Holger Rune and Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard will fight against each other in the 4^th round of the Shanghai Rolex Masters for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 3:00 pm on STADIUM COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Holger Rune who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Holger Rune is the pick to win this match.
Holger Rune -> 1.53
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard -> 2.49

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Prediction and head to head Holger Rune vs. Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

This will be the 3^rd time that Holger Rune and Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard play each other. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they played, Rune won 7-6(7) 6-3 in the 2^nd round in Toronto back in July 2025.

Highlights Holger Rune vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard – Toronto 29-July-2025

Holger Rune

Ranked no. 11, Rune got to the 4^th round after beating Sebastian Baez 7-5 6-4 and Ugo Humbert 6-4 6-4.

In the 3^rd round, The Dane had a good straight sets win against Humbert (6-4 6-4). During the match, Rune scored 59 points vs Humbert’s 47. The Dane was extremely aggressive to blast 25 winners.

Talking about the service games, Rune bagged 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Holger Rune was pretty efficient on serve to win 81% (25/31) of his 1st serve and 67% (14/21) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Rune broke Humbert 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Holger hasn’t lost yet a set in this event to conquer 54% of the points he played.

Rune has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 65% of his matches (284-150). 19-9 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rune has a compiled70-51 match record in the last 8 years on hard.

His best result of the current year was winning the title in Barcelona where he overcame Carlos Alcaraz in the final 7-6(6) 6-2.

The Dane has a composed 33-20 win-loss record in 2025, 19-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Shanghai

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Ranked no. 37, Giovanni got to the 4^th round after defeating Luca Nardi 6-3 7-6(4) and Taylor Fritz 6-4 7-5.

In the 3^rd round, Mpetshi had a good straight sets win against Fritz (6-4 7-5). During the match Mpetshi scored 62 points vs Fritz’s 56. Giovanni was quite aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Talking about serving, Mpetshi fired 12 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard was quite effective on serve to win 80% (32/40) of his 1st serve and 76% (13/17) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Giovanni broke Fritz twice after converting 33% of his break points (2/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The French player hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

His best result of the current year was winning the title the Bordeaux Challenger where he defeated Nikoloz Basilashvili in the final 6-3 6-7(5) 7-5.

Mpetshi has an aggregate 20-21 win-loss record in 2025, 12-12 on hard (See FULL STATS)

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Previously in Shanghai

Previously, his best result was reaching the 1^st round in 2024. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Rune	Mpetshi
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	4	4
Tot Games	42	44
Pts	133-112	140-119
Total Points	245	259
Winners	57	73
%Winners	43%	52%

Both Rune and Mpetshi played 2 matches. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Rune and Mpetshi have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Rune played 2 games less than Mpetshi. The Dane scored 57 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Giovanni managed to score 73 winners (52%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Rune	Mpetshi
Aces	9	23
Avg per match	4.5	11.5
1st in	73/120	93/133
%1st in	61%	70%
1st pts	57/73	73/93
%1st pts	78%	78%
2nd pts	23/47	26/40
%2nd pts	49%	65%

Rune scored 9 aces (4.5 per match). Mpetshi bagged 23 aces (11.5 per match). Rune won 78% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Mpetshi won 78% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 65% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Rune	Mpetshi
Won	8	4
Converted	8/18	4/10
% Converted	44%	40%
Conceded	7	5
Saved	3	4
% Saved	43%	80%
Times Broken	4	1

The Dane broke his opponents 8 times with a 44% conversion rate. Holger surrendered his serve 4 times and he saved 43% of the break points that he conceded. Mpetshi broke his opponents 4 times with a 40% conversion rate. Giovanni conceded his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.

Rune
	R2 Baez	R3 Humbert	Total
Score	7-5 6-4	6-4 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	22	20	42
pts	74-65	59-47	133-112
Total points	139	106	245
Winners	32	25	57
%Winners	43%	42%	43%
SERVE
Aces	3	6	9
Double Faults	5	2	7
1st in	42/68	31/52	73/120
% 1st in	62%	60%	61%
1st pts	32/42	25/31	57/73
% 1st pts	76%	81%	78%
2nd pts	9/26	14/21	23/47
% 2nd pts	35%	67%	49%
Breaks
Won	5	3	8
Converted	5/13	3/5	8/18
Converted %	38%	60%	44%
Conceded	6	1	7
Saved	3/6	0/1	3
Saved %	50%	0%	25%
Times Broken	3	1	4

Mpetshi
	R2 Nardi	R3 Fritz	Total
Score	6-3 7-64	6-4 7-5
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	22	22	44
pts	78-63	62-56	140-119
Total points	141	118	259
Winners	41	32	73
%Winners	53%	52%	52%
SERVE
Aces	11	12	23
Double Faults	1	2	3
1st in	53/76	40/57	93/133
% 1st in	70%	70%	70%
1st pts	41/53	32/40	73/93
% 1st pts	77%	80%	78%
2nd pts	13/23	13/17	26/40
% 2nd pts	57%	76%	65%
Breaks
Won	2	2	4
Converted	2/4	2/6	4/10
Converted %	50%	33%	40%
Conceded	5	0	5
Saved	4/5	0/0	4
Saved %	80%	–	40%
Times Broken	1	0	1

Tennis Scores in Shanghai

• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
• Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime – Jesper De JongDe Jong (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
• Nuno BorgesBorges – Juncheng ShangShang (7-6⁵ 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Yannick HanfmannHanfmann (4-6 7-5 6-3) – See score progression
• Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka (6-4 5-7 6-1) – See score progression
• Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardMpetshi Perricard – Taylor FritzFritz (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
• Zizou BergsBergs – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (7-6¹ 6-3) – See score progression
• Gabriel DialloDiallo – David GoffinGoffin (3-0 ret.) – See score progression
• Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Jannik SinnerSinner (6-7³ 7-5 3-2 ret.) – See score progression
• Holger RuneRune – Ugo HumbertHumbert (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Valentin VacherotVacherot – Tomas MachacMachac (6-0 3-1 ret.) – See score progression
• Nuno BorgesBorges – Juncheng ShangShang (7-6(5) 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
• Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Jesper De JongDe Jong (6-4 7-5) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Alexander ZverevZverev – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Nuno BorgesBorges – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (1-5) – H2H and prediction
• Valentin VacherotVacherot – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Gabriel DialloDiallo – Zizou BergsBergs (3-0) – H2H and prediction