14/35 | 25/43 |
| %2nd pts | 40% | 58% |
Swiatek scored 11 aces (5.5 per match). Paolini scored 1 ace (0.5 per match). Swiatek won 77% points behind her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 40% of the points. On the other side, Paolini won 64% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Swiatek | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 8 |
| Converted | 10/16 | 8/18 |
| % Converted | 63% | 44% |
| Conceded | 7 | 14 |
| Saved | 3 | 9 |
| % Saved | 43% | 64% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 5 |
Iga broke her opponents 10 times with a 63% conversion rate. The Pole lost her serve 4 times and she saved 43% of the break points that she conceded. Jasmine broke her opponents 8 times with a 44% conversion rate. Jasmine conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 64% of the break points that she conceded.
| Swiatek | ||||
| R2 Bouzkova | R3 Bencic | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-1 | 7-62 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 23 | 37 | |
| pts | 60-37 | 83-66 | 143-103 | |
| Total points | 97 | 149 | 246 | |
| Winners | 25 | 32 | 57 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 39% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 8 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 34/46 | 40/63 | 74/109 | |
| % 1st in | 74% | 63% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 25/34 | 32/40 | 57/74 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 80% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 4/12 | 10/23 | 14/35 | |
| % 2nd pts | 33% | 43% | 40% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 4 | 10 | |
| Converted | 6/10 | 4/6 | 10/16 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 67% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 5 | 7 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 2/5 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 40% | 45% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| Paolini | ||||
| R2 Yuan | R3 Tauson | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-4 6-3 | 3-6 6-1 3-1 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 20 | 48 | |
| pts | 89-84 | 65-57 | 154-141 | |
| Total points | 173 | 122 | 295 | |
| Winners | 46 | 26 | 72 | |
| %Winners | 52% | 40% | 47% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 69/90 | 43/65 | 112/155 | |
| % 1st in | 77% | 66% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 46/69 | 26/43 | 72/112 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 60% | 64% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/21 | 12/22 | 25/43 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 55% | 58% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 5/10 | 8/18 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 50% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 6 | 14 | |
| Saved | 6/8 | 3/6 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 50% | 63% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
Tennis Scores in Wuhan
- Filip HoranskyHoransky – Constant LestienneLestienne (6-4 3-6 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Yannick HanfmannHanfmann – Elias YmerYmer (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Stefano TravagliaTravaglia – Bernabe Zapata MirallesZapata Miralles (7-5 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alex MolcanMolcan – Facundo BagnisBagnis (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Elena RybakinaRybakina (7-5) – H2H and prediction
- Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova – Jessica PegulaPegula (1-4) – H2H and prediction
- Laura SiegemundSiegemund – Cori GauffGauff (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (0-6) – H2H and prediction