Holger Rune and Valentin Vacherot will clash against each other in the quarter of the Shanghai Rolex Masters for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 3:00 pm on STADIUM COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Holger Rune who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Holger Rune is the pick to win this match.
Holger Rune -> 1.3
Valentin Vacherot -> 3.5

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Prediction and head to head Holger Rune vs. Valentin Vacherot

There is no head to head record between Holger Rune and Valentin Vacherot since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Holger Rune

Ranked no. 11, the Dane got to the quarter after beating Sebastian Baez 7-5 6-4, Ugo Humbert 6-4 6-4 and Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 6-4 6-7(7) 6-3.

In the 4^th round, The Dane defeated Mpetshi Perricard (6-4 6-7⁷ 6-3). During the match, Rune scored 102 points vs Mpetshi Perricard’s 87. The Dane was pretty aggressive to blast 48 winners.

Regarding the service games, Rune struck 9 aces and he was very solid in conceding no double faults. Holger Rune was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 81% (48/59) of his 1st serve and 71% (24/34) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Rune broke Mpetshi Perricard twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Holger has dropped 1 set in this competition to win 54% of the points he played.

Rune has a solid win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 66% of his matches (285-150). 20-9 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rune has an overall71-51 match record in the last 8 years on hard.

His best result of the season was winning the title in Barcelona where he defeated Carlos Alcaraz in the final 7-6(6) 6-2.

The Dane has an aggregate 34-20 win-loss record in 2025, 20-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Shanghai

Valentin Vacherot

Ranked no. 204, Valentin got to the quarter after beating Nishesh Basavareddy 6-7(7) 6-4 6-2, Liam Draxl 4-6 7-6(5) 6-4, Laslo Djere 6-3 6-4, Alexander Bublik 3-6 6-3 6-4, Tomas Machac 6-0 3-1 ret. and Tallon Griekspoor 4-6 7-6(1) 6-4.

In the 4^th round against Griekspoor, Valentin recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-6¹ 6-4).During the match Vacherot scored less points (2) than Griekspoor. In fact, the world no. 11 won 91 points vs Griekspoor’s. That means that Vacherot was more focused during the important points. The Monegasque was quite aggressive to blast 53 winners.

Talking about serving, Vacherot recorded 13 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Valentin Vacherot was very effective on serve to win 75% (53/71) of his 1st serve and 59% (19/32) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Valentin broke Griekspoor once after converting 25% of his break points (1/4).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Valentin started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 4 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.

Valentin’s best result of the year was getting to the final in the Francavilla Challenger.

Vacherot has a composed 39-22 win-loss record in 2025, 15-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Shanghai

Vacherot has never competed in this tournament before.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Rune	Vacherot
Match played	3	6
Tot Set	7	17
Tot Games	74	154
Pts	235-199	498-442
Total Points	434	940
Winners	105	247
%Winners	45%	50%

Rune played 3 matches while Vacherot competed in 6 matches. Vacherot started his run from the qualifications while Rune had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Holger Rune surrendered 1 set, while Valentin Vacherot lost 4 sets. Rune has played 10 set(s) less than Vacherot (7 vs 17). Therefore, Rune played 80 games less than Vacherot. The Dane scored 105 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Valentin made 247 winners (50%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Rune	Vacherot
Aces	18	59
Avg per match	6	9.8
1st in	132/213	319/463
%1st in	62%	69%
1st pts	105/132	247/319
%1st pts	80%	77%
2nd pts	47/81	83/144
%2nd pts	58%	58%

Rune managed to score 18 aces (6 per match). Vacherot scored 59 aces (9.8 per match). Rune won 80% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Vacherot won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Rune	Vacherot
Won	10	15
Converted	10/25	15/41
% Converted	40%	37%
Conceded	10	18
Saved	6	13
% Saved	60%	72%
Times Broken	4	5

Rune broke his opponents 10 times with a 40% conversion rate. Rune surrendered his serve 4 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. Vacherot broke his opponents 15 times with a 37% conversion rate. The Monegasque conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 72% of the break points that he conceded.

