Aryna Sabalenka and Liudmila Samsonova will clash against each other in the 3^rd round of the Wuhan Open for the 6^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 12:30 pm on CENTER. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.159
Liudmila Samsonova -> 5.2

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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Liudmila Samsonova

This will be the 6^th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Liudmila Samsonova square off. The head to head is 3-2 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 3-2 on hard.

The last time that they played, Sabalenka won 6-2 6-3 in the quarter in Indian Wells back in March 2025.

Highlights Aryna Sabalenka vs Liudmila Samsonova – Indian Wells 13-March-2025

Aryna Sabalenka

Currently world no. 1 Sabalenka reached the 3^rd round after defeating Rebecca Sramkova 4-6 6-3 6-1.

In the 2^nd round against Sramkova, The Belarussian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 6-1). During the match, Sabalenka scored 94 points vs Sramkova’s 81. The Belarussian was extremely aggressive to blast 37 winners.

Regarding the service games, Sabalenka managed to score 7 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Aryna Sabalenka lost the serve twice and she saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Sabalenka put 61% of her first serves in, winning 65% (37/57) of the points behind her 1st serve and 59% (22/37) on the 2nd serve. The Belarussian broke Sramkova 5 times after converting 56% of her break points (5/9).

Sabalenka has a remarkable record in the last 10 years having won 71% of her matches (431-178). 33-5 on hard in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Sabalenka has a compiled 260-97 match record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the year was winning the title in Brisbane where she beat Polina Kudermetova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2 and in Miami where she defeated Jessica Pegula in the final 7-5 6-2 and in Madrid where she beat Cori Gauff in the final 6-3 7-6(3) and at the U.S. Open where she beat Amanda Anisimova in the final 6-3 7-6(3).

Aryna has an overall 57-10 win-loss record in 2025, 33-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Wuhan

Liudmila Samsonova

Ranked no. 20, the Russian got to the 3^rd round after defeating Emiliana Arango 6-1 7-5 and Sofia Kenin 3-6 6-3 6-1.

In the 2^nd round against Kenin, Samsonova recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-3 6-1). During the match Samsonova scored 86 points vs Kenin’s 69. Samsonova was very aggressive to blast 27 winners.

Talking about serving, Samsonova fired 12 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Liudmila Samsonova was very effective on serve to win 82% (27/33) of her 1st serve and 53% (19/36) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve twice. Ludmilla broke Kenin 5 times after converting 42% of her break points (5/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Ludmilla has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.

The Russian’s best result of the year was getting to the final in Strasbourg.

The Russian has a compiled 29-21 win-loss record in 2025, 14-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Wuhan

Previously, her best result was reaching the 1^st round in 2024. See her history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Sabalenka	Samsonova
Match played	1	2
Tot Set	3	5
Tot Games	26	44
Pts	94-81	159-125
Total Points	175	284
Winners	37	51
%Winners	39%	32%

Sabalenka played 1 match while Samsonova competed in 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Aryna Sabalenka surrendered 1 set, while Liudmila Samsonova conceded 1 set. Sabalenka has played 2 set(s) less than Samsonova (3 vs 5). Therefore, Sabalenka played 18 games less than Samsonova. Sabalenka scored 37 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Ludmilla fired 51 winners (32%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Sabalenka	Samsonova
Aces	7	15
Avg per match	7	7.5
1st in	57/94	64/128
%1st in	61%	50%
1st pts	37/57	51/64
%1st pts	65%	80%
2nd pts	22/37	35/64
%2nd pts	59%	55%

Sabalenka bagged 7 aces . Samsonova managed to score 15 aces (7.5 per match). Sabalenka won 65% points on her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Samsonova won 80% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 55% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Sabalenka	Samsonova
Won	5	9
Converted	5/9	9/23
% Converted	56%	39%
Conceded	11	10
Saved	9	7
% Saved	82%	70%
Times Broken	2	3

Sabalenka broke her opponent 5 times with a 56% conversion rate. Sabalenka lost her serve twice and she saved 82% of the break points that she conceded. Samsonova broke her opponents 9 times with a 39% conversion rate. Ludmilla conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 70% of the break points that she conceded.

Sabalenka
	R2 Sramkova	Total
Score	4-6 6-3 6-1
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	26	26
pts	94-81	94-81
Total points	175	175
Winners	37	37
%Winners	39%	39%
SERVE
Aces	7	7
Double Faults	4	4
1st in	57/94	57/94
% 1st in	61%	61%
1st pts	37/57	37/57
% 1st pts	65%	65%
2nd pts	22/37	22/37
% 2nd pts	59%	59%
Breaks
Won	5	5
Converted	5/9	5/9
Converted %	56%	56%
Conceded	11	11
Saved	9/11	9
Saved %	82%	82%
Times Broken	2	2

Samsonova
	R1 Arango	R2 Kenin	Total
Score	6-1 7-5	3-6 6-3 6-1
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	19	25	44
pts	73-56	86-69	159-125
Total points	129	155	284
Winners	24	27	51
%Winners	33%	31%	32%
SERVE
Aces	3	12	15
Double Faults	4	2	6
1st in	31/59	33/69	64/128
% 1st in	53%	48%	50%
1st pts	24/31	27/33	51/64
% 1st pts	77%	82%	80%
2nd pts	16/28	19/36	35/64
% 2nd pts	57%	53%	55%
Breaks
Won	4	5	9
Converted	4/11	5/12	9/23
Converted %	36%	42%	39%
Conceded	5	5	10
Saved	4/5	3/5	7
Saved %	80%	60%	140%
Times Broken	1	2	3

Tennis Scores in Wuhan

• Yannick HanfmannHanfmann – Gianluca MagerMager (6-1 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Filip HoranskyHoransky – Oscar OtteOtte (6-7² 1-0 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Constant LestienneLestienne – Henri LaaksonenLaaksonen (7-6¹ 7-6⁶) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Elias YmerYmer – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Facundo BagnisBagnis – Andrej MartinMartin (6-1 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Alex MolcanMolcan – Benjamin HassanHassan (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Bernabe Zapata MirallesZapata Miralles – Dustin BrownBrown (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Stefano TravagliaTravaglia – Daniel Gimeno-TraverGimeno-Traver (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Jaqueline CristianCristian – Elena RybakinaRybakina (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Yue YuanYuan (3-0) – H2H and prediction
• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova (3-2) – H2H and prediction
• Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Jessica PegulaPegula (3-2) – H2H and prediction
• Laura SiegemundSiegemund – Magdalena FrechFrech (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Shuai ZhangZhang – Cori GauffGauff (0-3) – H2H and prediction
• Belinda BencicBencic – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (1-4) – H2H and prediction