Alex De Minaur and Kamil Majchrzak will play each other in the 3rd round of the Shanghai Rolex Masters for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 12:30 pm on STADIUM COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex De Minaur who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alex De Minaur is the pick to win this match.
Alex De Minaur -> 1.178
Kamil Majchrzak -> 4.85

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Prediction and head to head Alex De Minaur vs. Kamil Majchrzak

This will be the 2nd time that Alex De Minaur and Kamil Majchrzak play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for De Minaur (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, De Minaur won 6-4 6-4 6-2 in the 2nd round in at the Australian Open back in 2022.

Highlights Alex De Minaur vs Kamil Majchrzak – Australian Open 20-January-2022

Alex De Minaur

Alex De Minaur

48 - 18win/loss

Hard
28-10
I Hard
7-1
Clay
10-5
Grass
3-2
Rank
7
High
6
LWLLLWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 56-24 30-11 10-5 13-6 3-2 0-0
2024 47-21 19-6 10-5 11-9 7-1 0-0
2023 46-26 26-12 4-5 10-6 6-3 0-0
2022 47-25 19-10 9-6 12-5 7-4 0-0
2021 25-25 10-10 4-5 3-7 8-3 0-0

Ranked no. 7, Alex got to the 3rd round after beating Camilo Ugo Carabelli 6-4 6-2.

In the 2nd round, Alex had a good straight sets win against Ugo Carabelli (6-4 6-2). During the match, De Minaur scored 64 points vs Ugo Carabelli’s 44. De Minaur was quite aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Talking about the service games, De Minaur scored 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Alex De Minaur was extremely efficient on serve to win 87% (26/30) of his 1st serve and 73% (11/15) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Alex broke Ugo Carabelli 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).

De Minaur has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 65% of his matches (407-223). 28-10 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, De Minaur has a composed 199-96 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the current season was winning the title in Washington where he overcame Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the final 5-7 6-1 7-6(3).

The Australian has a compiled 48-18 win-loss record in 2025, 28-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Shanghai

Shanghai
De Minaur's Record

Kamil Majchrzak

Kamil Majchrzak

36 - 18win/loss

Hard
19-5
I Hard
2-2
Clay
12-7
Grass
3-4
Rank
64
High
61
LLLWWLWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 39-23 19-6 12-7 5-6 3-4 0-0
2024 63-19 26-6 34-8 3-5 0-0 0-0
2023 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2022 28-22 19-10 4-6 4-3 1-3 0-0
2021 34-21 4-4 16-9 5-5 9-3 0-0

Ranked no. 66, the Pole got to the 3rd round after beating Ethan Quinn 6-3 6-4 and Brandon Nakashima 6-4 6-0.

In the 2nd round, The Pole had a good straight sets win against Nakashima (6-4 6-0). During the match Majchrzak scored 61 points vs Nakashima’s 42. Majchrzak was pretty aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Talking about serving, Majchrzak struck 11 aces and he was pretty consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Kamil Majchrzak was very effective on serve to win 72% (26/36) of his 1st serve and 54% (7/13) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Kamil broke Nakashima 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Kamil hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 59% of the points he played.

His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Madrid Challenger where he defeated Marin Cilic in the final 6-3 4-6 6-4 and the Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger where he defeated Dino Prizmic in the final 6-4 6-3.

Kamil has an overall 36-18 win-loss record in 2025, 19-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Shanghai
Majchrzak's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

A.De Minaur
K.Majchrzak
1h:28
1h:28
Time on court​
!
2h:16
2h:16
1h:28
1h:28
Last match​
1h:10
1h:10
1
1
Match played
!
2
2
18
18
Games Played​
35
35
2
2
Set played​​
4
4
64
64
Total points​
119
119
64
64
Avg point​
59.5
59.5
26
26
Winners
48
48
26
26
Avg Winners​
24
24
41%
41%
Ratio winners
40%
40%
-- Serve --
3
3
Aces
13
13
3
3
Avg Aces
6.5
6.5
1
1
Double Faults
0
0
1
1
Avg Double Faults
0
0
26/30
26/30
1st won total​
48/63
48/63
!
87%
87%
1st won %
!
76%
76%
11/15
11/15
2nd won total​
25/33
25/33
!
73%
73%
2nd won %
!
76%
76%
-- Break Points --
3/9
3/9
BP won
7/17
7/17
3/9
3/9
Avg BP won
3.5/8.5
3.5/8.5
33%
33%
Won
41%
41%
0
0
Conceded
1
1
0
0
Avg Conceded
0.5
0.5
0
0
Broken
1
1
!
0
0
Avg Broken
!
0.5
0.5
0
0
Saved
0
0

Matches, sets, games and points

Points De Minaur Majchrzak
Match played 1 2
Tot Set 2 4
Tot Games 18 35
Pts 64-44 119-82
Total Points 108 201
Winners 26 48
%Winners 41% 40%

De Minaur played 1 match while Majchrzak competed in 2 matches. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. De Minaur has played 2 set(s) less than Majchrzak (2 vs 4). Therefore, De Minaur played 17 games less than Majchrzak. Alex scored 26 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Kamil bagged 48 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve De Minaur Majchrzak
Aces 3 13
Avg per match 3 6.5
1st in 30/45 63/96
%1st in 67% 66%
1st pts 26/30 48/63
%1st pts 87% 76%
2nd pts 11/15 25/33
%2nd pts 73% 76%

De Minaur struck 3 aces . Majchrzak recorded 13 aces (6.5 per match). De Minaur won 87% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 73% of the points. On the other side, Majchrzak won 76% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 76% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks De Minaur Majchrzak
Won 3 7
Converted 3/9 7/17
% Converted 33% 41%
Conceded 0 1
Saved 0 0
% Saved 0% 0%
Times Broken 0 1

The Australian broke his opponent 3 times with a 33% conversion rate. De Minaur was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points. The Pole broke his opponents 7 times with a 41% conversion rate. The Pole conceded his serve once and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded.

De Minaur
R2
Ugo Carabelli
Total
Score 6-4 6-2
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 18 18
pts 64-44 64-44
Total points 108 108
Winners 26 26
%Winners 41% 41%
SERVE
Aces 3 3
Double Faults 1 1
1st in 30/45 30/45
% 1st in 67% 67%
1st pts 26/30 26/30
% 1st pts 87% 87%
2nd pts 11/15 11/15
% 2nd pts 73% 73%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/9 3/9
Converted % 33% 33%
Conceded 0 0
Saved 0/0 0
Saved % 0%
Times Broken 0 0
Majchrzak
R1
Quinn
R2
Nakashima
Total
Score 6-3 6-4 6-4 6-0
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 19 16 35
pts 58-40 61-42 119-82
Total points 98 103 201
Winners 22 26 48
%Winners 38% 43% 40%
SERVE
Aces 2 11 13
Double Faults 0 0 0
1st in 27/47 36/49 63/96
% 1st in 57% 73% 66%
1st pts 22/27 26/36 48/63
% 1st pts 81% 72% 76%
2nd pts 18/20 7/13 25/33
% 2nd pts 90% 54% 76%
Breaks
Won 2 5 7
Converted 2/6 5/11 7/17
Converted % 33% 45% 41%
Conceded 0 1 1
Saved 0/0 0/1 0
Saved % 0% 0%
Times Broken 0 1 1

Tennis Scores in Shanghai

Upcoming matches in the draw