Rune
	R2 Baez	R3 Humbert	R4 Mpetshi	Total
Score	7-5 6-4	6-4 6-4	6-4 6-77 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	3	7
Tot Games	22	20	32	74
pts	74-65	59-47	102-87	235-199
Total points	139	106	189	434
Winners	32	25	48	105
%Winners	43%	42%	47%	45%
SERVE
Aces	3	6	9	18
Double Faults	5	2	0	7
1st in	42/68	31/52	59/93	132/213
% 1st in	62%	60%	63%	62%
1st pts	32/42	25/31	48/59	105/132
% 1st pts	76%	81%	81%	80%
2nd pts	9/26	14/21	24/34	47/81
% 2nd pts	35%	67%	71%	58%
Breaks
Won	5	3	2	10
Converted	5/13	3/5	2/7	10/25
Converted %	38%	60%	29%	40%
Conceded	6	1	3	10
Saved	3/6	0/1	3/3	6
Saved %	50%	0%	100%	50%
Times Broken	3	1	0	4

Vacherot
	Q1 Basavareddy	Q3 Draxl	R1 Djere	R2 Bublik	R3 Machac	R4 Griekspoor	Total
Score	6-77 6-4 6-2	4-6 7-65 6-4	6-3 6-4	3-6 6-3 6-4	6-0 3-1 ret.	4-6 7-61 6-4
Tot Set	3	3	2	3	2	3	16
Tot Games	31	33	19	28	10	33	154
pts	108-94	101-96	64-52	83-80	51-27	91-93	498-442
Total points	202	197	116	163	78	184	940
Winners	57	49	26	49	13	53	247
%Winners	53%	49%	41%	59%	25%	58%	50%
SERVE
Aces	20	8	4	11	3	13	59
Double Faults	4	0	2	4	0	1	11
1st in	74/100	66/96	31/55	61/83	16/26	71/103	319/463
% 1st in	74%	69%	56%	73%	62%	69%	69%
1st pts	57/74	49/66	26/31	49/61	13/16	53/71	247/319
% 1st pts	77%	74%	84%	80%	81%	75%	77%
2nd pts	13/26	18/30	14/24	10/22	9/10	19/32	83/144
% 2nd pts	50%	60%	58%	45%	90%	59%	58%
Breaks
Won	4	2	2	2	4	1	15
Converted	4/9	2/5	2/4	2/6	4/13	1/4	15/41
Converted %	44%	40%	50%	33%	31%	25%	37%
Conceded	3	4	0	4	0	7	18
Saved	2/3	2/4	0/0	3/4	0/0	6/7	13
Saved %	67%	50%	–	75%	–	86%	93%
Times Broken	1	2	0	1	0	1	5

Tennis Scores in Shanghai

• Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Alexander ZverevZverev (4-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Luciano DarderiDarderi (7-5 7-6¹) – See score progression
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (6-3 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Nuno BorgesBorges – Juncheng ShangShang (7-6⁵ 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Learner TienTien – Cameron NorrieNorrie (7-6⁴ 6-3) – See score progression
• Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime – Jesper De JongDe Jong (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
• Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Zizou BergsBergs – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (7-6¹ 6-3) – See score progression
• Holger RuneRune – Ugo HumbertHumbert (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Valentin VacherotVacherot – Tomas MachacMachac (6-0 3-1 ret.) – See score progression
• Gabriel DialloDiallo – David GoffinGoffin (3-0 ret.) – See score progression
• Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardMpetshi Perricard – Taylor FritzFritz (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
• Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Jannik SinnerSinner (6-7³ 7-5 3-2 ret.) – See score progression
• Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Yannick HanfmannHanfmann (4-6 7-5 6-3) – See score progression
• Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka (6-4 5-7 6-1) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Zizou BergsBergs – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (3-4) – H2H and prediction
• Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Valentin VacherotVacherot (0-0) – H2H and prediction