Akira Santillan and Pavel Kotov will clash against each other in the qualifications of the Jinan Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 11:00 am on COURT 2. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Pavel Kotov who should win in 3 sets.
Pavel Kotov -> 1.48
Akira Santillan -> 2.52
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Prediction and head to head Akira Santillan vs. Pavel Kotov
There is no head to head record between Akira Santillan and Pavel Kotov since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Akira Santillan
48 - 17win/loss
348
144
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 59-21 | 31-12 | 6-2 | 22-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-33 | 11-13 | 21-14 | 7-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-28 | 28-19 | 9-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2021 | 20-15 | 2-5 | 12-7 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 456, the Australian reached the qualifications after defeating Timofey Skatov 6-3 6-4.
In the qualifications, Akira had a good straight sets win against Skatov (6-3 6-4). During the match, Santillan scored 73 points vs Skatov’s 57. Akira was pretty aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Talking about the service games, Santillan blasted 7 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Akira Santillan lost the serve once and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Santillan put 63% of his first serves in, winning 81% (35/43) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (11/25) on the 2nd serve. Akira broke Skatov 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Santillan has winning match record in the last 10 years having won 58% of his matches (289-213). 23-10 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Santillan has an aggregate 165-117 match record in the last years on hard.
Santillan’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in M15 Antalya,M15 Maanshan and M25 Yinchuan.
The Australian has an overall 48-17 win-loss record in 2025, 23-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Jinan Challenger
Pavel Kotov
8 - 20win/loss
454
50
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11-22 | 9-14 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 20-25 | 9-11 | 11-9 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 45-32 | 13-14 | 20-12 | 9-2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-20 | 5-3 | 20-9 | 12-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-25 | 5-5 | 7-11 | 17-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 485, Pavel got to the qualifications after beating Sanhui Shin 6-4 6-1.
In the qualifications, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Shin (6-4 6-1). During the match Kotov scored 58 points vs Shin’s 42. The Russian was quite aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Talking about serving, Kotov blasted 5 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Pavel Kotov lost the serve once and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Kotov put 60% of his first serves in, winning 88% (22/25) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (7/17) on the 2nd serve. Kotov broke Shin 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).
Pavel has a compiled 8-20 win-loss record in 2025, 6-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Santillan | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 19 | 17 |
| Pts | 73-57 | 58-42 |
| Total Points | 130 | 100 |
| Winners | 35 | 22 |
| %Winners | 48% | 38% |
Both Santillan and Kotov played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Santillan and Kotov have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Santillan played 2 games more than Kotov. Santillan scored 35 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian managed to score 22 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Santillan | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 5 |
| 1st in | 43/68 | 25/42 |
| %1st in | 63% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 35/43 | 22/25 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 88% |
| 2nd pts | 11/25 | 7/17 |
| %2nd pts | 44% | 41% |
Santillan struck 7 aces . Kotov scored 5 aces . Santillan won 81% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 44% of the points. On the other side, Kotov won 88% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 41% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Santillan | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 5 |
| Converted | 3/7 | 5/8 |
| % Converted | 43% | 63% |
| Conceded | 5 | 2 |
| Saved | 4 | 1 |
| % Saved | 80% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
The Australian broke his opponent 3 times with a 43% conversion rate. The Australian dropped his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. Kotov broke his opponent 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. Kotov conceded his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Santillan | |||
| Q1 Skatov | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 73-57 | 73-57 | |
| Total points | 130 | 130 | |
| Winners | 35 | 35 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 48% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 43/68 | 43/68 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 35/43 | 35/43 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/25 | 11/25 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 44% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 3/7 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Kotov | |||
| Q1 Shin | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 58-42 | 58-42 | |
| Total points | 100 | 100 | |
| Winners | 22 | 22 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 25/42 | 25/42 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 22/25 | 22/25 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 88% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/17 | 7/17 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | 41% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 5/8 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Upcoming matches in the draw
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- Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Harold MayotMayot (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Liam DraxlDraxl (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Akira SantillanSantillan – Pavel KotovKotov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki – Billy HarrisHarris (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Fajing SunSun – Adam WaltonWalton (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Sergey FominFomin – Denis YevseyevYevseyev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Kasidit SamrejSamrej – Yasutaka UchiyamaUchiyama (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Titouan DroguetDroguet – Jie CuiCui (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Dalibor SvrcinaSvrcina – Bernard TomicTomic (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Kyrian JacquetJacquet – Adria Soriano BarreraSoriano Barrera (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Linang XiaoXiao – (0-0) – H2H and prediction