Felix Auger-Aliassime and Arthur Rinderknech will square off in the quarter of the Shanghai Rolex Masters for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 3:00 pm on STADIUM COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Felix Auger-Aliassime who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Felix Auger-Aliassime is the pick to win this match.
Felix Auger-Aliassime -> 1.42
Arthur Rinderknech -> 2.85

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Prediction and head to head Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Arthur Rinderknech

This will be the 3^rd time that Felix Auger-Aliassime and Arthur Rinderknech face off. The head to head is 2-0 for Auger-Aliassime (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Auger-Aliassime won 7-6(4) 4-2 ret. in the 3^rd round in Cincinnati back in August 2025.

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Ranked no. 13, the Canadian got to the quarter after beating Alejandro Tabilo 6-3 6-3, Jesper De Jong 6-4 7-5 and Lorenzo Musetti 6-4 6-2.

In the 4^th round, The Canadian had a good straight sets win against Musetti (6-4 6-2). During the match, Auger-Aliassime scored 62 points vs Musetti’s 49. Auger-Aliassime was very aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Talking about the service games, Auger-Aliassime struck 6 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Felix Auger-Aliassime was pretty effective on serve to win 76% (31/41) of his 1st serve and 58% (7/12) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Canadian broke Musetti 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Canadian hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

Auger-Aliassime has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 62% of his matches (365-220). 24-9 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Auger-Aliassime has an overall 127-91 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the year was winning the title in Adelaide where he beat Sebastian Korda in the final 6-3 3-6 6-1 and in Montpellier where he beat Aleksandar Kovacevic in the final 6-2 6-7(7) 7-6(2).

The Canadian has an aggregate 37-20 win-loss record in 2025, 24-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Shanghai

Arthur Rinderknech

Ranked no. 54, Arthur got to the quarter after beating Hamad Medjedovic 6-7(3) 1-0 ret., Alex Michelsen 6-3 6-4, Alexander Zverev 4-6 6-3 6-2 and Jiri Lehecka 6-3 7-6(5).

In the 4^th round, Rinderknech had a good straight sets win against Lehecka (6-3 7-6⁵). During the match Rinderknech scored 69 points vs Lehecka’s 52. Rinderknech was very aggressive to blast 41 winners.

About the serving games, Rinderknech bagged 9 aces and he was pretty consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Arthur Rinderknech was exceptionally effective on serve to win 93% (41/44) of his 1st serve and 67% (8/12) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The French player broke Lehecka once after converting 33% of his break points (1/3).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Rinderknech has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

The French player best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Kitzbuhel.

The French player has an overall 29-31 win-loss record in 2025, 12-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Shanghai

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2^nd

round in 2024. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Auger-Aliassime	Rinderknech
Match played	3	4
Tot Set	6	10
Tot Games	58	82
Pts	193-159	276-232
Total Points	352	508
Winners	96	138
%Winners	50%	50%

Auger-Aliassime played 3 matches while Rinderknech competed in 4 matches. At the moment, Arthur Rinderknech dropped 2 sets while Felix Auger-Aliassime hasn’t conceded a set so far. Auger-Aliassime has played 4 set(s) less than Rinderknech (6 vs 10). Therefore, Auger-Aliassime played 24 games less than Rinderknech. The Canadian scored 96 winners (50% of the total points). On the other side, The French player fired 138 winners (50%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Auger-Aliassime	Rinderknech
Aces	24	33
Avg per match	8	8.3
1st in	127/183	174/244
%1st in	69%	71%
1st pts	96/127	138/174
%1st pts	76%	79%
2nd pts	31/56	40/70
%2nd pts	55%	57%

Auger-Aliassime fired 24 aces (8 per match). Rinderknech fired 33 aces (8.3 per match). Auger-Aliassime won 76% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Rinderknech won 79% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Auger-Aliassime	Rinderknech
Won	9	9
Converted	9/15	9/22
% Converted	60%	41%
Conceded	14	19
Saved	13	16
% Saved	93%	84%
Times Broken	1	3

Auger-Aliassime broke his opponents 9 times with a 60% conversion rate. Auger-Aliassime surrendered his serve once and he saved 93% of the break points that he conceded. Rinderknech broke his opponents 9 times with a 41% conversion rate. Rinderknech conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 84% of the break points that he conceded.

Auger-Aliassime
	R2 Tabilo	R3 De	R4 Musetti	Total
Score	6-3 6-3	6-4 7-5	6-4 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	18	22	18	58
pts	67-54	64-56	62-49	193-159
Total points	121	120	111	352
Winners	35	30	31	96
%Winners	52%	47%	50%	50%
SERVE
Aces	11	7	6	24
Double Faults	2	3	1	6
1st in	47/67	39/63	41/53	127/183
% 1st in	70%	62%	77%	69%
1st pts	35/47	30/39	31/41	96/127
% 1st pts	74%	77%	76%	76%
2nd pts	9/20	15/24	7/12	31/56
% 2nd pts	45%	63%	58%	55%
Breaks
Won	3	3	3	9
Converted	3/5	3/4	3/6	9/15
Converted %	60%	75%	50%	60%
Conceded	7	4	3	14
Saved	7/7	3/4	3/3	13
Saved %	100%	75%	100%	92%
Times Broken	0	1	0	1

Rinderknech
	R1 Medjedovic	R2 Michelsen	R3 Zverev	R4 Lehecka	Total
Score	6-73 1-0 ret.	6-3 6-4	4-6 6-3 6-2	6-3 7-65
Tot Set	2	2	3	2	9
Tot Games	14	19	27	22	82
pts	58-56	66-58	83-66	69-52	276-232
Total points	114	124	149	121	508
Winners	27	30	40	41	138
%Winners	47%	45%	48%	59%	50%
SERVE
Aces	14	3	7	9	33
Double Faults	0	2	1	0	3
1st in	35/46	41/64	54/78	44/56	174/244
% 1st in	76%	64%	69%	79%	71%
1st pts	27/35	30/41	40/54	41/44	138/174
% 1st pts	77%	73%	74%	93%	79%
2nd pts	3/11	11/23	18/24	8/12	40/70
% 2nd pts	27%	48%	75%	67%	57%
Breaks
Won	1	4	3	1	9
Converted	1/7	4/6	3/6	1/3	9/22
Converted %	14%	67%	50%	33%	41%
Conceded	4	8	7	0	19
Saved	3/4	7/8	6/7	0/0	16
Saved %	75%	88%	86%	–	83%
Times Broken	1	1	1	0	3

Tennis Scores in Shanghai

• Kevin Krawietz/Tim PuetzKrawietz/Tim Puetz – Santiago Gonzalez/David PelGonzalez/David Pel (6-7⁴ 7-5 10-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Andre Goransson/Alex MichelsenGoransson/Alex Michelsen – Jakob Schnaitter/Mark WallnerSchnaitter/Mark Wallner (6-1 3-6 10-6) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Marcelo Arevalo/Mate PavicArevalo/Mate Pavic – Austin Krajicek/Nikola MekticKrajicek/Nikola Mektic (3-6 6-4 10-3) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (7-4) – H2H and prediction
• Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Zizou BergsBergs – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Valentin VacherotVacherot (0-0) – H2H and prediction