Alex De Minaur and Daniil Medvedev will clash against each other in the quarter of the Shanghai Rolex Masters for the 12^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 6:30 pm on STADIUM COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex De Minaur who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alex De Minaur is the pick to win this match.
Alex De Minaur -> 1.53
Daniil Medvedev -> 2.49

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Prediction and head to head Alex De Minaur vs. Daniil Medvedev

This will be the 12^th time that Alex De Minaur and Daniil Medvedev clash against each other. The head to head is 7-4 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), 5-1 on hard.

The last time that they played each other, De Minaur won 6-2 6-2 in the 3^rd round in Monte carlo back in April 2025.

Highlights Alex De Minaur vs Daniil Medvedev – Monte carlo 10-April-2025

Alex De Minaur

Ranked no. 7, the Australian reached the quarter after beating Camilo Ugo Carabelli 6-4 6-2, Kamil Majchrzak 6-1 7-5 and Nuno Borges 7-5 6-2.

In the 4^th round, De Minaur had a good straight sets win against Borges (7-5 6-2). During the match, De Minaur scored 82 points vs Borges’s 58. The Australian was very aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Regarding the service games, De Minaur blasted 2 aces and he was exceptionally consistent in conceding no double faults. Alex De Minaur was quite efficient on serve to win 79% (26/33) of his 1st serve and 81% (17/21) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Australian broke Borges 3 times after converting 25% of his break points (3/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Australian hasn’t dropped yet a set in this competition to conquer 59% of the points he played.

De Minaur has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 65% of his matches (409-223). 30-10 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, De Minaur has a compiled 201-96 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the year was winning the title in Washington where he overcame Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the final 5-7 6-1 7-6(3).

De Minaur has an overall 50-18 win-loss record in 2025, 30-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Shanghai

Daniil Medvedev

Ranked no. 18, Daniil got to the quarter after defeating Dalibor Svrcina 6-1 6-1, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 6-3 7-6(5) and Learner Tien 7-6(6) 6-7(1) 6-4.

In the 4^th round, Daniil defeated Tien (7-6⁶ 6-7¹ 6-4).During the match Medvedev scored less points (1) than Tien. In fact, the world no. 7 won 112 points vs Tien’s. That means that Medvedev was more focused during the important points. Medvedev was extremely aggressive to blast 59 winners.

Talking about serving, Medvedev struck 10 aces and he was not very consistent on his 2nd serve to score 11 double faults. Daniil Medvedev lost the serve 3 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Medvedev put 68% of his first serves in, winning 79% (59/75) of the points behind his 1st serve and 28% (10/36) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Tien 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Russian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

The Russian’s best result of the season was reaching the final in Halle.

The Russian has an aggregate 33-20 win-loss record in 2025, 19-11 on hard (See FULL STATS)

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Previously in Shanghai

Previously, he won this tournament once in 2019. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	De Minaur	Medvedev
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	6	7
Tot Games	57	72
Pts	217-151	246-198
Total Points	368	444
Winners	76	116
%Winners	35%	47%

Both De Minaur and Medvedev played 3 matches. At the moment, Daniil Medvedev surrendered 1 set while Alex De Minaur hasn’t surrendered a set so far. De Minaur has played 1 set(s) less than Medvedev (6 vs 7). Therefore, De Minaur played 15 games less than Medvedev. Alex scored 76 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian fired 116 winners (47%).

Serve Performance

Serve	De Minaur	Medvedev
Aces	9	21
Avg per match	3	7
1st in	94/144	139/207
%1st in	65%	67%
1st pts	76/94	116/139
%1st pts	81%	83%
2nd pts	38/50	29/68
%2nd pts	76%	43%

De Minaur struck 9 aces (3 per match). Medvedev managed to score 21 aces (7 per match). De Minaur won 81% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 76% of the points. On the other side, Medvedev won 83% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 43% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	De Minaur	Medvedev
Won	11	10
Converted	11/32	10/30
% Converted	34%	33%
Conceded	5	6
Saved	4	3
% Saved	80%	50%
Times Broken	1	3

De Minaur broke his opponents 11 times with a 34% conversion rate. De Minaur surrendered his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. Medvedev broke his opponents 10 times with a 33% conversion rate. The Russian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.

De Minaur
	R2 Ugo Carabelli	R3 Majchrzak	R4 Borges	Total
Score	6-4 6-2	6-1 7-5	7-5 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	18	19	20	57
pts	64-44	71-49	82-58	217-151
Total points	108	120	140	368
Winners	26	24	26	76
%Winners	41%	34%	32%	35%
SERVE
Aces	3	4	2	9
Double Faults	1	0	0	1
1st in	30/45	31/45	33/54	94/144
% 1st in	67%	69%	61%	65%
1st pts	26/30	24/31	26/33	76/94
% 1st pts	87%	77%	79%	81%
2nd pts	11/15	10/14	17/21	38/50
% 2nd pts	73%	71%	81%	76%
Breaks
Won	3	5	3	11
Converted	3/9	5/11	3/12	11/32
Converted %	33%	45%	25%	34%
Conceded	0	2	3	5
Saved	0/0	1/2	3/3	4
Saved %	–	50%	100%	50%
Times Broken	0	1	0	1

Medvedev
	R2 Svrcina	R3 Davidovich Fokina	R4 Tien	Total
Score	6-1 6-1	6-3 7-65	7-66 6-71 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	3	7
Tot Games	14	22	36	72
pts	55-23	79-62	112-113	246-198
Total points	78	141	225	444
Winners	24	33	59	116
%Winners	44%	42%	53%	47%
SERVE
Aces	2	9	10	21
Double Faults	2	1	11	14
1st in	29/35	35/61	75/111	139/207
% 1st in	83%	57%	68%	67%
1st pts	24/29	33/35	59/75	116/139
% 1st pts	83%	94%	79%	83%
2nd pts	4/6	15/26	10/36	29/68
% 2nd pts	67%	58%	28%	43%
Breaks
Won	5	1	4	10
Converted	5/9	1/9	4/12	10/30
Converted %	56%	11%	33%	33%
Conceded	0	1	5	6
Saved	0/0	1/1	2/5	3
Saved %	–	100%	40%	47%
Times Broken	0	0	3	3

Tennis Scores in Shanghai

• Kevin Krawietz/Tim PuetzKrawietz/Tim Puetz – Santiago Gonzalez/David PelGonzalez/David Pel (6-7⁴ 7-5 10-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Marcelo Arevalo/Mate PavicArevalo/Mate Pavic – Austin Krajicek/Nikola MekticKrajicek/Nikola Mektic (3-6 6-4 10-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Andre Goransson/Alex MichelsenGoransson/Alex Michelsen – Jakob Schnaitter/Mark WallnerSchnaitter/Mark Wallner (6-1 3-6 10-6) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (7-4) – H2H and prediction
• Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Zizou BergsBergs – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Valentin VacherotVacherot (0-0) – H2H and prediction