Shintaro Mochizuki and Kyrian Jacquet will face off in the 2nd round of the Jinan Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 1:30 pm on COURT 2. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Shintaro Mochizuki who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Shintaro Mochizuki is the pick to win this match.
Shintaro Mochizuki -> 1.48
Kyrian Jacquet -> 2.52

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Prediction and head to head Shintaro Mochizuki vs. Kyrian Jacquet

This will be the 2nd time that Shintaro Mochizuki and Kyrian Jacquet clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Jacquet (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Jacquet won 6-1 4-6 7-6(6) in the quarter in the Chennai Challenger back in February 2025.

Shintaro Mochizuki

Shintaro Mochizuki

38 - 25win/loss

Hard
25-15
I Hard
0-1
Clay
2-6
Grass
11-3
Rank
94
High
92
LLLWLLWWLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 43-31 27-16 2-6 3-6 11-3 0-0
2024 28-33 19-22 7-5 0-1 2-5 0-0
2023 41-33 22-16 13-8 2-5 4-4 0-0
2022 37-34 18-17 13-12 6-5 0-0 0-0
2021 35-30 11-10 18-11 5-7 1-1 0-1
See all years

Ranked no. 102 (career-high), Shintaro got to the 2nd round after defeating James McCabe 6-3 6-4.

In the 1st round, Shintaro had a good straight sets win against McCabe (6-3 6-4). During the match, Mochizuki scored 75 points vs McCabe’s 57. The Japanese was pretty aggressive to blast 24 winners.

Talking about the service games, Mochizuki managed to score 3 aces and he was quite solid in conceding no double faults. Overall, Shintaro Mochizuki was extremely effective on serve to win 73% (24/33) of his 1st serve and 58% (14/24) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Shintaro broke McCabe 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).

Mochizuki has a winning record in the last 8 years having won 54% of his matches (213-178). 25-15 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Mochizuki has an overall121-100 match record in the last 8 years on hard.

His best result of the current year was winning the title the Noumea Challenger where he defeated Moerani Bouzige in the final 6-1 6-3.

The Japanese has an overall 38-25 win-loss record in 2025, 25-15 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Jinan Challenger

The Japanese has never competed in this tournament before.

Jinan Challenger
Mochizuki's Record

Kyrian Jacquet

Kyrian Jacquet

27 - 19win/loss

Hard
15-7
I Hard
3-1
Clay
7-9
Grass
2-2
Rank
137
High
137
LWWLWWLWLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 37-24 20-8 7-9 8-5 2-2 0-0
2024 23-17 8-5 12-8 3-3 0-1 0-0
2023 39-22 11-5 27-15 1-2 0-0 0-0
2022 31-25 9-5 19-13 3-7 0-0 0-0
2021 34-28 1-3 19-14 14-11 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 182, Kyrian reached the 2nd round after beating Charles Chen 6-2 6-4, Adria Soriano Barrera 6-3 7-5 and Kasidit Samrej 7-5 6-2.

In the 1st round, Jacquet had a good straight sets win against Samrej (7-5 6-2). During the match Jacquet scored 86 points vs Samrej’s 67. Kyrian was quite aggressive to blast 28 winners.

About the serving games, Jacquet bagged 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Kyrian Jacquet was extremely efficient on serve to win 74% (28/38) of his 1st serve and 56% (15/27) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The French player broke Samrej 4 times after converting 31% of his break points (4/13).

His best result of the season was winning the title the Chennai Challenger where he beat Elias Ymer in the final 7-6(1) 6-4 and the New Delhi Challenger where he defeated Billy Harris in the final 6-4 6-2.

