Alex De Minaur and Kamil Majchrzak will play each other in the 3rd round of the Shanghai Rolex Masters for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 12:30 pm on STADIUM COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex De Minaur who should win in 2 sets.
Alex De Minaur -> 1.178
Kamil Majchrzak -> 4.85
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Prediction and head to head Alex De Minaur vs. Kamil Majchrzak
This will be the 2nd time that Alex De Minaur and Kamil Majchrzak play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for De Minaur (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, De Minaur won 6-4 6-4 6-2 in the 2nd round in at the Australian Open back in 2022.
Highlights Alex De Minaur vs Kamil Majchrzak – Australian Open 20-January-2022
Alex De Minaur
48 - 18win/loss
7
6
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 56-24 | 30-11 | 10-5 | 13-6 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 47-21 | 19-6 | 10-5 | 11-9 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-26 | 26-12 | 4-5 | 10-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-25 | 19-10 | 9-6 | 12-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-25 | 10-10 | 4-5 | 3-7 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 7, Alex got to the 3rd round after beating Camilo Ugo Carabelli 6-4 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Alex had a good straight sets win against Ugo Carabelli (6-4 6-2). During the match, De Minaur scored 64 points vs Ugo Carabelli’s 44. De Minaur was quite aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Talking about the service games, De Minaur scored 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Alex De Minaur was extremely efficient on serve to win 87% (26/30) of his 1st serve and 73% (11/15) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Alex broke Ugo Carabelli 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
De Minaur has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 65% of his matches (407-223). 28-10 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, De Minaur has a composed 199-96 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the current season was winning the title in Washington where he overcame Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the final 5-7 6-1 7-6(3).
The Australian has a compiled 48-18 win-loss record in 2025, 28-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Shanghai
Kamil Majchrzak
36 - 18win/loss
64
61
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 39-23 | 19-6 | 12-7 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 63-19 | 26-6 | 34-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 28-22 | 19-10 | 4-6 | 4-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-21 | 4-4 | 16-9 | 5-5 | 9-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 66, the Pole got to the 3rd round after beating Ethan Quinn 6-3 6-4 and Brandon Nakashima 6-4 6-0.
In the 2nd round, The Pole had a good straight sets win against Nakashima (6-4 6-0). During the match Majchrzak scored 61 points vs Nakashima’s 42. Majchrzak was pretty aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Talking about serving, Majchrzak struck 11 aces and he was pretty consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Kamil Majchrzak was very effective on serve to win 72% (26/36) of his 1st serve and 54% (7/13) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Kamil broke Nakashima 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Kamil hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 59% of the points he played.
His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Madrid Challenger where he defeated Marin Cilic in the final 6-3 4-6 6-4 and the Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger where he defeated Dino Prizmic in the final 6-4 6-3.
Kamil has an overall 36-18 win-loss record in 2025, 19-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | De Minaur | Majchrzak |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 18 | 35 |
| Pts | 64-44 | 119-82 |
| Total Points | 108 | 201 |
| Winners | 26 | 48 |
| %Winners | 41% | 40% |
De Minaur played 1 match while Majchrzak competed in 2 matches. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. De Minaur has played 2 set(s) less than Majchrzak (2 vs 4). Therefore, De Minaur played 17 games less than Majchrzak. Alex scored 26 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Kamil bagged 48 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | De Minaur | Majchrzak |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 13 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 6.5 |
| 1st in | 30/45 | 63/96 |
| %1st in | 67% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 26/30 | 48/63 |
| %1st pts | 87% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 11/15 | 25/33 |
| %2nd pts | 73% | 76% |
De Minaur struck 3 aces . Majchrzak recorded 13 aces (6.5 per match). De Minaur won 87% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 73% of the points. On the other side, Majchrzak won 76% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 76% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | De Minaur | Majchrzak |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 7 |
| Converted | 3/9 | 7/17 |
| % Converted | 33% | 41% |
| Conceded | 0 | 1 |
| Saved | 0 | 0 |
| % Saved | 0% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 |
The Australian broke his opponent 3 times with a 33% conversion rate. De Minaur was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points. The Pole broke his opponents 7 times with a 41% conversion rate. The Pole conceded his serve once and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded.
| De Minaur | |||
| R2 Ugo Carabelli | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 64-44 | 64-44 | |
| Total points | 108 | 108 | |
| Winners | 26 | 26 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 30/45 | 30/45 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 26/30 | 26/30 | |
| % 1st pts | 87% | 87% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/15 | 11/15 | |
| % 2nd pts | 73% | 73% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/9 | 3/9 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Majchrzak | ||||
| R1 Quinn | R2 Nakashima | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 6-4 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 16 | 35 | |
| pts | 58-40 | 61-42 | 119-82 | |
| Total points | 98 | 103 | 201 | |
| Winners | 22 | 26 | 48 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 43% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 11 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 27/47 | 36/49 | 63/96 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 73% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 22/27 | 26/36 | 48/63 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 72% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/20 | 7/13 | 25/33 | |
| % 2nd pts | 90% | 54% | 76% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 5 | 7 | |
| Converted | 2/6 | 5/11 | 7/17 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 45% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
Tennis Scores in Shanghai
- Gabriel DialloDiallo – David GoffinGoffin (3-0 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardMpetshi Perricard – Taylor FritzFritz (6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Holger RuneRune – Ugo HumbertHumbert (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Zizou BergsBergs – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (7-6(1) 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Yannick HanfmannHanfmann – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Jannik SinnerSinner (0-6) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (1-5) – H2H and prediction
- Valentin VacherotVacherot – Tomas MachacMachac (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Jesper De JongDe Jong (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Gabriel DialloDiallo – Zizou BergsBergs (3-0) – H2H and prediction