Sumit Nagal and Henri Squire will clash against each other in the quarter of the Valencia Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 5:00 pm on PISTA 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Henri Squire who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Henri Squire is the pick to win this match.
Henri Squire -> 1.66
Sumit Nagal -> 2.13

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Prediction and head to head Sumit Nagal vs. Henri Squire

This will be the 2^nd time that Sumit Nagal and Henri Squire face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Nagal (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they fought against each other, Nagal won 6-3 6-2 in the qualifications in the Liberec Challenger back in 2022.

Sumit Nagal

Ranked no. 289, the Indian reached the quarter after beating Andres Santamarta Roig 6-4 6-2, Alexander Ritschard 6-4 1-6 7-5, Daniel Merida Aguilar 6-3 6-1 and Pablo Llamas Ruiz 6-3 3-6 6-3.

In the 2^nd round, Sumit defeated Llamas Ruiz (6-3 3-6 6-3). During the match, Nagal scored 95 points vs Llamas Ruiz’s 91. Nagal was very aggressive to blast 40 winners.

Regarding the service games, Nagal scored just 1 ace throughout the encounter and he committed only 1 double fault. Sumit Nagal lost the serve 4 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Nagal put 73% of his first serves in, winning 66% (40/61) of the points behind his 1st serve and 39% (9/23) on the 2nd serve. Nagal broke Llamas Ruiz 5 times after converting 31% of his break points (5/16).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Indian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in this tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

Nagal has winning win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 58% of his matches (318-228). 30-22 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Nagal has a compiled 245-149 match record in the last years on clay.

The Indian’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in the Trieste Challenger and the Tampere Challenger.

Sumit has a composed 34-26 win-loss record in 2025, 30-22 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Valencia Challenger

Henri Squire

Ranked no. 329, Squire reached the quarter after defeating Sergi Fita Juan 7-6(7) 6-0, Christoph Negritu 4-6 6-4 6-1, Daniel Rincon 6-0 6-1 and Dusan Lajovic 3-6 6-0 6-4.

In the 2^nd round against Lajovic, The German recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-0 6-4). During the match Squire scored 89 points vs Lajovic’s 71. The German was very aggressive to blast 38 winners.

Talking about serving, Squire scored 8 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Henri Squire lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Squire put 70% of his first serves in, winning 76% (38/50) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (10/21) on the 2nd serve. The German broke Lajovic 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Henri started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 58% of the points he played.

Henri’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in M25 Kramsach,M25 Koksijde and the Augsburg Challenger.

Squire has a compiled 37-28 win-loss record in 2025, 30-20 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Nagal	Squire
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	10	10
Tot Games	90	84
Pts	321-280	309-225
Total Points	601	534
Winners	139	127
%Winners	43%	41%

Both Nagal and Squire played 4 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Sumit Nagal surrendered 2 sets, while Henri Squire surrendered 2 sets. Talking about their workload, Nagal and Squire have played the same amount of sets 10. However, Nagal played 6 games more than Squire. Nagal scored 139 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The German blasted 127 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Nagal	Squire
Aces	4	25
Avg per match	1	6.3
1st in	212/273	165/233
%1st in	78%	71%
1st pts	139/212	127/165
%1st pts	66%	77%
2nd pts	30/61	35/68
%2nd pts	49%	51%

Nagal made 4 aces (1 per match). Squire blasted 25 aces (6.3 per match). Nagal won 66% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Squire won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Nagal	Squire
Won	18	21
Converted	18/48	21/38
% Converted	38%	55%
Conceded	23	10
Saved	13	4
% Saved	57%	40%
Times Broken	10	6

Nagal broke his opponents 18 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Indian dropped his serve 10 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded. Henri broke his opponents 21 times with a 55% conversion rate. Henri conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 40% of the break points that he conceded.

Nagal
	Q1 Santamarta	Q3 Ritschard	R1 Merida	R2 Llamas	Total
Score	6-4 6-2	6-4 1-6 7-5	6-3 6-1	6-3 3-6 6-3
Tot Set	2	3	2	3	10
Tot Games	18	29	16	27	90
pts	65-49	103-100	58-40	95-91	321-280
Total points	114	203	98	186	601
Winners	32	39	28	40	139
%Winners	49%	38%	48%	42%	43%
SERVE
Aces	2	0	1	1	4
Double Faults	0	0	1	1	2
1st in	43/55	65/84	43/50	61/84	212/273
% 1st in	78%	77%	86%	73%	78%
1st pts	32/43	39/65	28/43	40/61	139/212
% 1st pts	74%	60%	65%	66%	66%
2nd pts	7/12	10/19	4/7	9/23	30/61
% 2nd pts	58%	53%	57%	39%	49%
Breaks
Won	3	5	5	5	18
Converted	3/8	5/17	5/7	5/16	18/48
Converted %	38%	29%	71%	31%	38%
Conceded	2	11	2	8	23
Saved	2/2	6/11	1/2	4/8	13
Saved %	100%	55%	50%	50%	64%
Times Broken	0	5	1	4	10

Squire
	Q1 Fita	Q3 Negritu	R1 Rincon	R2 Lajovic	Total
Score	7-67 6-0	4-6 6-4 6-1	6-0 6-1	3-6 6-0 6-4
Tot Set	2	3	2	3	10
Tot Games	19	27	13	25	84
pts	83-63	79-62	58-29	89-71	309-225
Total points	146	141	87	160	534
Winners	29	41	19	38	127
%Winners	35%	52%	33%	43%	41%
SERVE
Aces	5	11	1	8	25
Double Faults	4	1	2	2	9
1st in	39/58	50/68	26/36	50/71	165/233
% 1st in	67%	74%	72%	70%	71%
1st pts	29/39	41/50	19/26	38/50	127/165
% 1st pts	74%	82%	73%	76%	77%
2nd pts	10/19	10/18	5/10	10/21	35/68
% 2nd pts	53%	56%	50%	48%	51%
Breaks
Won	5	4	7	5	21
Converted	5/15	4/4	7/11	5/8	21/38
Converted %	33%	100%	64%	63%	55%
Conceded	2	1	3	4	10
Saved	0/2	0/1	2/3	2/4	4
Saved %	0%	0%	67%	50%	29%
Times Broken	2	1	1	2	6

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas – Jan ChoinskiChoinski (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Marco TrungellitiTrungelliti – Carlos TabernerTaberner (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Sumit NagalNagal – Henri SquireSquire (1-0) – H2H and prediction