Colton Smith and Petr Bar Biryukov will play each other in the quarter of the Jinan Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 3:30 pm on CENTRE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Colton Smith who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Colton Smith is the pick to win this match.
Colton Smith -> 1.24
Petr Bar Biryukov -> 3.75

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Prediction and head to head Colton Smith vs. Petr Bar Biryukov

There is no head to head record between Colton Smith and Petr Bar Biryukov since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

Colton Smith

Ranked no. 135, the American reached the quarter after beating James Duckworth 6-4 7-6(6) and Titouan Droguet 6-1 3-6 7-5.

In the 2^nd round, Smith defeated Droguet (6-1 3-6 7-5). During the match, Smith scored 101 points vs Droguet’s 91. The American was pretty aggressive to blast 47 winners.

Talking about the service games, Smith scored 5 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Colton Smith lost the serve 3 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Smith put 65% of his first serves in, winning 66% (47/71) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (18/39) on the 2nd serve. Colton broke Droguet 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The American has dropped 1 set in this competition to win 52% of the points he played.

Smith has a solid record in the last 4 years having won 69% of his matches (70-32). 13-10 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Smith has an overall39-19 record in the last 4 years on hard.

His best result of the current season was winning the title the Cleveland Challenger where he overcame Eliot Spizzirri in the final 6-4 6-7(6) 6-3.

The American has a compiled 31-17 win-loss record in 2025, 13-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Jinan Challenger

The American has never competed in this tournament before.

Petr Bar Biryukov

Ranked no. 304 (career-high), the Russian got to the quarter after beating Evan Zhu 6-2 6-4, Linang Xiao 6-2 6-4, Taro Daniel 7-6(5) 4-6 6-3 and Chak Lam Coleman Wong 6-4 6-7(5) 7-6(5).

In the 2^nd round, The Russian defeated Lam Coleman Wong (6-4 6-7⁵ 7-6⁵).During the match Bar scored less points (2) than Lam Coleman Wong. In fact, the world no. 135 won 110 points vs Lam Coleman Wong’s. That means that Bar was more focused during the important points. The Russian was extremely aggressive to blast 57 winners.

Talking about serving, Bar overwhelmed his opponent with 21 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Petr Bar Biryukov was quite efficient on serve to win 76% (57/75) of his 1st serve and 57% (28/49) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Petr was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Lam Coleman Wong twice.

Overall Performance in this tournament

Petr started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

Petr’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M15 Nonthaburi,M15 Astana and M25 Guiyang.

The Russian has a compiled 44-24 win-loss record in 2025, 44-23 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Jinan Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2024. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Smith	Bar
Match played	2	4
Tot Set	5	10
Tot Games	51	104
Pts	182-166	339-302
Total Points	348	641
Winners	81	162
%Winners	45%	48%

Smith played 2 matches while Bar competed in 4 matches. Bar started his run from the qualifications while Smith had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Colton Smith surrendered 1 set, while Petr Bar Biryukov surrendered 2 sets. Smith has played 5 set(s) less than Bar (5 vs 10). Therefore, Smith played 53 games less than Bar. The American scored 81 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian made 162 winners (48%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Smith	Bar
Aces	9	44
Avg per match	4.5	11
1st in	119/184	210/352
%1st in	65%	60%
1st pts	81/119	162/210
%1st pts	68%	77%
2nd pts	34/65	79/142
%2nd pts	52%	56%

Smith made 9 aces (4.5 per match). Bar made 44 aces (11 per match). Smith won 68% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Bar won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Smith	Bar
Won	7	11
Converted	7/15	11/16
% Converted	47%	69%
Conceded	19	23
Saved	15	19
% Saved	79%	83%
Times Broken	4	4

Colton broke his opponents 7 times with a 47% conversion rate. Smith conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 79% of the break points that he conceded. The Russian broke his opponents 11 times with a 69% conversion rate. The Russian conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded.

Smith
	R1 Duckworth	R2 Droguet	Total
Score	6-4 7-66	6-1 3-6 7-5
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	23	28	51
pts	81-75	101-91	182-166
Total points	156	192	348
Winners	34	47	81
%Winners	42%	47%	45%
SERVE
Aces	4	5	9
Double Faults	1	3	4
1st in	48/74	71/110	119/184
% 1st in	65%	65%	65%
1st pts	34/48	47/71	81/119
% 1st pts	71%	66%	68%
2nd pts	16/26	18/39	34/65
% 2nd pts	62%	46%	52%
Breaks
Won	2	5	7
Converted	2/7	5/8	7/15
Converted %	29%	63%	47%
Conceded	8	11	19
Saved	7/8	8/11	15
Saved %	88%	73%	81%
Times Broken	1	3	4

Bar
	Q1 Zhu	Q3 Xiao	R1 Daniel	R2 Lam Coleman Wong	Total
Score	6-2 6-4	6-2 6-4	7-65 4-6 6-3	6-4 6-75 7-65
Tot Set	2	2	3	3	10
Tot Games	18	18	32	36	104
pts	63-40	62-48	104-102	110-112	339-302
Total points	103	110	206	222	641
Winners	23	29	53	57	162
%Winners	37%	47%	51%	52%	48%
SERVE
Aces	3	6	14	21	44
Double Faults	3	4	10	4	21
1st in	29/52	34/57	72/119	75/124	210/352
% 1st in	56%	60%	61%	60%	60%
1st pts	23/29	29/34	53/72	57/75	162/210
% 1st pts	79%	85%	74%	76%	77%
2nd pts	14/23	12/23	25/47	28/49	79/142
% 2nd pts	61%	52%	53%	57%	56%
Breaks
Won	4	3	2	2	11
Converted	4/6	3/5	2/3	2/2	11/16
Converted %	67%	60%	67%	100%	69%
Conceded	2	3	10	8	23
Saved	1/2	3/3	8/10	7/8	19
Saved %	50%	100%	80%	88%	159%
Times Broken	1	0	2	1	4

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Bernard TomicTomic – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Brandon HoltHolt (2-0) – H2H and prediction