August Holmgren and Pavel Kotov will fight against each other in the 1^st round of the Jinan Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 1:30 pm on COURT 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is August Holmgren who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, August Holmgren is the pick to win this match.
August Holmgren -> 1.86
Pavel Kotov -> 1.87

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Prediction and head to head August Holmgren vs. Pavel Kotov

There is no head to head record between August Holmgren and Pavel Kotov since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

August Holmgren

Ranked no. 178, August will start his run in the Jinan Challenger after he played his last match in Shanghai where he lost 4-6 6-3 6-4 to Thompson in the 1^st round on the 1^st of October.

The Dane has a composed 22-22 win-loss record in 2025, 14-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).

His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Granby Challenger where he defeated Liam Draxl in the final 6-3 6-3.

Talking about his overall career, The Dane has an overall 201-116 record. He has a positive 127-61 record on hard.

Previously in the Jinan Challenger

The Dane has never competed in this tournament before.

Pavel Kotov

Ranked no. 485, Kotov got to the 1^st round after defeating Sanhui Shin 6-4 6-1 and Akira Santillan 6-4 7-6(8).

In the qualifications, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Santillan (6-4 7-6⁸). During the match Kotov scored 83 points vs Santillan’s 71. The Russian was extremely aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Talking about serving, Kotov scored 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Pavel Kotov was pretty efficient on serve to win 71% (30/42) of his 1st serve and 69% (18/26) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Russian broke Santillan twice after converting 33% of his break points (2/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Russian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t conceded yet a set in this competition to win 56% of the points he played.

The Russian has a composed 9-20 win-loss record in 2025, 7-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Tennis Scores in Jinan Challenger

• Billy HarrisHarris – Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki (1-6 6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Harold MayotMayot (6-3 7-6²) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Adam WaltonWalton – Fajing SunSun (3-6 7-5 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Billy HarrisHarris – Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki (1-6 6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Titouan DroguetDroguet – Jie CuiCui (6-4 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• James DuckworthDuckworth – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Denis YevseyevYevseyev – Rinky HijikataHijikata (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Liam DraxlDraxl (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Fajing SunSun – Adam WaltonWalton (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Pavel KotovKotov – August HolmgrenHolmgren (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Brandon HoltHolt – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Titouan DroguetDroguet – Jie CuiCui (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Dalibor SvrcinaSvrcina – Bernard TomicTomic (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Kyrian JacquetJacquet – Kasidit SamrejSamrej (1-0) – H2H and prediction