Juan Alejandro Hernandez and Mateus Alves will square off in the qualifications of the Cali Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 1:00 pm on CANCHA CENTRAL. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mateus Alves who should win in 2 sets.
Mateus Alves -> 1.4
Juan Alejandro Hernandez -> 2.79
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Prediction and head to head Juan Alejandro Hernandez vs. Mateus Alves
This will be the 2nd time that Juan Alejandro Hernandez and Mateus Alves clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Alves (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Alves won 4-6 6-3 6-4 in the qualifications in the Pereira Challenger back in 2022.
Juan Alejandro Hernandez
25 - 25win/loss
418
415
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 31-30 | 13-11 | 14-17 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 24-17 | 13-8 | 11-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 22-26 | 19-18 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 31-19 | 18-10 | 13-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 444, the Mexican got to the qualifications after defeating Frazier Rengifo 6-1 6-1.
In the qualifications, Juan had a good straight sets win against Rengifo (6-1 6-1). During the match, Alejandro Hernandez scored 58 points vs Rengifo’s 29. The Mexican was very aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Talking about the service games, Alejandro Hernandez scored just 1 ace in the match and he committed only 1 double fault. Juan Alejandro Hernandez lost the serve once and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Alejandro Hernandez put 69% of his first serves in, winning 76% (22/29) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (6/13) on the 2nd serve. The Mexican broke Rengifo 6 times after converting 55% of his break points (6/11).
Alejandro Hernandez has a winning match record in the last 7 years having won 53% of his matches (161-143). 8-11 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Alejandro Hernandez has a compiled56-49 match record in the last 7 years on clay.
Juan’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in M15 Huamantla and M15 Villahermosa.
The Mexican has a compiled 25-24 win-loss record in 2025, 8-11 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Cali Challenger
Juan has never competed in this tournament before.
Mateus Alves
19 - 21win/loss
476
271
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 28-27 | 1-4 | 27-23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-31 | 3-5 | 43-26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-28 | 4-7 | 26-21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 22-15 | 5-1 | 17-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-33 | 21-20 | 11-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 462, Mateus reached the qualifications after defeating Salvador Price 6-3 6-2.
In the qualifications, The Brazilian had a good straight sets win against Price (6-3 6-2). During the match Alves scored 67 points vs Price’s 40. The Brazilian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Talking about serving, Alves struck 8 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Mateus Alves was quite effective on serve to win 84% (26/31) of his 1st serve and 69% (9/13) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Alves broke Price 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).
The Brazilian’s best result of the season was reaching the final in M25 Cuiaba.
The Brazilian has an aggregate 18-21 win-loss record in 2025, 17-17 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Cali Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alejandro Hernandez | Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 14 | 17 |
| Pts | 58-29 | 67-40 |
| Total Points | 87 | 107 |
| Winners | 22 | 26 |
| %Winners | 38% | 39% |
Both Alejandro Hernandez and Alves played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Alejandro Hernandez and Alves have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Alejandro Hernandez played 3 games less than Alves. Alejandro Hernandez scored 22 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Mateus scored 26 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alejandro Hernandez | Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 8 |
| 1st in | 29/42 | 31/44 |
| %1st in | 69% | 70% |
| 1st pts | 22/29 | 26/31 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 84% |
| 2nd pts | 6/13 | 9/13 |
| %2nd pts | 46% | 69% |
Alejandro Hernandez scored 1 ace . Alves also blasted 8 aces . Alejandro Hernandez won 76% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Alves won 84% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 69% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alejandro Hernandez | Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 4 |
| Converted | 6/11 | 4/5 |
| % Converted | 55% | 80% |
| Conceded | 2 | 4 |
| Saved | 1 | 3 |
| % Saved | 50% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
The Mexican broke his opponent 6 times with a 55% conversion rate. Juan dropped his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. The Brazilian broke his opponent 4 times with a 80% conversion rate. Alves conceded his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Alejandro Hernandez | |||
| Q1 Rengifo | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 14 | |
| pts | 58-29 | 58-29 | |
| Total points | 87 | 87 | |
| Winners | 22 | 22 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 29/42 | 29/42 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 22/29 | 22/29 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/13 | 6/13 | |
| % 2nd pts | 46% | 46% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/11 | 6/11 | |
| Converted % | 55% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Alves | |||
| Q1 Price | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 67-40 | 67-40 | |
| Total points | 107 | 107 | |
| Winners | 26 | 26 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 8 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 31/44 | 31/44 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 26/31 | 26/31 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 84% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/13 | 9/13 | |
| % 2nd pts | 69% | 69% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 4/5 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 80% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
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