Aryna Sabalenka and Elena Rybakina will fight against each other in the quarter of the Wuhan Open for the 13^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 1:00 pm on CENTER. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.53
Elena Rybakina -> 2.49

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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Elena Rybakina

This will be the 13^th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Elena Rybakina square off. The head to head is 7-5 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats),but they are 4-4 on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Rybakina won 6-1 6-4 in the quarter in Cincinnati back in August 2025.

Highlights Elena Rybakina vs Aryna Sabalenka – Cincinnati 15-August-2025

Aryna Sabalenka

Currently world no. 1 Sabalenka reached the quarter after defeating Rebecca Sramkova 4-6 6-3 6-1 and Liudmila Samsonova 6-3 6-2.

In the 3^rd round, Aryna had a good straight sets win against Samsonova (6-3 6-2). During the match, Sabalenka scored 57 points vs Samsonova’s 37. Sabalenka was exceptionally aggressive to blast 24 winners.

Talking about the service games, Sabalenka bagged 6 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Aryna Sabalenka was very efficient on serve to win 77% (24/31) of her 1st serve and 81% (13/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Aryna broke Samsonova 3 times after converting 50% of her break points (3/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Belarussian has lost 1 set in this tournament to win 56% of the points she played.

Sabalenka has a tremendous record in the last 10 years having won 71% of her matches (432-178). 34-5 on hard in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sabalenka has a composed 261-97 match record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the current year was conquering the title in Brisbane where she beat Polina Kudermetova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2 and in Miami where she defeated Jessica Pegula in the final 7-5 6-2 and in Madrid where she beat Cori Gauff in the final 6-3 7-6(3) and at the U.S. Open where she beat Amanda Anisimova in the final 6-3 7-6(3).

Sabalenka has an overall 58-10 win-loss record in 2025, 34-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Wuhan

Elena Rybakina

Ranked no. 9, the Kazakhstani reached the quarter after defeating Jaqueline Cristian 6-4 6-3 and Linda Noskova 6-3 6-4.

In the 3^rd round, The Kazakhstani had a good straight sets win against Noskova (6-3 6-4). During the match Rybakina scored 81 points vs Noskova’s 60. Elena was pretty aggressive to blast 24 winners.

Talking about serving, Rybakina blasted 8 aces and she was quite consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Elena Rybakina was extremely effective on serve to win 86% (24/28) of her 1st serve and 69% (20/29) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Elena broke Noskova twice after converting 17% of her break points (2/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Kazakhstani hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points she played.

Her best result of the year was winning the title in Strasbourg where she beat Liudmila Samsonova in the final 6-1 6-7(2) 6-1.

The Kazakhstani has an aggregate 48-18 win-loss record in 2025, 31-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Wuhan

Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2019. See her history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Sabalenka	Rybakina
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	5	4
Tot Games	43	38
Pts	151-118	147-112
Total Points	269	259
Winners	61	54
%Winners	40%	37%

Both Sabalenka and Rybakina played 2 matches. At the moment, Aryna Sabalenka conceded 1 set while Elena Rybakina hasn’t dropped a set so far. Sabalenka has played 1 set more than Rybakina (5 vs 4). Therefore, Sabalenka played 5 games more than Rybakina. The Belarussian scored 61 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, The Kazakhstani made 54 winners (37%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Sabalenka	Rybakina
Aces	13	19
Avg per match	6.5	9.5
1st in	88/141	61/114
%1st in	62%	54%
1st pts	61/88	54/61
%1st pts	69%	89%
2nd pts	35/53	31/53
%2nd pts	66%	58%

Sabalenka scored 13 aces (6.5 per match). Rybakina managed to score 19 aces (9.5 per match). Sabalenka won 69% points behind her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 66% of the points. On the other side, Rybakina won 89% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 58% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Sabalenka	Rybakina
Won	8	4
Converted	8/15	4/19
% Converted	53%	21%
Conceded	11	0
Saved	9	0
% Saved	82%	0%
Times Broken	2	0

Sabalenka broke her opponents 8 times with a 53% conversion rate. The Belarussian surrendered her serve twice and she saved 82% of the break points that she conceded. Rybakina broke her opponents 4 times with a 21% conversion rate. The Kazakhstani was rock solid on her serve as she has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.

Sabalenka
	R2 Sramkova	R3 Samsonova	Total
Score	4-6 6-3 6-1	6-3 6-2
Tot Set	3	2	5
Tot Games	26	17	43
pts	94-81	57-37	151-118
Total points	175	94	269
Winners	37	24	61
%Winners	39%	42%	40%
SERVE
Aces	7	6	13
Double Faults	4	1	5
1st in	57/94	31/47	88/141
% 1st in	61%	66%	62%
1st pts	37/57	24/31	61/88
% 1st pts	65%	77%	69%
2nd pts	22/37	13/16	35/53
% 2nd pts	59%	81%	66%
Breaks
Won	5	3	8
Converted	5/9	3/6	8/15
Converted %	56%	50%	53%
Conceded	11	0	11
Saved	9/11	0/0	9
Saved %	82%	–	41%
Times Broken	2	0	2

Rybakina
	R2 Cristian	R3 Noskova	Total
Score	6-4 6-3	6-3 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	19	19	38
pts	66-52	81-60	147-112
Total points	118	141	259
Winners	30	24	54
%Winners	45%	30%	37%
SERVE
Aces	11	8	19
Double Faults	3	0	3
1st in	33/57	28/57	61/114
% 1st in	58%	49%	54%
1st pts	30/33	24/28	54/61
% 1st pts	91%	86%	89%
2nd pts	11/24	20/29	31/53
% 2nd pts	46%	69%	58%
Breaks
Won	2	2	4
Converted	2/7	2/12	4/19
Converted %	29%	17%	21%
Conceded	0	0	0
Saved	0/0	0/0	0
Saved %	–	–	0%
Times Broken	0	0	0

Tennis Scores in Wuhan

• Filip HoranskyHoransky – Constant LestienneLestienne (6-4 3-6 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Yannick HanfmannHanfmann – Elias YmerYmer (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Stefano TravagliaTravaglia – Bernabe Zapata MirallesZapata Miralles (7-5 7-6⁴) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Alex MolcanMolcan – Facundo BagnisBagnis (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Shuai ZhangZhang – Cori GauffGauff (0-3) – H2H and prediction
• Belinda BencicBencic – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (1-4) – H2H and prediction
• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Elena RybakinaRybakina (7-5) – H2H and prediction
• Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova – Jessica PegulaPegula (1-4) – H2H and prediction