Lorenzo Musetti and Felix Auger-Aliassime will face off in the 4^th round of the Shanghai Rolex Masters for the 8^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 6:30 pm on STADIUM COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lorenzo Musetti who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Lorenzo Musetti is the pick to win this match.
Lorenzo Musetti -> 1.9
Felix Auger-Aliassime -> 1.9

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Prediction and head to head Lorenzo Musetti vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime

This will be the 8^th time that Lorenzo Musetti and Felix Auger-Aliassime face off. The head to head is 4-3 for Musetti (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Musetti won 4-6 6-2 6-3 in the 3^rd round in Miami back in March 2025.

Highlights Lorenzo Musetti vs Felix Auger-Aliassime – Miami 23-March-2025

Lorenzo Musetti

Ranked no. 9, Musetti got to the 4^th round after defeating Francisco Comesana 6-4 6-0 and Luciano Darderi 7-5 7-6(1).

In the 3^rd round, Lorenzo had a good straight sets win against Darderi (7-5 7-6¹). During the match, Musetti scored 87 points vs Darderi’s 77. Lorenzo was pretty aggressive to blast 43 winners.

Regarding the service games, Musetti blasted 11 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Lorenzo Musetti lost the serve twice and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Musetti put 72% of his first serves in, winning 68% (43/63) of the points behind his 1st serve and 54% (13/24) on the 2nd serve. Lorenzo broke Darderi 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Musetti hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

Musetti has a winning record in the last 8 years having won 59% of his matches (257-176). 18-10 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Musetti has an aggregate68-56 record in the last 8 years on hard.

The Italian’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in Carlo and Chengdu.

The Italian has a compiled 37-15 win-loss record in 2025, 18-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Shanghai

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Ranked no. 13, Felix got to the 4^th round after beating Alejandro Tabilo 6-3 6-3 and Jesper De Jong 6-4 7-5.

In the 3^rd round, The Canadian had a good straight sets win against De Jong (6-4 7-5). During the match Auger-Aliassime scored 64 points vs De Jong’s 56. Auger-Aliassime was quite aggressive to blast 30 winners.

About the serving games, Auger-Aliassime bagged 7 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Felix Auger-Aliassime was quite effective on serve to win 77% (30/39) of his 1st serve and 63% (15/24) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Felix broke De Jong 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Auger-Aliassime hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

His best result of the season was winning the title in Adelaide where he overcame Sebastian Korda in the final 6-3 3-6 6-1 and in Montpellier where he beat Aleksandar Kovacevic in the final 6-2 6-7(7) 7-6(2).

Auger-Aliassime has an aggregate 36-20 win-loss record in 2025, 23-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Shanghai

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2019, 2023 and 2024. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Musetti	Auger-Aliassime
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	4	4
Tot Games	41	40
Pts	143-112	131-110
Total Points	255	241
Winners	64	65
%Winners	45%	50%

Both Musetti and Auger-Aliassime played 2 matches. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Musetti and Auger-Aliassime have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Musetti played 1 game more than Auger-Aliassime. The Italian scored 64 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, The Canadian recorded 65 winners (50%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Musetti	Auger-Aliassime
Aces	12	18
Avg per match	6	9
1st in	89/130	86/130
%1st in	68%	66%
1st pts	64/89	65/86
%1st pts	72%	76%
2nd pts	24/41	24/44
%2nd pts	59%	55%

Musetti fired 12 aces (6 per match). Auger-Aliassime blasted 18 aces (9 per match). Musetti won 72% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Auger-Aliassime won 76% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Musetti	Auger-Aliassime
Won	7	6
Converted	7/17	6/9
% Converted	41%	67%
Conceded	8	11
Saved	6	10
% Saved	75%	91%
Times Broken	2	1

The Italian broke his opponents 7 times with a 41% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve twice and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Auger-Aliassime broke his opponents 6 times with a 67% conversion rate. Felix conceded his serve once and he saved 91% of the break points that he conceded.

Musetti
	R2 Comesana	R3 Darderi	Total
Score	6-4 6-0	7-5 7-61
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	16	25	41
pts	56-35	87-77	143-112
Total points	91	164	255
Winners	21	43	64
%Winners	38%	49%	45%
SERVE
Aces	1	11	12
Double Faults	0	2	2
1st in	26/43	63/87	89/130
% 1st in	60%	72%	68%
1st pts	21/26	43/63	64/89
% 1st pts	81%	68%	72%
2nd pts	11/17	13/24	24/41
% 2nd pts	65%	54%	59%
Breaks
Won	4	3	7
Converted	4/9	3/8	7/17
Converted %	44%	38%	41%
Conceded	0	8	8
Saved	0/0	6/8	6
Saved %	–	75%	38%
Times Broken	0	2	2

Auger-Aliassime
	R2 Tabilo	R3 De	Total
Score	6-3 6-3	6-4 7-5
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	18	22	40
pts	67-54	64-56	131-110
Total points	121	120	241
Winners	35	30	65
%Winners	52%	47%	50%
SERVE
Aces	11	7	18
Double Faults	2	3	5
1st in	47/67	39/63	86/130
% 1st in	70%	62%	66%
1st pts	35/47	30/39	65/86
% 1st pts	74%	77%	76%
2nd pts	9/20	15/24	24/44
% 2nd pts	45%	63%	55%
Breaks
Won	3	3	6
Converted	3/5	3/4	6/9
Converted %	60%	75%	67%
Conceded	7	4	11
Saved	7/7	3/4	10
Saved %	100%	75%	88%
Times Broken	0	1	1

Tennis Scores in Shanghai

• Zizou BergsBergs – Gabriel DialloDiallo (3-6 7-5 7-6(8)) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Nuno BorgesBorges – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Valentin VacherotVacherot – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (3-4) – H2H and prediction
• Gabriel DialloDiallo – Zizou BergsBergs (3-0) – H2H and prediction