Yasutaka Uchiyama and Kasidit Samrej will fight against each other in the qualifications of the Jinan Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 1:30 pm on COURT 2. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Yasutaka Uchiyama who should win in 2 sets.
Yasutaka Uchiyama -> 1.37
Kasidit Samrej -> 2.92
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Prediction and head to head Yasutaka Uchiyama vs. Kasidit Samrej
There is no head to head record between Yasutaka Uchiyama and Kasidit Samrej since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Yasutaka Uchiyama
20 - 22win/loss
330
78
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23-29 | 19-22 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 34-25 | 26-18 | 1-1 | 6-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 29-24 | 27-22 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-21 | 16-13 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 12-26 | 9-13 | 0-3 | 1-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 290, Yasutaka got to the qualifications after defeating Tsung-Hao Huang 6-2 6-2.
In the qualifications, Uchiyama had a good straight sets win against Huang (6-2 6-2). During the match, Uchiyama scored 61 points vs Huang’s 33. Uchiyama was pretty aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Regarding the service games, Uchiyama fired 4 aces and he was pretty consistent in conceding no double faults. Yasutaka Uchiyama was very efficient on serve to win 100% (22/22) of his 1st serve and 71% (10/14) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Yasutaka broke Huang 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).
Uchiyama has winning record in the last 10 years having won 52% of his matches (254-233). 16-16 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Uchiyama has an overall 193-150 record in the last years on hard.
Yasutaka’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in the Shanghai Challenger.
Yasutaka has a composed 20-22 win-loss record in 2025, 16-16 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Jinan Challenger
Kasidit Samrej
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 47-31 | 28-26 | 0-0 | 19-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 38-23 | 34-19 | 0-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 23-20 | 23-19 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 25-16 | 25-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 398, Samrej reached the qualifications after defeating Jason Murray Kubler 6-4 7-6(5).
In the qualifications, The Thai had a good straight sets win against Murray Kubler (6-4 7-65). During the match Samrej scored 70 points vs Murray Kubler’s 65. Samrej was extremely aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Talking about serving, Samrej blasted 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Kasidit Samrej was pretty efficient on serve to win 73% (30/41) of his 1st serve and 62% (16/26) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Samrej broke Murray Kubler twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).
Samrej’s best result of the season was reaching the final in M15 Maanshan and M15 Singapore.
The Thai has a composed 40-24 win-loss record in 2025, 22-21 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Uchiyama | Samrej |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 16 | 23 |
| Pts | 61-33 | 70-65 |
| Total Points | 94 | 135 |
| Winners | 22 | 30 |
| %Winners | 36% | 43% |
Both Uchiyama and Samrej played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Uchiyama and Samrej have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Uchiyama played 7 games less than Samrej. The Japanese scored 22 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, The Thai managed to score 30 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Uchiyama | Samrej |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 5 |
| 1st in | 22/36 | 41/67 |
| %1st in | 61% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 22/22 | 30/41 |
| %1st pts | 100% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 10/14 | 16/26 |
| %2nd pts | 71% | 62% |
Uchiyama blasted 4 aces . Samrej struck 5 aces . Uchiyama won 100% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 71% of the points. On the other side, Samrej won 73% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Uchiyama | Samrej |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 2 |
| Converted | 4/12 | 2/3 |
| % Converted | 33% | 67% |
| Conceded | 0 | 5 |
| Saved | 0 | 4 |
| % Saved | 0% | 80% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 |
The Japanese broke his opponent 4 times with a 33% conversion rate. The Japanese very solid his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 0 break points. The Thai broke his opponent twice with a 67% conversion rate. Samrej conceded his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.
| Uchiyama | |||
| Q1 Huang | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 61-33 | 61-33 | |
| Total points | 94 | 94 | |
| Winners | 22 | 22 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 22/36 | 22/36 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 22/22 | 22/22 | |
| % 1st pts | 100% | 100% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/14 | 10/14 | |
| % 2nd pts | 71% | 71% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/12 | 4/12 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Samrej | |||
| Q1 Murray Kubler | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 23 | |
| pts | 70-65 | 70-65 | |
| Total points | 135 | 135 | |
| Winners | 30 | 30 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 41/67 | 41/67 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 30/41 | 30/41 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/26 | 16/26 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 62% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/3 | 2/3 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Upcoming matches in the draw
- James DuckworthDuckworth – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Harold MayotMayot (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Liam DraxlDraxl (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Akira SantillanSantillan – Pavel KotovKotov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki – Billy HarrisHarris (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Fajing SunSun – Adam WaltonWalton (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Sergey FominFomin – Denis YevseyevYevseyev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Kasidit SamrejSamrej – Yasutaka UchiyamaUchiyama (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Titouan DroguetDroguet – Jie CuiCui (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Dalibor SvrcinaSvrcina – Bernard TomicTomic (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Kyrian JacquetJacquet – Adria Soriano BarreraSoriano Barrera (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Linang XiaoXiao – (0-0) – H2H and prediction