Daniil Medvedev and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will play each other in the 3rd round of the Shanghai Rolex Masters for the 7th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 9:00 pm on STADIUM COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.46
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina -> 2.7
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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
This will be the 7th time that Daniil Medvedev and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina square off. The head to head is 5-1 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), 3-1 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Medvedev won 6-3 6-3 in the 2nd round in Beijing back in September 2025.
Highlights Daniil Medvedev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina – Beijing 28-September-2025
Daniil Medvedev
31 - 20win/loss
13
1
LWWLWWWWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 41-23 | 20-12 | 6-4 | 10-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-21 | 28-9 | 11-5 | 1-5 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 66-18 | 38-8 | 10-3 | 11-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-19 | 26-8 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 63-13 | 33-5 | 5-3 | 18-3 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 18, Daniil got to the 3rd round after defeating Dalibor Svrcina 6-1 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Medvedev had a good straight sets win against Svrcina (6-1 6-1). During the match, Medvedev scored 55 points vs Svrcina’s 23. The Russian was extremely aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Regarding the service games, Medvedev bagged 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Daniil Medvedev was extremely effective on serve to win 83% (24/29) of his 1st serve and 67% (4/6) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Russian broke Svrcina 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Medvedev has a marvellous match record in the last 10 years having won 71% of his matches (488-202). 17-11 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Medvedev has a compiled 240-79 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Medvedev’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Halle.
The Russian has an aggregate 31-20 win-loss record in 2025, 17-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Shanghai
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
37 - 22win/loss
14
14
LWWLWWWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 44-26 | 22-14 | 9-6 | 8-4 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 20-22 | 13-12 | 2-5 | 5-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-28 | 18-11 | 9-8 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-26 | 7-9 | 11-8 | 0-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-25 | 4-6 | 16-7 | 9-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 20, Davidovich Fokina reached the 3rd round after beating Matteo Arnaldi 6-4 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Alejandro had a good straight sets win against Arnaldi (6-4 6-4). During the match Davidovich Fokina scored 64 points vs Arnaldi’s 58. Alejandro was exceptionally aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Talking about serving, Davidovich Fokina managed to score 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina was pretty effective on serve to win 78% (35/45) of his 1st serve and 53% (10/19) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Davidovich Fokina broke Arnaldi twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).
Davidovich Fokina’s best result of the year was getting to the final in Delray Beach, Acapulco and Washington.
Alejandro has an aggregate 37-22 win-loss record in 2025, 22-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Shanghai
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2023 and 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Medvedev | Davidovich Fokina |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 14 | 20 |
| Pts | 55-23 | 64-58 |
| Total Points | 78 | 122 |
| Winners | 24 | 35 |
| %Winners | 44% | 55% |
Both Medvedev and Davidovich Fokina played 1 match. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Medvedev and Davidovich Fokina have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Medvedev played 6 games less than Davidovich Fokina. The Russian scored 24 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Alejandro struck 35 winners (55%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Medvedev | Davidovich Fokina |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 5 |
| 1st in | 29/35 | 45/64 |
| %1st in | 83% | 70% |
| 1st pts | 24/29 | 35/45 |
| %1st pts | 83% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 4/6 | 10/19 |
| %2nd pts | 67% | 53% |
Medvedev struck 2 aces . Davidovich Fokina blasted 5 aces . Medvedev won 83% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 67% of the points. On the other side, Davidovich Fokina won 78% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Medvedev | Davidovich Fokina |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 2 |
| Converted | 5/9 | 2/4 |
| % Converted | 56% | 50% |
| Conceded | 0 | 2 |
| Saved | 0 | 2 |
| % Saved | 0% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 |
The Russian broke his opponent 5 times with a 56% conversion rate. The Russian was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points. The Spaniard broke his opponent twice with a 50% conversion rate. Davidovich Fokina was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 2 break points.
| Medvedev | |||
| R2 Svrcina |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 14 | |
| pts | 55-23 | 55-23 | |
| Total points | 78 | 78 | |
| Winners | 24 | 24 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 29/35 | 29/35 | |
| % 1st in | 83% | 83% | |
| 1st pts | 24/29 | 24/29 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 4/6 | 4/6 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 67% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 5/9 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Davidovich Fokina | |||
| R2 Arnaldi |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 64-58 | 64-58 | |
| Total points | 122 | 122 | |
| Winners | 35 | 35 | |
| %Winners | 55% | 55% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 45/64 | 45/64 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 35/45 | 35/45 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/19 | 10/19 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/4 | 2/4 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWWWWWL
LWWLWWWWLW Tennis Scores in Shanghai
- Gabriel DialloDiallo – David GoffinGoffin (3-0 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardMpetshi Perricard – Taylor FritzFritz (6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Holger RuneRune – Ugo HumbertHumbert (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Zizou BergsBergs – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (7-6(1) 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Yannick HanfmannHanfmann – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Jannik SinnerSinner (0-6) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (1-5) – H2H and prediction
- Valentin VacherotVacherot – Tomas MachacMachac (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Jesper De JongDe Jong (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Gabriel DialloDiallo – Zizou BergsBergs (3-0) – H2H and prediction
