Lorenzo Musetti and Luciano Darderi will clash against each other in the 3rd round of the Shanghai Rolex Masters for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 5:30 pm on GRANDSTAND 2. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lorenzo Musetti who should win in 2 sets.
Lorenzo Musetti -> 1.27
Luciano Darderi -> 3.74
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Prediction and head to head Lorenzo Musetti vs. Luciano Darderi
This will be the 3rd time that Lorenzo Musetti and Luciano Darderi square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Musetti (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Musetti won 6-4 4-6 6-7(5) 6-4 6-4 in the 2nd round in at the Wimbledon back in 2024.
Lorenzo Musetti
36 - 15win/loss
8
6
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 45-22 | 18-11 | 19-4 | 8-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-30 | 13-12 | 18-10 | 3-5 | 12-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-29 | 10-10 | 16-11 | 0-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-30 | 11-10 | 21-7 | 12-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-31 | 9-8 | 17-12 | 10-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 9, the Italian got to the 3rd round after beating Francisco Comesana 6-4 6-0.
In the 2nd round, Lorenzo had a good straight sets win against Comesana (6-4 6-0). During the match, Musetti scored 56 points vs Comesana’s 35. Musetti was extremely aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Regarding the service games, Musetti scored just 1 ace in the match and he was pretty steady in conceding no double faults. Lorenzo Musetti was exceptionally effective on serve to win 81% (21/26) of his 1st serve and 65% (11/17) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Lorenzo broke Comesana 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Musetti has a winning record in the last 8 years having won 59% of his matches (256-176). 17-10 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Musetti has a composed67-56 record in the last 8 years on hard.
Lorenzo’s best result of the season was getting to the final in Carlo and Chengdu.
The Italian has an aggregate 36-15 win-loss record in 2025, 17-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Shanghai
Luciano Darderi
38 - 25win/loss
26
26
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 38-30 | 6-11 | 30-11 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 38-31 | 1-9 | 34-15 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 48-31 | 3-3 | 45-27 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-25 | 0-1 | 37-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-19 | 20-6 | 27-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 29 (career-high), Luciano reached the 3rd round after beating Bu Yunchaokete 6-4 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Luciano had a good straight sets win against Yunchaokete (6-4 6-4). During the match Darderi scored 60 points vs Yunchaokete’s 47. Darderi was quite aggressive to blast 28 winners.
About the serving games, Darderi blasted 9 aces and he was pretty solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Luciano Darderi was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 85% (28/33) of his 1st serve and 58% (11/19) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Darderi broke Yunchaokete 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
His best result of the season was conquering the title in Marrakech where he defeated Tallon Griekspoor in the final 7-6(3) 7-6(4) and in Bastad where he beat Jesper De Jong in the final 6-4 3-6 6-3 and in Umag where he beat Carlos Taberner in the final 6-3 6-3 and the Genova Challenger where he defeated Andrea Pellegrino in the final 6-1 6-3.
Luciano has an aggregate 38-25 win-loss record in 2025, 6-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Shanghai
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Musetti | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 16 | 20 |
| Pts | 56-35 | 60-47 |
| Total Points | 91 | 107 |
| Winners | 21 | 28 |
| %Winners | 38% | 47% |
Both Musetti and Darderi played 1 match. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Musetti and Darderi have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Musetti played 4 games less than Darderi. Musetti scored 21 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian made 28 winners (47%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Musetti | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 9 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 9 |
| 1st in | 26/43 | 33/52 |
| %1st in | 60% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 21/26 | 28/33 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 85% |
| 2nd pts | 11/17 | 11/19 |
| %2nd pts | 65% | 58% |
Musetti recorded 1 ace . Darderi also fired 9 aces . Musetti won 81% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 65% of the points. On the other side, Darderi won 85% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Musetti | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 3 |
| Converted | 4/9 | 3/5 |
| % Converted | 44% | 60% |
| Conceded | 0 | 3 |
| Saved | 0 | 2 |
| % Saved | 0% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 |
The Italian broke his opponent 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Italian was rock solid on his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 0 break points. Luciano broke his opponent 3 times with a 60% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Musetti | |||
| R2 Comesana | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 56-35 | 56-35 | |
| Total points | 91 | 91 | |
| Winners | 21 | 21 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 26/43 | 26/43 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 21/26 | 21/26 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/17 | 11/17 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 65% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 4/9 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Darderi | |||
| R2 Yunchaokete | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 60-47 | 60-47 | |
| Total points | 107 | 107 | |
| Winners | 28 | 28 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 47% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 9 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 33/52 | 33/52 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 28/33 | 28/33 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 85% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/19 | 11/19 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 3/5 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Tennis Scores in Shanghai
- Zizou BergsBergs – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (7-6(1) 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Gabriel DialloDiallo – David GoffinGoffin (3-0 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardMpetshi Perricard – Taylor FritzFritz (6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Holger RuneRune – Ugo HumbertHumbert (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Yannick HanfmannHanfmann – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Jannik SinnerSinner (0-6) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (1-5) – H2H and prediction
- Valentin VacherotVacherot – Tomas MachacMachac (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Jesper De JongDe Jong (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Gabriel DialloDiallo – Zizou BergsBergs (3-0) – H2H and prediction