Daniel Merida Aguilar and Sumit Nagal will fight against each other in the 1st round of the Valencia Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 6:00 pm on PISTA 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sumit Nagal who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Sumit Nagal is the pick to win this match.
Sumit Nagal -> 1.86
Daniel Merida Aguilar -> 1.87

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Prediction and head to head Daniel Merida Aguilar vs. Sumit Nagal

There is no head to head record between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Sumit Nagal since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Daniel Merida Aguilar

Daniel Merida Aguilar

46 - 20win/loss

Hard
15-5
I Hard
0-2
Clay
31-13
Rank
172
High
163
LWLLLLWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 47-24 15-5 32-15 0-4 0-0 0-0
2024 57-33 17-9 40-23 0-1 0-0 0-0
2023 37-31 16-13 20-17 1-1 0-0 0-0
2022 29-26 8-9 21-16 0-1 0-0 0-0
2021 12-14 1-4 11-10 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 169, Merida Aguilar will start his run in the Valencia Challenger after he played his last match in the Villena Challenger where he lost 6-4 7-6(4) to Grenier in the semifinal on the 4th of October.

Daniel has a composed 46-20 win-loss record in 2025, 31-13 on clay (See FULL STATS).

His best result of the season was conquering the title the Pozoblanco Challenger where he overcame Fajing Sun in the final 6-3 6-4.

Talking about his overall career, Daniel has an overall 182-127 record. He has a positive 124-82 record on clay.

Previously in the Valencia Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2022. See his history.

Valencia Challenger
Merida Aguilar's Record

Sumit Nagal

Sumit Nagal

32 - 26win/loss

Hard
2-3
I Hard
2-0
Clay
28-22
Grass
0-1
Rank
273
High
68
LWWWWLWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 34-27 2-3 30-23 2-0 0-1 0-0
2024 32-29 15-13 16-11 1-4 0-1 0-0
2023 46-29 9-8 32-17 5-4 0-0 0-0
2022 17-18 0-1 16-17 1-0 0-0 0-0
2021 23-26 1-4 22-22 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 289, Sumit got to the 1st round after beating Andres Santamarta Roig 6-4 6-2 and Alexander Ritschard 6-4 1-6 7-5.

In the qualifications, The Indian defeated Ritschard (6-4 1-6 7-5). During the match Nagal scored 103 points vs Ritschard’s 100. The Indian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 39 winners.

About the serving games, Nagal was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he was very solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Sumit Nagal lost the serve 5 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Nagal put 77% of his first serves in, winning 60% (39/65) of the points behind his 1st serve and 53% (10/19) on the 2nd serve. Nagal broke Ritschard 5 times after converting 29% of his break points (5/17).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Nagal started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

The Indian’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in the Trieste Challenger and the Tampere Challenger.

Sumit has a composed 32-26 win-loss record in 2025, 28-22 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Valencia Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2022 and 2023. See his history.

Valencia Challenger
Nagal's Record

Tennis Scores in Valencia Challenger

Upcoming matches in the draw