Matteo Martineau and Milos Karol will face off in the 2nd round of the Roanne Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 2:30 pm on CENTRAL A.VACHERESSE. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Martineau who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Matteo Martineau is the pick to win this match.
Matteo Martineau -> 1.58
Milos Karol -> 2.27
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Prediction and head to head Matteo Martineau vs. Milos Karol
This will be the 2nd time that Matteo Martineau and Milos Karol clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Martineau (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they played each other, Martineau won 6-4 6-4 in the qualifications in the Bratislava 2 Challenger back in 2023.
Matteo Martineau
24 - 31win/loss
326
170
LWLLWLWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 27-35 | 2-9 | 7-12 | 18-13 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 30-33 | 2-4 | 7-13 | 18-13 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 50-36 | 0-1 | 23-17 | 18-15 | 0-0 | 9-3 |
| 2022 | 36-31 | 2-1 | 23-20 | 11-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-26 | 4-4 | 27-15 | 7-6 | 0-0 | 3-1 |
Ranked no. 297, Martineau reached the 2nd round after beating Etienne Donnet 7-6(4) 6-4, Jelle Sels 6-3 7-6(6) and Alexis Galarneau 6-3 6-3.
In the 1st round, Matteo had a good straight sets win against Galarneau (6-3 6-3). During the match, Martineau scored 69 points vs Galarneau’s 46. The French player was quite aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Regarding the service games, Martineau fired 11 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Matteo Martineau was extremely efficient on serve to win 86% (25/29) of his 1st serve and 69% (9/13) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Martineau broke Galarneau 4 times after converting 27% of his break points (4/15).
Martineau has winning record in the last 10 years having won 54% of his matches (303-256). 14-10 on indoor hard courts in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Martineau has a composed 99-82 win-loss record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
The French player best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in the Quimper Challenger.
The French player has an aggregate 23-31 win-loss record in 2025, 14-10 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Roanne Challenger
Milos Karol
29 - 25win/loss
436
356
LWWWLLWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 35-29 | 4-4 | 20-14 | 11-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 53-31 | 8-5 | 21-17 | 24-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2023 | 28-27 | 3-2 | 11-13 | 13-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 2022 | 6-24 | 3-5 | 1-15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 22-18 | 0-0 | 10-11 | 10-6 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
Ranked no. 363, Karol got to the 2nd round after defeating Maxence Beauge 6-7(6) 6-3 7-6(1), Viktor Durasovic 3-6 6-4 7-6(2) and Pablo Carreno-Busta 6-7(8) 7-5 7-6(7).
In the 1st round against Carreno-Busta, Milos recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-78 7-5 7-67). During the match Karol scored 117 points vs Carreno-Busta’s 114. Karol was pretty aggressive to blast 59 winners.
Talking about serving, Karol submerged his opponent with 29 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Milos Karol was exceptionally effective on serve to win 89% (59/66) of his 1st serve and 54% (31/57) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Slovakian broke Carreno-Busta twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).
Milos’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in M15 Warmbad Villach.
Milos has an aggregate 29-24 win-loss record in 2025, 5-6 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Roanne Challenger
Milos has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Martineau | Karol |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 63 | 73 |
| Pts | 232-185 | 240-229 |
| Total Points | 417 | 469 |
| Winners | 96 | 112 |
| %Winners | 41% | 47% |
Martineau played 3 matches while Karol competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Milos Karol lost 2 sets while Matteo Martineau hasn’t lost a set so far. Talking about their workload, Martineau and Karol have played the same amount of sets 6. However, Martineau played 10 games less than Karol. The French player scored 96 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, The Slovakian managed to score 112 winners (47%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Martineau | Karol |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 26 | 50 |
| Avg per match | 8.7 | 25 |
| 1st in | 118/174 | 134/243 |
| %1st in | 68% | 55% |
| 1st pts | 96/118 | 112/134 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 84% |
| 2nd pts | 32/56 | 54/109 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 50% |
Martineau managed to score 26 aces (8.7 per match). Karol bagged 50 aces (25 per match). Martineau won 81% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Karol won 84% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Martineau | Karol |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 6 |
| Converted | 9/27 | 6/16 |
| % Converted | 33% | 38% |
| Conceded | 6 | 20 |
| Saved | 3 | 16 |
| % Saved | 50% | 80% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 4 |
The French player broke his opponents 9 times with a 33% conversion rate. The French player surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Karol broke his opponents 6 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Slovakian conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.
| Martineau | |||||
| Q1 Donnet |
Q3 Sels |
R1 Galarneau |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 6-4 | 6-3 7-66 | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 22 | 18 | 63 | |
| pts | 83-71 | 80-68 | 69-46 | 232-185 | |
| Total points | 154 | 148 | 115 | 417 | |
| Winners | 36 | 35 | 25 | 96 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 44% | 36% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 10 | 5 | 11 | 26 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | 1 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 46/70 | 43/62 | 29/42 | 118/174 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 69% | 69% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 36/46 | 35/43 | 25/29 | 96/118 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 81% | 86% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/24 | 8/19 | 9/13 | 32/56 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 42% | 69% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | |
| Converted | 2/6 | 3/6 | 4/15 | 9/27 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 50% | 27% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 1/2 | 0/1 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 50% | 0% | 39% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | |
| Karol | |||||
| Q1 Beauge |
Q3 Durasovic |
R1 Carreno-Busta |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-76 6-3 7-61 | 3-6 6-4 7-62 | 6-78 7-5 7-67 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 35 | 32 | 38 | 105 | |
| pts | 123-115 | – | 117-114 | 240-229 | |
| Total points | 238 | 0 | 231 | 469 | |
| Winners | 53 | 59 | 112 | ||
| %Winners | 43% | 0% | 50% | 47% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 21 | 0 | 29 | 50 | |
| Double Faults | 11 | 4 | 15 | ||
| 1st in | 68/120 | / | 66/123 | 134/243 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 0% | 54% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 53/68 | / | 59/66 | 112/134 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 0% | 89% | 84% | |
| 2nd pts | 23/52 | / | 31/57 | 54/109 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 0% | 54% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 6 | ||
| Converted | 4/9 | / | 2/7 | 6/16 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 0% | 29% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 14 | 6 | 20 | ||
| Saved | 11/14 | 0/ | 5/6 | 16 | |
| Saved % | 79% | – | 83% | 54% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 4 | ||
Head 2 Head
LWLLWLWWWW
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