Mackenzie Mcdonald and Brandon Holt will face off in the quarter of the Jinan Challenger for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 3:30 pm on COURT 1. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mackenzie Mcdonald who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Mackenzie Mcdonald is the pick to win this match.
Mackenzie Mcdonald -> 1.43
Brandon Holt -> 2.68

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Prediction and head to head Mackenzie Mcdonald vs. Brandon Holt

This will be the 3^rd time that Mackenzie Mcdonald and Brandon Holt face off. The head to head is 2-0 for Mcdonald (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, Mcdonald won 6-4 6-7(2) 7-6(2) in the 1^st round in Winston salem back in August 2025.

Highlights Mackenzie Mcdonald vs Brandon Holt – Winston salem 17-August-2025

Mackenzie Mcdonald

Ranked no. 99, Mcdonald got to the quarter after beating Harold Mayot 6-3 7-6(2) and Pavel Kotov 7-5 6-2.

In the 2^nd round, Mcdonald had a good straight sets win against Kotov (7-5 6-2). During the match, Mcdonald scored 72 points vs Kotov’s 45. Mackenzie was quite aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Talking about the service games, Mcdonald recorded 3 aces and he was quite consistent in conceding no double faults. Mackenzie Mcdonald was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 84% (31/37) of his 1st serve and 79% (11/14) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The American broke Kotov 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Mackenzie hasn’t conceded yet a set in this tournament to win 58% of the points he played.

Mcdonald has favorable record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (302-241). 22-15 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Mcdonald has a compiled 188-130 record in the last years on hard.

The American’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in the San Diego Challenger.

Mcdonald has an aggregate 34-26 win-loss record in 2025, 22-15 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Jinan Challenger

The American has never competed in this tournament before.

Brandon Holt

Ranked no. 115, Holt reached the quarter after defeating Maxim Zhukov 3-6 6-4 6-3 and Adam Walton 6-4 6-3.

In the 2^nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Walton (6-4 6-3). During the match Holt scored 64 points vs Walton’s 49. Brandon was pretty aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Talking about serving, Holt struck 6 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Brandon Holt conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 2 break points. Furthermore, Holt put 67% of his first serves in, winning 84% (31/37) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (9/18) on the 2nd serve. Holt broke Walton 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Brandon has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

His best result of the season was winning the title the Nonthaburi 3 Challenger where he beat Vit Kopriva in the final 6-3 6-2 and the Bengaluru Challenger where he overcame Shintaro Mochizuki in the final 6-3 6-3.

Holt has a compiled 42-26 win-loss record in 2025, 32-17 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Mcdonald	Holt
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	4	5
Tot Games	42	47
Pts	150-109	171-148
Total Points	259	319
Winners	59	76
%Winners	39%	44%

Both Mcdonald and Holt played 2 matches. At the moment, Brandon Holt surrendered 1 set while Mackenzie Mcdonald hasn’t conceded a set so far. Mcdonald has played 1 set(s) less than Holt (4 vs 5). Therefore, Mcdonald played 5 games less than Holt. Mackenzie scored 59 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Brandon managed to score 76 winners (44%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Mcdonald	Holt
Aces	11	16
Avg per match	5.5	8
1st in	75/115	98/145
%1st in	65%	68%
1st pts	59/75	76/98
%1st pts	79%	78%
2nd pts	24/40	20/47
%2nd pts	60%	43%

Mcdonald bagged 11 aces (5.5 per match). Holt fired 16 aces (8 per match). Mcdonald won 79% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Holt won 78% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 43% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Mcdonald	Holt
Won	7	8
Converted	7/16	8/13
% Converted	44%	62%
Conceded	4	11
Saved	2	7
% Saved	50%	64%
Times Broken	2	4

Mackenzie broke his opponents 7 times with a 44% conversion rate. Mcdonald conceded his serve twice and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Holt broke his opponents 8 times with a 62% conversion rate. Brandon conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded.

Mcdonald
	R1 Mayot	R2 Kotov	Total
Score	6-3 7-62	7-5 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	22	20	42
pts	78-64	72-45	150-109
Total points	142	117	259
Winners	28	31	59
%Winners	36%	43%	39%
SERVE
Aces	8	3	11
Double Faults	3	0	3
1st in	38/64	37/51	75/115
% 1st in	59%	73%	65%
1st pts	28/38	31/37	59/75
% 1st pts	74%	84%	79%
2nd pts	13/26	11/14	24/40
% 2nd pts	50%	79%	60%
Breaks
Won	4	3	7
Converted	4/9	3/7	7/16
Converted %	44%	43%	44%
Conceded	4	0	4
Saved	2/4	0/0	2
Saved %	50%	–	25%
Times Broken	2	0	2

Holt
	R1 Zhukov	R2 Walton	Total
Score	3-6 6-4 6-3	6-4 6-3
Tot Set	3	2	5
Tot Games	28	19	47
pts	107-99	64-49	171-148
Total points	206	113	319
Winners	45	31	76
%Winners	42%	48%	44%
SERVE
Aces	10	6	16
Double Faults	6	1	7
1st in	61/90	37/55	98/145
% 1st in	68%	67%	68%
1st pts	45/61	31/37	76/98
% 1st pts	74%	84%	78%
2nd pts	11/29	9/18	20/47
% 2nd pts	38%	50%	43%
Breaks
Won	5	3	8
Converted	5/9	3/4	8/13
Converted %	56%	75%	62%
Conceded	9	2	11
Saved	5/9	2/2	7
Saved %	56%	100%	78%
Times Broken	4	0	4

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Bernard TomicTomic – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Brandon HoltHolt (2-0) – H2H and prediction