Kyrian has a compiled 27-19 win-loss record in 2025, 15-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Jinan Challenger
Jacquet's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

S.Mochizuki
K.Jacquet
1h:27
1h:27
Time on court​
!
4h:21
4h:21
1h:27
1h:27
Last match​
1h:43
1h:43
1
1
Match played
!
3
3
19
19
Games Played​
59
59
2
2
Set played​​
6
6
75
75
Total points​
222
222
75
75
Avg point​
74
74
24
24
Winners
90
90
24
24
Avg Winners​
30
30
32%
32%
Ratio winners
41%
41%
-- Serve --
3
3
Aces
17
17
3
3
Avg Aces
5.7
5.7
0
0
Double Faults
5
5
0
0
Avg Double Faults
1.7
1.7
24/33
24/33
1st won total​
90/115
90/115
!
73%
73%
1st won %
!
78%
78%
14/24
14/24
2nd won total​
33/65
33/65
58%
58%
2nd won %
51%
51%
-- Break Points --
4/12
4/12
BP won
11/26
11/26
4/12
4/12
Avg BP won
3.7/8.7
3.7/8.7
33%
33%
Won
42%
42%
6
6
Conceded
3
3
6
6
Avg Conceded
1
1
1
1
Broken
2
2
1
1
Avg Broken
!
0.7
0.7
5
5
Saved
1
1
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Mochizuki Jacquet
Match played 1 3
Tot Set 2 6
Tot Games 19 59
Pts 75-57 222-173
Total Points 132 395
Winners 24 90
%Winners 32% 41%

Mochizuki played 1 match while Jacquet competed in 3 matches. Jacquet started his run from the qualifications while Mochizuki had a direct access to the main draw. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Mochizuki has played 4 set(s) less than Jacquet (2 vs 6). Therefore, Mochizuki played 40 games less than Jacquet. Shintaro scored 24 winners (32% of the total points). On the other side, Kyrian bagged 90 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve Mochizuki Jacquet
Aces 3 17
Avg per match 3 5.7
1st in 33/57 115/180
%1st in 58% 64%
1st pts 24/33 90/115
%1st pts 73% 78%
2nd pts 14/24 33/65
%2nd pts 58% 51%

Mochizuki scored 3 aces . Jacquet made 17 aces (5.7 per match). Mochizuki won 73% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Jacquet won 78% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Mochizuki Jacquet
Won 4 11
Converted 4/12 11/26
% Converted 33% 42%
Conceded 6 3
Saved 5 1
% Saved 83% 33%
Times Broken 1 2

The Japanese broke his opponent 4 times with a 33% conversion rate. Mochizuki lost his serve once and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded. The French player broke his opponents 11 times with a 42% conversion rate. Jacquet conceded his serve twice and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded.

Mochizuki
R1
McCabe		 Total
Score 6-3 6-4
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 19 19
pts 75-57 75-57
Total points 132 132
Winners 24 24
%Winners 32% 32%
SERVE
Aces 3 3
Double Faults 0 0
1st in 33/57 33/57
% 1st in 58% 58%
1st pts 24/33 24/33
% 1st pts 73% 73%
2nd pts 14/24 14/24
% 2nd pts 58% 58%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/12 4/12
Converted % 33% 33%
Conceded 6 6
Saved 5/6 5
Saved % 83% 83%
Times Broken 1 1
Jacquet
Q1
Chen		 Q3
Soriano		 R1
Samrej		 Total
Score 6-2 6-4 6-3 7-5 7-5 6-2
Tot Set 2 2 2 6
Tot Games 18 21 20 59
pts 64-47 72-59 86-67 222-173
Total points 111 131 153 395
Winners 30 32 28 90
%Winners 47% 44% 33% 41%
SERVE
Aces 10 4 3 17
Double Faults 2 2 1 5
1st in 37/53 40/62 38/65 115/180
% 1st in 70% 65% 58% 64%
1st pts 30/37 32/40 28/38 90/115
% 1st pts 81% 80% 74% 78%
2nd pts 8/16 10/22 15/27 33/65
% 2nd pts 50% 45% 56% 51%
Breaks
Won 3 4 4 11
Converted 3/5 4/8 4/13 11/26
Converted % 60% 50% 31% 42%
Conceded 0 1 2 3
Saved 0/0 0/1 1/2 1
Saved % – 0% 50% 50%
Times Broken 0 1 1 2

Tennis Scores in Jinan Challenger

Upcoming matches in the draw

Mochizuki
More Stats
Click here
Jacquet

Click for FULL STATS