Jessica Pegula and Katerina Siniakova will fight against each other in the quarter of the Wuhan Open for the 6^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 11:00 am on CENTER. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jessica Pegula who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jessica Pegula is the pick to win this match.
Jessica Pegula -> 1.42
Katerina Siniakova -> 2.85

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Prediction and head to head Jessica Pegula vs. Katerina Siniakova

This will be the 6^th time that Jessica Pegula and Katerina Siniakova square off. The head to head is 4-1 for Pegula (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Pegula won 6-2 6-3 in the 2^nd round in Bad Homburg back in June 2025.

Highlights Jessica Pegula vs Katerina Siniakova – Bad Homburg 24-June-2025

Jessica Pegula

Ranked no. 6, Pegula reached the quarter after defeating Hailey Baptiste 6-4 4-6 7-6(6) and Ekaterina Alexandrova 7-5 3-6 6-3.

In the 3^rd round, Jessica defeated Alexandrova (7-5 3-6 6-3). During the match, Pegula scored 95 points vs Alexandrova’s 88. Pegula was pretty aggressive to blast 41 winners.

Regarding the service games, Pegula bagged 4 aces and she was pretty solid in conceding no double faults. Jessica Pegula lost the serve 3 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Pegula put 62% of her first serves in, winning 71% (41/58) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (18/36) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Alexandrova 4 times after converting 50% of her break points (4/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Jessica has dropped 2 set in this event to win 52% of the points she played.

Pegula has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 67% of her matches (353-177). 33-11 on hard in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Pegula has an overall 237-101 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the current year was winning the title in Austin where she overcame Mccartney Kessler in the final 7-5 6-2 and in Charleston where she overcame Sofia Kenin in the final 6-3 7-5 and in Bad Homburg where she beat Iga Swiatek in the final 6-4 7-5.

Jessica has a compiled 49-20 win-loss record in 2025, 33-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Wuhan

Katerina Siniakova

Ranked no. 62, Katerina reached the quarter after beating Caty McNally 7-5 6-3, Yafan Wang 6-3 7-5, Diana Shnaider 6-4 6-4, Maya Joint 6-3 6-1 and Iva Jovic 7-5 6-3.

In the 3^rd round, The Czech had a good straight sets win against Jovic (7-5 6-3). During the match Siniakova scored 78 points vs Jovic’s 61. Katerina was quite aggressive to blast 37 winners.

Talking about serving, Siniakova fired 5 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Katerina Siniakova lost the serve once and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Siniakova put 71% of her first serves in, winning 76% (37/49) of the points behind her 1st serve and 45% (9/20) on the 2nd serve. Siniakova broke Jovic 4 times after converting 50% of her break points (4/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Siniakova started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to conquer 56% of the points she played.

Her best result of the current season was conquering the title the Warsaw where she beat Viktorija Golubic in the final 6-1 6-2.

Katerina has an overall 37-21 win-loss record in 2025, 24-10 on hard (See FULL STATS)

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Previously in Wuhan

Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2018. See her history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Pegula	Siniakova
Match played	2	5
Tot Set	6	10
Tot Games	63	99
Pts	222-209	348-277
Total Points	431	625
Winners	86	152
%Winners	39%	44%

Pegula played 2 matches while Siniakova competed in 5 matches. Siniakova started her run from the qualifications while Pegula had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Jessica Pegula conceded 2 sets while Katerina Siniakova hasn’t lost a set so far. Pegula has played 4 set(s) less than Siniakova (6 vs 10). Therefore, Pegula played 36 games less than Siniakova. Pegula scored 86 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Katerina blasted 152 winners (44%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Pegula	Siniakova
Aces	9	15
Avg per match	4.5	3
1st in	132/220	204/316
%1st in	60%	65%
1st pts	86/132	152/204
%1st pts	65%	75%
2nd pts	44/88	50/112
%2nd pts	50%	45%

Pegula fired 9 aces (4.5 per match). Siniakova struck 15 aces (3 per match). Pegula won 65% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Siniakova won 75% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 45% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Pegula	Siniakova
Won	10	22
Converted	10/26	22/37
% Converted	38%	59%
Conceded	21	32
Saved	12	23
% Saved	57%	72%
Times Broken	9	9

Pegula broke her opponents 10 times with a 38% conversion rate. The American lost her serve 9 times and she saved 57% of the break points that she conceded. Katerina broke her opponents 22 times with a 59% conversion rate. Katerina conceded her serve 9 times and she saved 72% of the break points that she conceded.

Pegula
	R2 Baptiste	R3 Alexandrova	Total
Score	6-4 4-6 7-66	7-5 3-6 6-3
Tot Set	3	3	6
Tot Games	33	30	63
pts	127-121	95-88	222-209
Total points	248	183	431
Winners	45	41	86
%Winners	35%	43%	39%
SERVE
Aces	5	4	9
Double Faults	1	0	1
1st in	74/126	58/94	132/220
% 1st in	59%	62%	60%
1st pts	45/74	41/58	86/132
% 1st pts	61%	71%	65%
2nd pts	26/52	18/36	44/88
% 2nd pts	50%	50%	50%
Breaks
Won	6	4	10
Converted	6/18	4/8	10/26
Converted %	33%	50%	38%
Conceded	13	8	21
Saved	7/13	5/8	12
Saved %	54%	63%	59%
Times Broken	6	3	9

Siniakova
	Q1 McNally	Q3 Wang	R1 Shnaider	R2 Joint	R3 Jovic	Total
Score	7-5 6-3	6-3 7-5	6-4 6-4	6-3 6-1	7-5 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	2	2	2	10
Tot Games	21	21	20	16	21	99
pts	71-59	74-60	65-52	60-45	78-61	348-277
Total points	130	134	117	105	139	625
Winners	29	35	28	23	37	152
%Winners	41%	47%	43%	38%	47%	44%
SERVE
Aces	2	5	2	1	5	15
Double Faults	4	5	3	2	6	20
1st in	37/63	50/77	37/51	31/56	49/69	204/316
% 1st in	59%	65%	73%	55%	71%	65%
1st pts	29/37	35/50	28/37	23/31	37/49	152/204
% 1st pts	78%	70%	76%	74%	76%	75%
2nd pts	12/26	13/27	7/14	9/25	9/20	50/112
% 2nd pts	46%	48%	50%	36%	45%	45%
Breaks
Won	4	4	4	6	4	22
Converted	4/9	4/6	4/5	6/9	4/8	22/37
Converted %	44%	67%	80%	67%	50%	59%
Conceded	4	12	4	8	4	32
Saved	2/4	10/12	2/4	6/8	3/4	23
Saved %	50%	83%	50%	75%	75%	167%
Times Broken	2	2	2	2	1	9

Tennis Scores in Wuhan

• Yannick HanfmannHanfmann – Elias YmerYmer (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Stefano TravagliaTravaglia – Bernabe Zapata MirallesZapata Miralles (7-5 7-6⁴) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Alex MolcanMolcan – Facundo BagnisBagnis (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Filip HoranskyHoransky – Constant LestienneLestienne (6-4 3-6 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Shuai ZhangZhang – Cori GauffGauff (0-3) – H2H and prediction
• Belinda BencicBencic – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (1-4) – H2H and prediction
• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Elena RybakinaRybakina (7-5) – H2H and prediction
• Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova – Jessica PegulaPegula (1-4) – H2H and prediction